GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls: Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June: Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Positioning For Positive US Trade Deals: Our Jun 25 Alpha Picks outperform. Jul 25 picks: Coraza, Duopharma, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, Inari and MYEG. SINGAP...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Modest recovery with construction rebound. Sector Macau Gaming Jun 25 GGR beat consensus by 9%; GGR has regained momentum in recent months. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights MAP Aktif Adiperkasa (MAPA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp700) Expanding active lifestyle retail business; 1Q25 NPAT up 21% yoy. MAL...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Calls: Add Prudential and Sino Biopharm to our BUY list. Take profit on SHKP and Trip.com. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In May: Good performances from most with the exception of GOTO and BUKA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Raising Emphasis On Infrastructure Plays: Our May 25 Alpha Picks outperformed with resounding success. June 25 picks: Duopharma, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, MYEG, Northeast Group. SINGAPORE S...
In 1Q25, earnings under our coverage are at Bt201.14b (-0.1% yoy, +46.2% qoq). The qoq increase was due to seasonality. The banking, telecommunications and consumer staples sectors reported remarkable results. For 2025 we reduce earnings growth by 3.8%, but opportunities remain in domestic and external plays. Overall, we lower 2025F EPS to Bt80 from Bt94and our SET target to 1,280 (from 1,500 in 1Q25) based on 16.0x forward PE. Top picks are ADVANC, RATCH, BCH, IVL, PTTGC.
RATCH reported a 1Q25 net profit of Bt1.22b (–21% yoy, +90% qoq), weighed down by a higher-than-expected tax rate of 27%. Excluding an FX loss of Bt122m, core profit rose 82% qoq to Bt1.34b, slightly below our forecast (1Q25 accounting for 16% of FY25F). RATCH offers a stable cash flow, with solid earnings visibility with potential upside from M&A. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt40.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AP Thailand (AP TB/BUY/Bt6.70/Target: Bt9.60) 1Q25: Earnings in line, improvement expected in 2Q25. Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB/BUY/Bt24.10/Target: Bt33.00) 1Q25: Reported earnings in line with decent yoy growth. Berli Jucker (BJC TB/BUY/Bt23.70/Target: Bt28.00) 1Q25: Better-than-expected earnings growth. Electricity Generating PCL (EGCO TB/BUY/Bt109.00/Target: Bt115.00) 1Q25: Solid 1Q25 results with still-impressive yield. Ratch Group...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls: Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Apr 25: Remove ICBP, EXCL and MIKA; add BBTN and GOTO. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Capitalising On Sentiment Turnaround: Our Apr 25 Alpha Picks underperformed. May 25 picks: Duopharma, Gamuda, IJM, IOI Properties, TIME dotCom, MYEG, Nationgate, Northeast Group and RHB Bank. SINGAPO...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. Sector Aviation Airlines: 1Q25 results below expectations. Weak fuel prices to support full-year performance. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. INDONESIA Strategy 1Q25 Results Recap ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon tariff pressures. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp348/Target: Rp480) Iphone 16 series to be available in 2Q25. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Matrix Concepts Holdings (MCH MK/BUY/RM1.27/Target: RM1.66) We view the RPT deal as fair and strategic as the acquisition allows Matrix to see faster ro...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Add CR Beer, Desay, JBM Healthcare, JD Logistics, Minth, WuXi App Tech and Xiaomi Corp to our BUY list. Take profit on AIA, Hansoh Pharma, JD and Zijin Mining. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25: Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Pockets of Opportunities: Our Mar 25 Alpha Picks outperform. Apr 25 picks: Alpha IVF, Duopharma, IJM, IOI Properties, TIME...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Calls: Add Geely, JD, SHKP and Zijin Mining to our BUY list. Take profit on CATL, Desay, JD Logistics, Mengniu, Plover Bay and Tencent. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In Feb 25: Our picks are BBNI, BBRI, MIKA, EXCL, KLBF, JSMR and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Unprecedented Combo Of Disappointments: Our Feb 25 Alpha Picks sorely underperformed. Mar 25 picks: 99SpeedMart, Alpha IVF, KPJ Healthcare, MrDIY, MYEG, RHB Ba...
RATCH reported 4Q24 net profit of Bt642, up 56% yoy and down 61% qoq. Excluding forex loss, RATCH’s 4Q24 core profit was Bt737m, up 541% yoy and down 64% qoq. Both core and net profits were below our expectations. 2024 core profit rose 24% yoy to Bt6.2b, driven by gains from JVs, particularly HKP and Paiton power plant in Indonesia. We still like RATCH for its impressive growth outlook in 2025 and attractive dividend yield. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt40.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results CP ALL (CPALL TB/BUY/Bt49.25/Target: Bt66.00) 4Q24: Better-than-expected earnings. Home Product Center (HMPRO TB/HOLD/Bt8.15/Target: Bt10.00) 4Q24: Results in line. Quality Houses (QH TB/HOLD/Bt1.61/Target: Bt1.70) 4Q24: Below expectations, decreasing yoy and qoq. Ratchaburi Group (RATCH TB/BUY/Bt27.00/Target: Bt40.00) 4Q24: Results below expectations, but bo...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls: Add AIA, CR Land, Haier and Han’s Laser to our BUY list. Take profit on Crystal, Geely, Trip.com and Weimob. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Underperformance In Jan 25: Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Spotlight On The Upcoming Results Winners: Our Alpha Picks outperformed in Jan 25. Feb 25 picks: Gamuda, GENM, Kossan, MrDIY, MYEG, Pekat, RGB, RHB Bank, VSI...
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade Export Growth Rebounded; Rush Order Ahead Of Tariffs? Sector Education Key growth themes in 2025 upon policy clarity and AI integration progress. Property Sales pull back mom before Chinese New Year; updates of 2024 op...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls: Add CATL, JD Logistics, Miniso and Plover Bay to our BUY list, and Weimob to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Our Selections Outperform In 2024: Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Still Ample Domestic Catalysts: Our Alpha Picks outperformed in Dec 24. Jan 25 picks: Gamuda, GENM, MrDIY, MYEG, Pekat, RGB, RHB Bank, SP Setia, VSI and Yinson. SINGAP...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Add CATL, JD Logistics, Miniso and Plover Bay to our BUY list, and Weimob to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Our Selections Outperform In 2024 Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII. MALAYSIA Update VS Industry (VSI MK/BUY/RM1.16/Target: RM1.50) Despite a 17% recovery in its share price since its low in m...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Add Desay, Meituan, Mengniu, Tencent, and Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit from CATL. Update CR Mixc Lifestyle (1209 HK/BUY/HK$29.20/Target: HK$32.15) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. China Resources Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$23.25/Target:HK$32.40) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Regina Miracle (2199 HK/Not Rated/HK$2....
RATCH reported 3Q24 net profit of Bt1.7b, up 40% yoy and down 28% qoq (due to low seasonal power demand). Excluding forex gains of Bt369m, RATCH’s 3Q24 core profit was Bt2.0b, up 97% yoy and down 1% qoq. Both core and net profits are in line with our expectations. 9M24 core profit rose by 19% yoy to Bt5.5b. We still like RATCH for its impressive growth outlook in 2025 and we continue to see upside for its share price from here on. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt40.00.
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