reports
- Livio Luyten
Sofina TikTok deal nears, clearing political overhang on Sofina's larg...
The WSJ reported that ByteDance, parent of TikTok, is nearing a deal to resolve U.S. regulatory concerns. A consortium led by Oracle, Silver Lake, and Andreessen Horowitz are set to control 80% of its U.S. business under a U.S.-China framework. The arrangement also includes an American-dominated board and Oracle handling U.S. user data in Texas, while licensing ByteDance's algorithms. Sofina acquired a minority stake in ByteDance in 2016 through a special purpose vehicle alongside other investor...
- Michiel Declercq
PostNL CMD: Launches new financial targets for 2028
Today, PNL holds a CMD in the Netherlands where it launches its new strategy and financial targets for 2028. The strategy is based on ten strategic priorities to achieve four key goals, including a strong financial performance, improved customer experience, reduced CO2 emission and greater employee engagement. The new financial targets by 2028 include revenues above € 4.0bn (kbcse: € 3.54bn), a normalized EBIT above € 175m (kbcse: € 106m), FCF above € 75m (kbcse: € 51m) and annual capex of aroun...
- Jacob Mekhael
- Mathijs Geerts Danau
UCB Supportive Bimzelx datasets in HS and PsO at EADV 2025
UCB presented updated results for Bimzelx at EADV 2025, with 3-year data showing sustained and deepening responses in HS and 4-year sustained remission in PsO and potential to reduce risk of disease progression to PsA. We continue to view the datasets as supportive of Bimxelx' potential in those indications, and are reflected in the strong commercial uptake to date. We reiterate our € 214 TP and ACCUMULATE rating.
- Jacob Mekhael
- Mathijs Geerts Danau
MaaT Pharma 1H25 results confirm timelines, runway to end Feb 2026
MaaT reported 1H25 results with € 2.4m in revenues from the early access program (1H24: € 1.7m) for MaaT013 in aGvHD, which points to increased demand for the product ahead of a potential EU approval in 2H26. Pipeline timelines were reiterated and we look forward to the final data from the phase 3 trial for MaaT013 in aGvHD for confirmation of the initial survival data reported in January 2025 (54% at 1-year). Beyond aGvHD, data from the phase 2 trial of MaaT013 in combination with ICI in metast...
- Guy Sips
- Mathijs Geerts Danau
- Michiel Declercq
- Wim Hoste
- Michiel Declercq
D'Ieteren All eyes on Belron in 2H25
Following the publication of D'Ieteren's 1H25 results, we have slightly adjusted our estimates to the downside and currently bank on an FY25 adj. PBT (gs) of € 935m (prev. € 946m). Adjusting for constant exchange rates, our estimates imply a 2.8% growth on a comparable basis, or in line with the group's guidance (slight increase). While our new estimates reflect lower margin assumptions for Belron and TVH Parts, this effect is partially offset by lower financing costs at Belron on the back of fa...
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Wim Lewi
- Guy Sips
Miko Secured a full and final settlement of € 6.75min dispute over ear...
Miko has received a final earn-out payment of €6.75m on the sale of its plastics processing division in 2021. We agree with Miko that they can be very satisfied with this result as they have avoided the high costs, uncertainty, and extended process of arbitration and litigation by reaching this agreement.
- Lynn Hautekeete
Eurocommercial Properties Feedback CMD: La grande dame gets into luxur...
The CMD was focused on the operational side of the business as the full Belgian team was present accompanied by the other country heads. The strategy of Eurocommercial was confirmed with no major updates. The goal of the CMD was clear: to show that the remerchandising project of Woluwe is a success which attracts high-end tenants at premium rents. There was a hint at an Italian acquisition but the market is competitive.
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Wim Lewi
- Kristof Samoy
CMB.Tech Unique & future proof industrial shipping platform
Late August CMB.TECH completed the merger with Golden Ocean which created one of the world's largest diversified listed maritime groups predominantly exposed to dry bulk (56% of GAV) and crude tankers (26% of GAV). Considering the ageing global tanker & bulker fleet, the group boosts an attractive low average vessel age and -thanks to its ongoing NB programme- still has room for further asset disposals while the future-proof vessels hold interesting optionality for low carbon fuel adoption. The ...
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Livio Luyten
- Wim Lewi
- Livio Luyten
TINC 1H25 Results: Updating our NAV Forecast model
In light of TINC's strong 1H25, we updated our model and projections. In 1H25, the portfolio fair value rose to €649.3m, up 26.8% from FY24-end. This is in line with our expectation of €671.1m for FY25. Long-term portfolio growth assumptions remained roughly the same, taking into account the €110.8m in commitments and an estimated €100.0m in new investments. We anticipate that the current credit facility gives TINC a runway of 3 years. For FY30, we revise our expected NAV from ~€830m or 17.2ps t...
- Lynn Hautekeete
Basic-Fit Frontloaded Costs, Strengthened Liquidity, and Upward Valuat...
We revise our FY25 and FY26 underlying EBITDA less rent forecasts upward by +3.2% and +1.7%, respectively. Our FY25 estimate now stands at EUR 343.6m, which remains at the lower end of management's guidance range (EUR 330–370m). Importantly, we lower our risk premium following the EUR 350.0m in additional secured bank financing obtained in 1H25. This enhanced liquidity profile and extended maturities reduce refinancing risk and support our confidence in Basic-Fit's capital structure. As a result...
- Wim Lewi
Warehouses De Pauw WDP on the minibus to join the AEX
WDP has been selected to enter the AEX as it is set to expand from 25 to 30 constituents starting on 22nd September. We published on the highly likelihood of its inclusion on 26/8. This marks a significant change since its last expansion in 1994. The other 4 names that rank highest : CVC, JDE Peet, Inpost and and Just Eat. The latter is under offer from Prosus. Also JDE Peet is now under offer. About 1.5bn is invested in AEX-ETF's. The impact is estimated to 1-2 day volume for new entrants, but ...
- Livio Luyten
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Wim Lewi
- Guy Sips
- Livio Luyten
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Guy Sips
Kinepolis Group Keep The Faith, they Wanna Be Startin' Somethin' in M&...
Investors should Keep The Faith as Kinepolis Group showed resilience in 1H25, rebounding from a weak start with strong 2Q visitor growth and rising profitability, supported by premium formats. While the delay of the Michael biopic (originally planed for 3Q) deprived cinemas of a potential blockbuster boost, Kinepolis' management remains confident. Despite a challenging August and an uncertain 3Q outlook, a strong 4Q and FY26 pipeline offers hope for recovery. In the meantime, Kinepolis continues...
- Jacob Mekhael
Onward Medical Receives CE Mark certification for ARC-EX in the EU
Onward announced it has received CE Mark certification for its ARC-EX System under the European Union Medical Device Regulation (MDR), enabling commercialisation in the European Union and certain other countries. We note the label includes home use as well as clinic use which is an important driver for broader commercial uptake. Onward plans to begin EU launch in the coming weeks, starting with Germany. From our conversations with management, we don't expect a significant delta on EU pricing vs....
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