HEADLINES: * PZU: 1Q18 - 4% beat vs. expectations; strong performance in claims and admin costs; weak equities POSITIVE * Dino: very strong 1Q on lfl of 20% POSITIVE * Pfleiderer: 1Q18 results review - operating beat on successful price adjustments POSITIVE * KGHM: 1Q18 financial results - weak, but in line with our and consensus estimates NEUTRAL * PGE: reported 1Q18 figures largely in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL * Electrica: 1Q18 results in line with expectations NEUTRAL ...
HEADLINES: * Greek banks: stress test - no surprises but confirms our positive call * Folli Follie: Quintessential Capital Management claiming fraudulent behaviour by the company NEGATIVE * NBG: resignation of CEO * JSW: Zofiowka mine hit by tremor, two miners killed, three still missing NEGATIVE * Polish media: CPS' commercial audience share at 24.92% in April, while WPL's reached 0.38% NEUTRAL * Transgaz: open season procedure for Black Sea gas * Banca Transilvania: acq...
EME Equity Market – April 2018 Market performance – ASE gained the most in April, while the ISE30 lost the most. The MSCI EME dropped by 3.2% mom in EUR terms. The ASE index (+10% mom) reported the largest rate of return, followed by the Polish WIG20 index (+2.9%), and the BUX (+2.7% mom); while the Turkish ISE30 lost -10.4% mom, followed by the Russian MICEX (-6.3% mom), and the Czech PX index (-1.4% mom). The Romanian BET index stayed fairly flat (-0.1% mom).
HEADLINES: * Greek banks: stick to your guns (Alpha and NBG stay BUY; Eurobank upgraded to BUY; Piraeus stays HOLD) * Russian equity market: putting last week's performance into a broader context * JSW: 1Q18 trading update - volume growth and strong pricing POSITIVE * Enea: Bogdanka posts poor 1Q18 on "geological and hydrological" issues NEGATIVE * Cyfrowy Polsat: 1Q18E preview - 4% yoy EBITDA drop expected (due on 10 May) NEUTRAL * Short News (ALR, OTP)
EME Equity Market – March 2018 Market performance – only Romania and Prague in positive territory. The MSCI EME lost 5.8% mom in March, continuing the negative trend after February’s 1.1% contraction. The Romanian BET index was the best performer in March, +3.1%, while Prague’s PX index remained broadly flat, recording a small gain of 0.3%. On the negative side, the Turkish ISE30 performed poorly, losing 9.1%, followed by the Warsaw WIG20, -7.3%. The Greek ASE index fell by 6.6% and Mosc...
HEADLINES: * National Bank: results in line, expecting a better 2018E * Piraeus Bank: weak 4Q, management confident of a turnaround in 2018E * Titan Cement: weaker-than-anticipated 4Q * Mytilineos: results in line, cash flow better * JSW: Prairie Mining and the company to appraise future cooperation on Prairie's coal projects NEUTRAL * Kruk: acquires 51% stake in Italian debt management company POSITIVE * Aegean Airlines: aircraft replacement programme from 2020E POS...
HEADLINES: * Norilsk Nickel: don't beliEVe the hype (HOLD - reinitiation of coverage) * CCC: 4Q soft, as expected NEGATIVE * Motor Oil Hellas: 4Q17 results, great performance despite market conditions POSITIVE * National Bank: impact of IFRS 9 implementation * JSW: 4Q financial results - 29% miss vs. consensus EBITDA on higher costs, despite improved pricing NEGATIVE * Gubretas: 4Q17 review - beats both consensus and our expectations POSITIVE * Eurobank: 4Q17 - reassurin...
EME Equity Market – February 2018 Market performance –Moscow the regional top performer in February. In February, the MSCI EME lost 1.1% mom in EUR terms, vs. the 6.6% gain in the previous month. The largest rate of return in February was realised by the MICEX, up 2.1%, followed by Bucharest’s BET (+0.9% mom) and the Turkish ISE30 (+0.7%). The other regional indices ended the month in negative territory, with Warsaw’s WIG20 recording the largest drop (-7.9%) and Budapest’s BUX followin...
HEADLINES: * Romanian coverage universe: growth normalising (TLV, BRD, BVB, FP, SNN, SNP, SNG, COTE, EL, TEL, TGN, M, DIGI, SIF1, SIF2, SIF3, SIF4, SIF5) * Polish banks: parliament reignites works on FX mortgage bill draft NEGATIVE * JSW: 4Q17 trading update - lower-than-expected volumes NEGATIVE * PKN Orlen: settlement of the tender offer for Unipetrol NEUTRAL * Bank of Cyprus: 4Q17E results preview - marginal profitability in 4Q (due out tomorrow) * Kernel: 2Q FY18E preview ...
Market performance – Russian MICEX and Greek ASE indices up the most in November in EUR terms. In November, the MSCI EME index increased by 2.2% mom in EUR terms. The Russian MICEX managed to rise the most (+8.2% mom), followed by the Greek ASE (+6.4% mom). The only other EME index to end the month in positive territory was the Romanian BET (+0.2% mom). The worst-performing EME index was the Turkish ISE30, which lost 12.2% mom, while the Czech PX (-4.5% mom) and Polish WIG20 (-4.1% mom) also f...
We are reinitiating coverage of JSW with a BUY recommendation and a PLN 103/share price target (PT). We do not believe that coking coal prices are sustainable at current levels, but the reduction in Chinese output should sustainably tighten the market, and support prices above USD 120/tonne, preventing a return to 1H16 price levels, in our view. JSW’s restructuring programme has lowered its FCF breakeven level to USD 100/t, according to management, which should be enough for JSW to remain a vi...
The MSCI EME index increased by 3.6% mom in EUR terms in October, while most stock markets also rose. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer (+7.5% mom), while the Czech PX index (+6.7% mom), the Polish WIG20 (+5.9% mom) and the Greek ASE index (+4.5% mom) also managed to report growth. The Russian MICEX (+2.2% mom) and the Turkish ISE30 index (+1.8% mom) also grew, but to a smaller extent. The only CEE index to end the month in negative territory was the Romanian BET, which lost -3.0% mom. C...
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