The HSHCI fell 7.2%, underperforming the HSI which decreased 4.4% in 1-13 Mar 26. We believe the weak performance of the healthcare sector was mainly due to the rising geopolitical tension in the Middle East triggering risk-averse sentiment, coupled with the US’ new investigation into the China biotech industry. The China biopharma segment continues to see robust out-licensing deals. Becoming an emerging pillar industry, the biopharma segment will likely receive more policy and resources support...
Greater China Economics | Money Supply Feb 26 money and credit data came in above expectations, helped by the Chinese New Year effect and better new bank credit and TSF at Rmb0.90t and Rmb2.38t respectively. This lifted M2 growth to 9.0% yoy, while M1 growth came in at 5.9% yoy. While the 2M26 data was above market expectations, the credit cycle is not in an upswing, as total credit growth edged lower to 6.0% yoy, and TSF growth stayed flat at 8.2% yoy. Sector Update | Healthcare The HSH...
2025 results were in line. Total revenue declined 13% yoy, but Fruquintinib’s in-market sales rebounded significantly hoh driven by continuous overseas growth and positive impact from sales restructuring in China. It targets oncology/immunology revenue of US$330m-450m supported by continued sales recovery. Seeing smooth R&D progress, we expect a new wave of market approvals to fuel growth for HUTCHMED in the years ahead. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$26.00 reflecting rising geopol...
Top Stories Economics | China China set a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5.0% yoy, in line with expectations, while maintaining a 4% fiscal deficit ratio. Fiscal policy remains the main growth driver, supported by Rmb4.4t in local government special bonds and Rmb1.3t in ultra-long treasury bonds, while monetary policy stays accommodative. Policy priorities focus on AI+, New Quality Productive Forces, industrial upgrading, and targeted consumption support, alongside welfare improvements and the g...
Greater China Economics | China China set a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5.0% yoy, in line with expectations, while maintaining a 4% fiscal deficit ratio. Fiscal policy remains the main growth driver, supported by Rmb4.4t in local government special bonds and Rmb1.3t in ultra-long treasury bonds, while monetary policy stays accommodative. Policy priorities focus on AI+, New Quality Productive Forces, industrial upgrading, and targeted consumption support, alongside welfare improvements and ...
The HSHCI fell by 4.0%, underperforming the HSI which decreased mildly by 0.3% in 16-27 Feb 26. AI-related names such as InSilico, Xtalpi, Medlive, Ali Health, and JD Health experienced the largest fluctuation and significant declines during this period. As globalisation gains momentum, we navigate the complexities of global market dynamics and competition. Chinese healthcare companies are making significant breakthroughs and seizing a growing share of the international market, while the increas...
The HSHCI rose 1.8%, outperforming the HSI, which declined by 3.8% in the first two weeks of Feb 26. InSilico took the lead with a 16.9% share price increase, while CRO leaders WuXi AppTec and WuXi Bio gained 11.7% and 8.1% respectively. Innovent also outperformed its peers with a 9.2% rise. Fuelled by strong innovation, business development momentum, and robust 2025 results, the Chinese healthcare sector is expected to remain resilient in 2026. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Greater China Economics | Money Supply M0 growth was weaker in Jan 26 due to Chinese New Year effects, while M2 growth rose to 9.0% yoy, the highest since 2023. New bank loans surged to Rmb4.71t and new TSF rose to Rmb7.22t, both above consensus forecasts. However, outstanding bank loan growth fell to a record-low 6.1% yoy, highlighting fragile underlying credit demand despite strong front-loaded lending. Sector Update | Healthcare HSHCI rose 1.8%, outperforming the HSI, which declined b...
China’s internet healthcare segment is entering a new phase, fuelled by accelerating AI innovation from tech giants and policy support, eg the pilot programme for first-time online consultations. Despite profitability challenges, leading players are leveraging AI ecosystems and innovative strategies to position themselves for sustained long-term growth. We maintain BUY on Ali Health and PAGD. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the China healthcare sector.
Since OpenAI’s launch of ChatGPT Health, internet healthcare share prices have fluctuated significantly. In the period 15-29 January, PAGD and Medlive dropped 15.5% and 21.7% respectively, while Ant Group-backed Ali Health remained relatively stable. Many drug innovators retreated 5-10% after an early rally, but AI-driven Insilico surged 18.8%. With robust innovative pipelines, rapid R&D, and growing product offerings, China's healthcare sector is poised to become a key player in the global mark...
At the recent investor conference, global investors viewed Chinese healthcare companies with increasing interest and optimism. Impressed by their advanced R&D pipelines and swift R&D-to-market execution capabilities, investors recognised Chinese companies’ potential for innovation and growth, particularly as they presented an array of cuttingedge products ready for global markets. This positive perception reflects a growing confidence in China's healthcare sector as a key player on the internati...
In the first two weeks of Jan 26, Chinese healthcare stocks saw impressive share price increases. Fuelled by AI healthcare themes, Dian Diagnostics soared by 83.0%, while Ali Health and Medlive rose by 42.0% and 37.5% respectively. Expectations of strong revenue and earnings growths in 2026 also led to significant share price increases of 10-30% for drug innovators and CRDMO leaders. China’s healthcare sector will continue to outperform in 2026. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Greater China Economics | Money Supply December’s monetary data was mixed. M1 growth slowed further to 3.8% yoy, slightly below expectations, while M2 growth improved to 8.5% yoy on stronger time deposits growth. On a positive note, new bank loans rebounded to Rmb0.91t, mainly driven by corporate and government borrowing, and new TSF also beat forecasts. However, outstanding bank loan growth stayed at a year-low of 6.4% yoy and TSF growth eased to 8.3% yoy, underscoring still-fragile credit ...
The sector experienced a fruitful year of innovation in 2025, and we expect globalisation and improving operating efficiency to continue to drive rapid earnings growth for drug innovators and CRO leaders from 2026 onwards. Seeing strong online demand, internet healthcare players are likely to sustain solid revenue and earnings expansion in 2026. We also anticipate that domestic medical device manufacturers will experience a gradual sales growth recovery, fuelled by technological advancements and...
Greater China Sector Update | Healthcare The sector experienced a fruitful year of innovation in 2025, and we expect globalisation and improving operating efficiency to continue to drive rapid earnings growth for drug innovators and CRO leaders from 2026 onwards. Seeing strong online demand, internet healthcare players are likely to sustain solid revenue and earnings expansion in 2026. We also anticipate that domestic medical device manufacturers will experience a gradual sales growth recove...
China healthcare stocks were relatively weak during the first two weeks of Dec 25 as investors took profits, particularly for internet healthcare and drug innovator names. Fundamentals remain solid, supported by the new commercial insurance policy, lower costs of capital, and robust pipelines. Despite rising competition in areas like generics, GLP-1 drugs and surgical robots, companies continue to advance towards sustainable growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our top picks are BeOne Medicines, Hansoh ...
Most Chinese healthcare stock prices fell along with the weak Hang Seng Index in the past two weeks. The share prices of leading drug innovators, however, have remained relatively stable. We expect drug innovators to continue to outperform, supported by possible further lowering of interest rates, increasing innovative product launches, and globalisation efforts. Meanwhile, geopolitical risks and GPO and other policy uncertainties will remain as key risks amid the recovery for CROs, medical serv...
After a significant pullback over the past two months, most Chinese healthcare stock prices have stabilised and are beginning to regain strength. Major biopharmaceuticals are leading the recovery supported by their strong 9M25 results. We expect the momentum to continue, given improving fundamentals across sub-segments. Moreover, the lower cost of capital, continuous innovation and globalisation efforts, and supportive policies eg new Commercial Health Insurance Innovative Drug List, will suppor...
Combined with a robust pipeline and partnership strategy, HUTCHMED expects its ATTC platform to deliver potentially transformative cancer and immunology treatments to patients around the world. The company has also seen smooth R&D progress in its various late-stage programmes, eg Fruquintinib (FRUSICA-2 study), Savolitinib registration studies, Surufatinib for pancreatic cancer, Sovleplenib for ITP and wAIHA, and Fanregratinib in IHCC. HUTCHMED will likely embrace a new wave of new indication/pr...
Top Stories Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&C and...
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