All the healthcare stocks under our coverage exhibited a positive performance from 16-30 July. Due to expectations of strong results for 1H25, CRDMO companies were the top performers, with share prices surging by 22-34%. Supported by major BD/M&A deals, MicroPort, Sino Biopharm and Hengui Medicines also saw their stock prices rise significantly by 65.3%, 16.8% and 13.0%, respectively.
GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare Bi-Weekly: Expecting strong 1H25 results. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Contemporary Amperex Technology (300750 CH/BUY/Rmb277.09 /Target: Rmb390.00) 2Q25: Earnings in line, with margins hitting record-high levels. Maintain A-share at BUY. Downgrade H-share to HOLD. New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$44.37/Target: US$55.00) ...
The performance of China's biotechnology sector has remained strong as the market expects biopharmas and CRDMO companies to report robust earnings growth in 1H25, supported by the continued strengthening of the biopharmaceutical pipeline and increasing BD and M&A activities. Moreover, the commercial insurance policy will further support the sector’s rally. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity Resilient 1H25 growth of 5.3% yoy belies rising downside pressure. Sector Healthcare Weekly: Gaining strength on robust earnings outlook and pipeline growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Property Property sales and prices weakened further in J...
China's biotechnology sector has entered an accelerated growth phase, with firms expanding their innovative commercial product portfolios, achieving significant outlicensing deals and enjoying unexpected profitability. With an unprecedented showing of 74 oral presentations at ASCO 2025, the sector highlighted its robust pipeline and expanding role in global innovation. Sustained policy support and globalisation efforts will further support this expansion. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT with Innovent, Han...
GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare Entering a new phase of accelerated growth. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. Internet 618 Festival – Evolving consumer trends and continued focus on value for money. Small/Mid Cap Highlights JBM Healthcare (2161 HK/BUY/HK$2.85/Target: HK$3.31) Takeaways from luncheon. INDONESIA Update Kalbe Farma (KL...
China's biotechnology sector has entered an accelerated growth phase, with firms expanding their innovative commercial product portfolios, achieving significant outlicensing deals and enjoying unexpected profitability. Moreover, Chinese biotech firms had an unprecedented showing at ASCO 2025, with 74 oral presentations highlighting their robust pipelines and the sector's strong growth trajectory. Sustained policy support and globalisation efforts will further support this expansion. Upgrade to O...
Drug innovators beat consensus with strong 2024/1Q25 results. Biopharma is set to outperform in 2025 with robust innovative pipelines and effective globalisation strategies. Internet healthcare players will maintain solid revenue growth and improve profitability in 2025/FY26. Medical devices and leading hospital players should recover steadily in 2025, while ICL and TCM companies may face continued policy uncertainties. Geopolitical risks remain a threat to CRDMO majors. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT.
Most domestic biopharmaceutical companies expect the US-China trade tensions to have limited impact in the short term, while the long-term impact remains uncertain. We prefer drug innovators focusing on domestic operations and internet healthcare players. The out-licensing business model is unlikely impacted by the trade tensions, while CRDMO players could face considerable geopolitical risks. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Our top picks are Innovent, Hansoh Pharma, Ali Health and PAGD.
HUTCHMED reported slightly lower-than-expected 2024 revenue of US$630.2m but it delivered positive earnings of US$37.7m, beating consensus estimates of a net loss for 2024. The company continues to see R&D and commercial potential in the oncology business. With new market approvals for Fruquintinib in both China and overseas, HUTCHMED targets oncology revenue to reach US$350m-450m and accelerated earnings growth in 2025. Maintain BUY and target price of HK$30.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$97.90/Target: HK$108.80) Anta’s 2024 revenue beat estimates, but core profit was in line. While slightly revising the Anta brand’s sales target to a high single digit, management lowered Fila’s sales target to a mid single digit and aims to maintain operating margin stable at 25%, given: a) the increasing contribution of online and outlets channels with deeper discounts, and b) the need for investments in product innovations to gain market sha...
GREATER CHINA Results Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$97.90/Target: HK$108.80): 2024: Revenue beats estimates but profit in line; lower sales target and conservative margin outlook for Fila. Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$56.35/Target: HK$68.00): 4Q24: Earnings up 34% yoy, in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. HUTCHMED (China) (13 HK/BUY/HK$23.90/Target: HK$30.00): 2024: Became self-sustainable; Fruquintinib continues to drive growth in 2025. Kerry Properties (683 HK/BUY/HK$18.74/Target:...
AI revolution is a key trend of the healthcare industry for the long term. It will drive innovation, improve efficiency and enhance patient outcomes. AI technologies hold transformative potential in various areas. By leveraging genomic, clinical and molecular data, it is changing medical diagnosis, drug R&D and delivery of precision medical care, ultimately leading to better medical outcomes. The internet healthcare and ICL segments are the most direct beneficiaries in the short term.
With slower-than-expected improvement in biotech funding, 2025 remains a challenging year for most biotech and CRO/CDMO companies. However, the delay of the Biosecure Act in 2024 offers a temporary reprieve for leading CRDMO companies. WuXi Bio and WuXi AppTec are likely to deliver faster revenue growth in 2025 vs 2024, supported by their competitive strength in obtaining new projects and customers, despite the considerable geopolitical risks. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT.
The global pharmaceutical market reached a value of US$1.09t in 2023, 10x China’s size. Despite considerable geopolitical risks, leading domestic biopharmaceutical firms are going global in pursuit of promising growth potential and higher margins. Adopting effective globalisation strategies, BeiGene and HUTCHMED are frontrunners with two and one novel therapeutics respectively. Their robust product pipelines also bode well for their long-term prospects in the global market. Our top pick is HUTCH...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales down 10% yoy but up 8.5% wow; EVs gain on subsidy rollout. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Healthcare The challenging but rewarding journey of globalisation amid rising geopolitical risks. Internet ...
The global pharmaceutical market reached a value of US$1.09t in 2023, 10x China’s size. Despite considerable geopolitical risks, leading domestic biopharmaceutical firms are going global in pursuit of promising growth potential and higher margins. Adopting effective globalisation strategies, BeiGene and HUTCHMED are frontrunners with two and one novel therapeutics respectively. Their robust product pipelines also bode well for their long-term prospects in the global market. Our top pick is HUTCH...
HUTCHMED has secured divestment proceeds to advance its innovative pipeline, including its newly disclosed proprietary next-generation antibody-targeted therapy conjugate (ATTC) platform, through monetising a 45% equity interest in a non-core JV (joint venture). This divestment sharpens the focus onto HUTCHMED’s core business and will enable investment into the early-stage ATTC platform. Cash proceeds of c $608m provide additional financial flexibility as HUTCHMED executes on its goal of sustain...
Trinity Delta view: The depth of HUTCHMED’s innovative pipeline is becoming increasingly apparent as clinical data disclosures are made. Management focus on developing potential first-in-class or best-in-class therapies that address sizable markets where there are either limited or inadequate treatment options should bring benefits to patients and payors, and to investors. The profile of the three assets highlighted at the R&D event provide greater confidence in the mid-term prospects for HUTCHM...
HUTCHMED’s clinical data presentations at the European Hematology Association (EHA) 2024 congress have provided meaningful insights into sovleplenib’s efficacy and safety profile. This is the first HUTCHMED immunology/haem-oncology asset to be filed in China, with a potential approval decision in ≥2L immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) expected late-2024. The prospect of China approvals for sovleplenib and follow-on indications for fruquintinib, as well as the first potential fruquintinib regulatory d...
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