The unfolding trade war has led us to cut our global 2025–2027e demand and trim our spot price estimates. The negative price effect is partly countered by reduced mortality boosting volumes and lowering costs, leading to net EPS cuts of 11–2%. Given the sector’s solid track record in adapting to past crises and recent share-price declines, we see a significantly improved risk/reward and have a positive stance on the sector. We have upgraded Mowi, Bakkafrost, and Grieg Seafood to BUY (HOLD).
The US Trade Representative on 17 April published revised US port fees with significant changes to the initial proposal based on industry feedback. In its current form, the fees will primarily discourage use of Chinese-controlled maritime trade services to the US, and directly affect the use of Chinese-built vessels in US ports (with several considerable exemptions to avoid harm to US trade). The previous broader fees based on fleet composition and share of Chinese-built vessels has been scrappe...
With ~90% of days fixed for 2025 and 2026, and a cash balance of 11x its ‘regular’ quarterly dividend, Flex LNG’s USD0.75 DPS looks insulated from market storm, offering a compelling 14% yield. Additionally, we expect freight markets to recover from 2026, with current newbuild prices implying a long-term TC contract of cUSD90k/day to justify the investment, in our opinion supporting a firm long-term rate outlook. We reiterate our BUY but have cut our target price to NOK320 (340).
Mowi ASA (OSE:MOWI): Q1 2025 Trading update Harvest volumes Q1 2025 (1) Farming Norway62.0 thousand tonnesFarming Scotland17.5 thousand tonnesFarming Chile14.0 thousand tonnesFarming Canada5.0 thousand tonnesFarming Ireland2.5 thousand tonnesFarming Faroes4.0 thousand tonnesFarming Iceland (Arctic Fish)3.0 thousand tonnesTotal108.0 thousand tonnes In connection with the presentation of the Q4 2024 results, Mowi guided a total harvest volume of 108k GWT for Q1 2025 (96.5k GWT in Q1 2024). Note:(1) The harvest volumes are provided in gutted weight equivalents (GWT). Additional information ...
Pent-up demand and falling interest rates remain the backbone for newbuild recovery expectations. However, as the recovery has not yet started, property developers screen as the most attractive long-term, but visibility remains mixed. Diversified construction companies are more attractive on near-term P/Es, although many seem to be fully valued on solid share-price performance over the past six months. We maintain a neutral sector view; NCC and Skanska are our top picks.
Today’s Q1 trading update showed a unit sales recovery broadly in line with our forecast. However, while starts were above our forecast, our 2025e is unchanged at 700 units. Despite KPIs seemingly recovering as expected, we still see downside risk for the stock given the long lead time to profit and dividends and as the valuation looks high relative to peers. Ahead of the Q1 results (due at 07:00 CET on 21 May), we forecast marginally negative Q1 EPS on few deliveries. We reiterate our SELL and ...
Mowi ASA: Integrated Annual Report 2024 Mowi has today published its 2024 Integrated Annual Report, including sustainability reporting and complete 2024 annual accounts with notes. The integrated report is attached, available in European Single Electronic Format (ESEF) and has been published on The Green Financing Impact Report in relation to Mowi’s Green Bond issuance has also been published today and is available on our website /investors/share-and-bond/bonds/ This information is subject to the disclosure requirements pursuant to section of 5-12 of the Norwegian Securities Trading Act....
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