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Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

HUTCHMED (China) (13 HK): 2024: Became self-sustainable; Fruquintinib ...

HUTCHMED reported slightly lower-than-expected 2024 revenue of US$630.2m but it delivered positive earnings of US$37.7m, beating consensus estimates of a net loss for 2024. The company continues to see R&D and commercial potential in the oncology business. With new market approvals for Fruquintinib in both China and overseas, HUTCHMED targets oncology revenue to reach US$350m-450m and accelerated earnings growth in 2025. Maintain BUY and target price of HK$30.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+12)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Thursday, March 20, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$97.90/Target: HK$108.80) Anta’s 2024 revenue beat estimates, but core profit was in line. While slightly revising the Anta brand’s sales target to a high single digit, management lowered Fila’s sales target to a mid single digit and aims to maintain operating margin stable at 25%, given: a) the increasing contribution of online and outlets channels with deeper discounts, and b) the need for investments in product innovations to gain market sha...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+15)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Philip Wong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, March 20, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$97.90/Target: HK$108.80): 2024: Revenue beats estimates but profit in line; lower sales target and conservative margin outlook for Fila. Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$56.35/Target: HK$68.00): 4Q24: Earnings up 34% yoy, in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. HUTCHMED (China) (13 HK/BUY/HK$23.90/Target: HK$30.00): 2024: Became self-sustainable; Fruquintinib continues to drive growth in 2025. Kerry Properties (683 HK/BUY/HK$18.74/Target:...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: Outperformers empowered by AI revolution.

AI revolution is a key trend of the healthcare industry for the long term. It will drive innovation, improve efficiency and enhance patient outcomes. AI technologies hold transformative potential in various areas. By leveraging genomic, clinical and molecular data, it is changing medical diagnosis, drug R&D and delivery of precision medical care, ultimately leading to better medical outcomes. The internet healthcare and ICL segments are the most direct beneficiaries in the short term.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: CRDMO leaders take a temporary reprieve, aiming fast...

With slower-than-expected improvement in biotech funding, 2025 remains a challenging year for most biotech and CRO/CDMO companies. However, the delay of the Biosecure Act in 2024 offers a temporary reprieve for leading CRDMO companies. WuXi Bio and WuXi AppTec are likely to deliver faster revenue growth in 2025 vs 2024, supported by their competitive strength in obtaining new projects and customers, despite the considerable geopolitical risks. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: The challenging but rewarding journey of globalisati...

The global pharmaceutical market reached a value of US$1.09t in 2023, 10x China’s size. Despite considerable geopolitical risks, leading domestic biopharmaceutical firms are going global in pursuit of promising growth potential and higher margins. Adopting effective globalisation strategies, BeiGene and HUTCHMED are frontrunners with two and one novel therapeutics respectively. Their robust product pipelines also bode well for their long-term prospects in the global market. Our top pick is HUTCH...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+18)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, January 17, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales down 10% yoy but up 8.5% wow; EVs gain on subsidy rollout. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Healthcare The challenging but rewarding journey of globalisation amid rising geopolitical risks. Internet ...

300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
ASM PACIFIC TECHNOLOGY LIMITED
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
01093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LIMITED
UNTR PT UNITED TRACTORS TBK
U11 UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LTD. (SINGAPORE)
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
02669 CHINA OVERSEAS PROPERTY HOLDINGS LIMITED
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
AXIATA AXIATA GROUP BERHAD
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
3933 THE UNITED LABORATORIES INTE
WPRTS WESTPORTS HOLDINGS BHD
HCM HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LIMITED
06098 COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
601138 FOXCONN INDUSTRIAL INTERNET CO. LTD. CLASS A
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
6049 POLY PROPERTY SERVICES CO LTD
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
09999 NETEASE INC
01209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES (RED CHIP)
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
300765 CSPC INNOVATION PHARMACEUTICAL CO L
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: The challenging but rewarding journey of globalisati...

The global pharmaceutical market reached a value of US$1.09t in 2023, 10x China’s size. Despite considerable geopolitical risks, leading domestic biopharmaceutical firms are going global in pursuit of promising growth potential and higher margins. Adopting effective globalisation strategies, BeiGene and HUTCHMED are frontrunners with two and one novel therapeutics respectively. Their robust product pipelines also bode well for their long-term prospects in the global market. Our top pick is HUTCH...

Franc Gregori ... (+3)
  • Franc Gregori
  • Lala Gregorek
  • Philippa Gardner

HUTCHMED: Advancing innovation and increasing core business focus

HUTCHMED has secured divestment proceeds to advance its innovative pipeline, including its newly disclosed proprietary next-generation antibody-targeted therapy conjugate (ATTC) platform, through monetising a 45% equity interest in a non-core JV (joint venture). This divestment sharpens the focus onto HUTCHMED’s core business and will enable investment into the early-stage ATTC platform. Cash proceeds of c $608m provide additional financial flexibility as HUTCHMED executes on its goal of sustain...

Franc Gregori ... (+3)
  • Franc Gregori
  • Lala Gregorek
  • Philippa Gardner

Trinity Delta Lighthouse: HUTCHMED

Trinity Delta view: The depth of HUTCHMED’s innovative pipeline is becoming increasingly apparent as clinical data disclosures are made. Management focus on developing potential first-in-class or best-in-class therapies that address sizable markets where there are either limited or inadequate treatment options should bring benefits to patients and payors, and to investors. The profile of the three assets highlighted at the R&D event provide greater confidence in the mid-term prospects for HUTCHM...

Franc Gregori ... (+3)
  • Franc Gregori
  • Lala Gregorek
  • Philippa Gardner

HUTCHMED: Data at EHA 2024 heighten focus on sovleplenib

HUTCHMED’s clinical data presentations at the European Hematology Association (EHA) 2024 congress have provided meaningful insights into sovleplenib’s efficacy and safety profile. This is the first HUTCHMED immunology/haem-oncology asset to be filed in China, with a potential approval decision in ≥2L immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) expected late-2024. The prospect of China approvals for sovleplenib and follow-on indications for fruquintinib, as well as the first potential fruquintinib regulatory d...

Franc Gregori ... (+3)
  • Franc Gregori
  • Lala Gregorek
  • Philippa Gardner

Trinity Delta Lighthouse: HUTCHMED

Trinity Delta view: Partner Takeda has executed an impressive initial launch of Fruzaqla in the US, which provides confidence in future successful launches in Europe and Japan (once regulatory approvals are secured), and for Fruzaqla’s longer-term growth prospects with expansion to additional indications. Fruzaqla’s commercial prospects are a key contributor to HUTCHMED’s path to profitability, which is supported by the growing traction and market share capture of its China oncology products, pl...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

Hutchmed (China) (13 HK): Maintaining oncology revenue target of US$45...

Hutchmed has built strong R&D capabilities with three self-developed innovative small molecule oncology drugs successfully marketed in China. It focuses on exploring overseas markets and expanding the number of indications for its existing products, and actively develops combination therapies for its pipeline products with domestic biologics drugs. It maintains its oncology revenue guidance of US$450m-550m in 2023, and targets to achieve breakeven in 2025.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+14)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Ariel Poh Yun Li
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Philip Wong
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Sunny Chen

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, October 12, 2023

GREATER CHINA Sector Banking: 3Q23 results preview: Earnings growth expected to reach bottom. Asian Gems Corporate Highlights Crystal International (2232 HK)/NOT RATED/HK$2.45): Takeaways from luncheon. Hutchmed (China) (13 HK/NOT RATED/HK$26.60): Maintaining oncology revenue target of US$450m-550m in 2023. Nio Inc (9866 HK/NOT RATED/HK$68.90): Takeaways from Asian Gems Conference. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$12.30/Target: HK$15.30): Takeaways from Asian Gems Conference. INDONESIA Asian Gems Co...

Franc Gregori ... (+3)
  • Franc Gregori
  • Lala Gregorek
  • Philippa Gardner

HUTCHMED: Surfing the ‘waves’ towards profitability

HUTCHMED’s clearly articulated strategy is delivering, with consistent clinical and commercial execution marking its continuing transition from a development stage company into a profitable commercial organisation. Growth in Oncology/ Immunology revenues, defined investment priorities, and a global partnering strategy should all contribute to achieving a FY25 breakeven target. HUTCHMED aims to expand its marketed portfolio of oncology drugs in China from three to six or seven by FY25, addressing...

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 16 Jun 23

16th June 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objecti...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

HUTCHMED (China) (13 HK): An advanced small molecule drug innovator.

Founded in 2000, Hutchmed has built strong R&D capabilities with three selfdeveloped innovative small molecule oncology drugs (namely Surufatinib, Fruquintinib and Savolitinib) successfully marketed in China. It collaborates with its MNC partners and carries out multi-centre global trials for its major drug assets, aiming to provide advanced treatment options and achieve its globalisation ambitions. Expecting robust revenue expansion, it targets to achieve breakeven in 2025.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+9)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kate Luang
  • Kelvin Chau Siu Pong
  • Sunny Chen
  • Terence Chiu

Greater China Daily: Monday, May 22, 2023

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Baijiu And Beer Prefer premium baijiu: Solid sales performance to drive sector re-rating. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on baijiu sector and downgrade beer sector to MARKET WEIGHT. Property Pressure on HIBOR marginally alleviated; retail momentum remains strong. Update Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company (3692 HK/BUY/HK$12.46/Target:HK$18.00) Continuous innovation transformation. HUTCHMED (China) (13 HK/NOT RATED/HK$20.25) An advanced small molecule drug innovator. Small/Mid Cap...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+15)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Damon Shen
  • Hazmy Hazin
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kate Luang
  • Kelvin Chau Siu Pong
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Sunny Chen
  • Thailand Research Team

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, May 22, 2023

GREATER CHINA Sector Baijiu And Beer: Prefer premium baijiu: Solid sales performance to drive sector re-rating. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on baijiu sector and downgrade beer sector to MARKET WEIGHT. Property: Pressure on HIBOR marginally alleviated; retail momentum remains strong. Update Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company (3692 HK/BUY/HK$12.46/Target:HK$18.00): Continuous innovation transformation. HUTCHMED (China) (13 HK/NOT RATED/HK$20.25): An advanced small molecule drug innovator. Small/Mid Cap H...

Franc Gregori ... (+3)
  • Franc Gregori
  • Lala Gregorek
  • Philippa Gardner

HUTCHMED: Significant 2022 achievements catalyse a promising 2023

HUTCHMED’s transition into a sustainably profitable global biopharma continues to gather momentum, as evidenced in FY22 results, with growing commercial traction in China and pipeline progress with key assets. Global ambitions are now being addressed with partners. Positive fruquintinib FRESCO-2 data, completion of US FDA rolling filing, and execution of a global ex-China commercial and development deal with Takeda brings first launch of a HUTCHMED product outside of China even closer. The $400m...

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