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Robert Jan Vos
  • Robert Jan Vos

Basic-Fit N.V. : Expected short-term tapering to serve long-term growt...

We cut our target price on Basic-Fit to € 35 from € 37, and reiterate our Outperform. The TP cut is related to the possible early redemption of the convertible bond, and the refinancing this may trigger. As a result (in order to optimise financial leverage), we expect a deceleration in club openings, which the market may not like initially. That said, Basic-Fit’s valuation remains very compelling. - >Convertible bondholders could request early redemption in 2026 - In...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Azelis: Turkey lab tour insights. Philips: “Show & Tell” Analyst/Investor event feedback. Universal Music Group: CMD feedback

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+3)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Lewi
Quirijn Mulder ... (+2)
  • Quirijn Mulder
  • Stijn Demeester

Azelis/Bottoming out/BUY

Azelis' 2Q24 results confirmed early green shoots amidst a still patchy economic backdrop. We make minor changes to our estimates and raise our target price to €29, mainly driven by higher peer multiples. We reiterate our BUY, as we believe Azelis' business model is intact as the industry recovers from an extended downcycle, with our positive stance supported by Azelis' attractive discount of 35% to key peer IMCD.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ING Benelux Conference London Alfen Fugro Renewi Other company news D'Ieteren: €4bn dividend, family shareholder reorganization, good results Euronext: Continued Momentum Staffing: French staffing: underlying July trend weak; August outlook slightly better Events Calendar

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ING Benelux Conference London: Aalberts, Arcadis, Azelis, Barco, Basic-Fit, Brunel International, DEME Group, Euronext, Fagron, Heijmans, Kinepolis, Lotus Bakeries, Melexis, Ontex, Randstad, Recticel, SBM Offshore, TKH Group, Van Lanschot Kempen Other company stories - OCI: Divestment of Methanol to Methanex for US$2.05bn, Staffing: US August temp volumes marginally better trend; NFP jobs miss

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ackermans & van Haaren: Indian participation casts shadow over excellent result of core segments. ASML: Spotlight on export restrictions again. Basic-Fit: Dutch parliament persists in plans to raise VAT for oa Sports to 21%. CFE: Earnings quality improved in challenging markets. Eurocommercial Properties: Better numbers, guidance moved toward the higher end of the range. OCI: IFCO sale successfully closed, cash return unlocked Recticel: Solid 1H24 beat, FY guidance may disappoint. SIF Grou...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

DEME Group: Strong first half year, raises outlook. IBA: Better gross margins, REBIT, on lower sales, net loss higher than expected. Staffing: Belgium July Temp volume at -7.8% YoY (was -3.4%) on tougher comps

Marc Zwartsenburg ... (+4)
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA
  • Reg Watson
  • CFA

Basic-Fit/Comforting 2Q24, all eyes now on “Boost your Mood” campaign/...

We keep our BUY rating and fine-tune our target price from €35.75 to €36.00, reflecting our raised underlying EBITDA estimates and partly offset by higher NWC usage built into our model. The 1H/2Q24 results were comforting - with slightly better membership ingrowth, some early signs of improvement in France, and lower overhead costs. This led us to move towards the mid-point of the guided range for underlying EBITDA FY24F and more or less in line with consensus. We have raised our underlying EBI...

Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Stijn Demeester
  • Stijn Demeester

AkzoNobel/Cost savings yet to kick in/HOLD

We update our model to reflect the slight miss in 2Q24 results due to higher OPEX inflation and AkzoNobel guiding towards the low end of its 2024F Adj. EBITDA guidance. We stick to our HOLD rating and we reduce our target price to €61 per share from €64, as we believe that mid-term growth targets are well captured by consensus expectations.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN Amro: CEO leaving in 1H 25, another management change AB InBev: Does what it says on the can AMG: Solid 2Q24 beat and guidance raise, Brazil on track for full capacity by 4Q24 Aperam: Good quarter on EBITDA and FCF, 3Q24 guide in-line Ayvens: Mixed bag Azelis: In-line 2Q24, cautious return to organic growth in Americas yet outlook remains fragile Fagron: Nice 2Q24 beat and guidance raise, higher capex to support growth Fugro: 15% beat but missing balance in its results GBL: Lackluster NAV pe...

Salome Charamalet ... (+2)
  • Salome Charamalet
  • Stefano Toffano

Azelis Group NV : Improving yoy growth on easier comps

>Signs of end market stabilisation - Azelis’ end-markets are showing signs of a sustained recovery in volumes, albeit still (partly) offset by continuing pricing pressures in many of its markets. The company generated Q2 24 revenues of € 1,095m, +4% yoy and +3% vs our estimates. Operating EBITA for the quarter was c. € 130m, stable yoy (+2% vs. AAOBe). Profitability remained relatively high despite the cyclical weakness, but the group’s conversion margin decreased yoy...

Guy Sips ... (+10)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ABI BB, AED BB, FAGR BB, GBLB BB, INGA NA, IVA FP, AZE...

: ABI BB, AED BB, FAGR BB, GBLB BB, INGA NA, IVA FP, AZE BB, DEME BB, SYENS BB

Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thibault Leneeuw

Azelis Recovery in America offsets slightly weaker EMEA and APAC

Azelis revenues were slightly above expectations given a recovery in the US CASE and LatAm market, supported by FX dynamics. This partially offset by lower organic growth in APAC and EMEA. The shift towards more Industrial Chemicals resulted in a slightly lower Gross profit margin compared to our estimates, yet in line with CSS. This resulted in an EBITA of € 130m and was slightly better than our and CSS expectations, both at € 128m. Overall decent results in line with what we expected. Given th...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau
LHN HOLCIM AG
AMS AMS AG ... (+10)

Credit Morning 07/29/2024

IGT Gaming and Everi will ultimately be acquired by Apollo>...

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