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Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Q1 reporting continues

This week, Castellum and Balder reported Q1 results, Wihlborgs announced a new lease, and SBB corrected 2023 profits and dissolved Unobo. Norges Bank has signalled interest rates might stay higher for longer. K2A has halted preference dividend payments. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.69% for 2024e and 4.97% for 2025e.

Martin Arnell
  • Martin Arnell

Kindred Group Minor model adjustments

We have raised our 2024e adj. EBITDA by 2%, owing to the Q1 results and adj. EBITDA of GBP59.3m, up 20% YOY, 8% above our forecast (no consensus available) on surprisingly strong cost control (GBP10m lower opex than we forecast). The start to Q2 (daily average revenue up 8% YOY in constant currency, up to and including 4 February) was in line with our estimates, and the 2024 guidance for adj. EBITDA of GBP250m is unchanged. We do not consider these changes to be material, and we have not changed...

 PRESS RELEASE

Adevinta ASA (ADE) - Mandatory notification of trade – Employee Share ...

Adevinta ASA (ADE) - Mandatory notification of trade – Employee Share Purchase Plan Oslo, 2nd May 2024 - Employees of Adevinta ASA have on the 30 of April 2024 purchased 82,975 Adevinta shares through a broker on the Oslo Stock Exchange as part of Adevinta’s employee share purchase plans at an average share price of NOK 113.46 per share. The shares will be transferred to the participants in the coming days. The transactions are related to the 1st enrollment window in the Adevinta Share Purchase Plan for 2024, and based on savings made during January, February and March 2024. The transact...

ABGSC Seafood Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Seafood Research
  • Martin Kaland
  • Simon Brun

If it's too good to be true, it usually is

Salmon prices higher on another blow to '24e supply, but farmers struggling to reap the benefits due to weak biology. Valuation not demanding, but more mixed triggers short term.

ABGSC Seafood Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Seafood Research
  • Martin Kaland
  • Simon Brun

Valuation remains attractive

Q1e EBIT of EUR 201m, as pre-announced. '24e EBIT down 8% on weak biology and soft US prices. Sector top-pick at '24e-25e P/E of 13x-11x (5Y-avg. 16x).

 PRESS RELEASE

Mowi ASA (OSE:MOWI): Presentation of Q1 2024 results 8 May 2024 at 08:...

Mowi ASA (OSE:MOWI): Presentation of Q1 2024 results 8 May 2024 at 08:00 (CET) Mowi ASA hereby invites you to the presentation of the results for the first quarter 2024 at Høyres Hus, Stortingsgata 20, 0117 Oslo, Norway. The results will be presented in English through a live webcast followed by a Q&A session. Participants will have the opportunity to submit questions online throughout the webcast session. The webcast will be available on A recording of the webcast will be made available on our website immediately afterwards. Please note that the quarterly report and presentation will b...

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Haakon Amundsen

A good start to the year

Q1 EPS 7% above, but some special elements. Backlog implies revenue estimates are robust. Strong momentum, high expectations - HOLD.

Niclas Gehin
  • Niclas Gehin

Kongsberg Gruppen (Hold, TP: NOK780.00) - Solid Maritime margin beat i...

Q1 EBITDA beat our estimate and consensus by 9%, explained by a stronger Maritime (KM) margin than expected. However, as previously guided, the Defence (KD) margin did fall to 17% in this quarter. We have edged our 2025–2026e EPS up 2% after primarily raising our KM margin assumptions, but reiterate our HOLD and NOK780 target price as we believe the stock is already pricing in a possible ramp-up of NATO defence spending to at least 2.5% of GDP for all member states.

 PRESS RELEASE

Adevinta ASA (ADE) - Mandatory notification of trade – Employee Share ...

Adevinta ASA (ADE) - Mandatory notification of trade – Employee Share Purchase Plan Oslo, 29 April 2024 - Employees of Adevinta ASA have on the 26th of April 2024 received a total of 26,393 gross Adevinta treasury shares. After withholding tax, a total of 13,736 shares were sold at a price of 113.89983 NOK per share to cover tax responsibilities and the net number of shares to be transferred to the employees will be 12,657 shares. The net shares will be transferred to the participants in the coming days. This transaction is related to bonus matching shares given to employees who enrolled in...

ABGSC Online Gaming Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Online Gaming Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Simon Jönsson

Limited surprises

Q1 was slightly above expectations but triggers limited revisions. Potential NL deposit limits could hurt Kindred as market leader. Keep HOLD on neutral risk-reward with SEK 130 cash offer.

Martin Arnell
  • Martin Arnell

Kambi (Buy, TP: SEK190.00) - New growth and nations incoming

Kambi showed steps in the right direction in Q1 after expectations were re-based in conjunction with the Q4 report. We have raised our 2024e EBIT by 5% following the earnings beat in Q1, and find the implicit EBIT guidance of EUR~15m fairly conservative in light of e.g. the upcoming onboarding of Svenska Spel in Sweden and LiveScore in the UK. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to SEK190 (180).

Martin Arnell
  • Martin Arnell

Kambi (Buy, TP: SEK190.00) - New growth and nations incoming

Kambi showed steps in the right direction in Q1 after expectations were re-based in conjunction with the Q4 report. We have raised our 2024e EBIT by 5% following the earnings beat in Q1, and find the implicit EBIT guidance of EUR~15m fairly conservative in light of e.g. the upcoming onboarding of Svenska Spel in Sweden and LiveScore in the UK. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to SEK190 (180).

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Q1 reporting season kicks off

Q1 reporting season kicked off this week, with results from Nyfosa, Entra, Wallenstam, Fabege, KMC Properties, Pandox, and Catena. In other news, Public Property Invest is to be listed on the Oslo stock exchange on 29 April. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.75% for 2024e and 5.04% for 2025e.

ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye

One step forward, two steps back

Q1: 9% beat, but Kemi shutdown to weigh on Q2. Early-cyclicals improve, late-cyclicals to follow. Kemi and Husum projects could add >50% to EBIT. HOLD.

Martin Arnell
  • Martin Arnell

Evolution (Buy, TP: SEK1700.00) - Live buying opportunity

We reiterate our BUY and SEK1,700 target price after healthy but in-line Q1 results (Live revenue growth >25% YOY at constant FX). In our view, the weak share price despite a healthy start to the year, promising new games pipeline, high-conviction growth outlook (growth investments, e.g. recruitment), and long-awaited Live dealer contract with leading operator bet365 offers a solid buying opportunity.

Johannes Grunselius
  • Johannes Grunselius

Metsa Board (Hold, TP: EUR7.70) - Positive start to 2024

The Q1 results were largely in line with our expectations, and the long-lasting market headwind finally turned into a tailwind, enabling paper shipments to rise 20% QOQ. However, while we expect market conditions to remain fairly healthy in 2024 and beyond, Metsa Board looks unlikely to reap the benefits due to interruptions at the Kemi flagship mill during Q2. With favourable business exposure to packing and pulp, we reiterate our HOLD and EUR7.70 target price.

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