reports
- Mathijs Geerts Danau
Inventiva FIRST LOOK: preliminary FY25 results hold no surprises
Inventiva reported preliminary FY25 results which hold no surprises, and confirmed its cash-runway guidance, which following the € 149m capital raise announced in November 2025, extends the company's runway to middle of 1Q27. This provides funding beyond the expected topline results from the phase 3 (NATiV3) trial of lanifibranor in MASH which are expected in 2H26. We reiterate our Buy rating and € 7 TP.
- Guy Sips
- Mathijs Geerts Danau
- Wim Hoste
- Mathijs Geerts Danau
mdxhealth ExoDx boosts 2026 growth expectations
Following mdxhealth preliminary 2025 full-year sales and 2026 sales guidance in the $ 137-140m range, we update our model and raise 2026 revenue estimates to $ 139.9m, driven by ExoDx and synergy potential with the GPS test. The ExoDx acquisition should ensure the company's high growth profile, and the increased scale should allow for further operational leverage. That said, we note that the company will likely require additional funding to cover cash outflow obligations. Given the high growth o...
- Wim Hoste
DSM-Firmenich Biting the ANH bullet
The long awaited divestment of ANH disappointed on deal value (EV € 2.2bn, including a potential earn-out of up to € 0.5bn), but creates a group with a much more comprehensive activity and earnings profile. We still appreciate dsm-firmenich for its broad portfolio and market leading positions in consumer-oriented businesses in Nutrition, Health and Beauty. We remind that we have already lowered our target price upon the ANH divestment announcement last week so we maintain our current € 82 target...
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Lewi
Retail Estates 9m25/26 results, hit by Dutch Tax bill and Bankruptcies
NRI 9m25/26 amounts to €108.7m, +2.4% YoY vs. our expectation of €108.8m. The lfl growth amounted to 2.1%. EPRA EPS came in at €4.57, -2.97% YoY vs. €4.77 expected. The EPS was diluted by the stock dividend that raised €18m and added 2.2% to the share count (35% acceptance). The statement also mentions a 1.9m impact from the Dutch FBI abolition. We believe that the bankruptcies of Leen Bakker and Carpet Right also weighed on the operational results. Despite many bankruptcies, occupancy remained ...
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Lewi
Montea Good things come to those who wait (for the big boxes)
Yesterday, Montea reported results that had an initial negative market reaction. After the call, the management and chairman Dirk De Pauw were available for a sit-down lunch to give more colour. The Q&A session centered on the pace of the development pipeline. Montea removed its project table as it believes it hurts their negotiating capacity. Now, it just reports an expected GLA of 236k sqm that will be completed over the next 2 years. The reason why it takes longer to develop the landbank is a...
- Wim Hoste
Cementir Holding FY25 Recurring EBITDA +1%, guidance calls for 0-5% gr...
FY25 Non-GAAP EBITDA jumped by 15% in absolute terms or by +1% on a recurring base (excluding incidentals). FY26 guidance calls for Recurring EBITDA to be flat to up c.5%, despite severe winter conditions in ao Nordics & Baltics at the start of the year. Cementir's diversified footprint with some key regional strongholds like Denmark and Belgium along with a deeply vertically integrated model in those regions allows to realize solid profitability, as witnessed by the current solid Recurring EBIT...
- Lynn Hautekeete
Home Invest Belgium FY25: Strong Underlying Performance Overshadowed b...
Home Invest reports results in line with our expectations at €1,21 EPRA EPS. It guides €1,23 EPRA EPS in FY26, slightly ahead of our expectation of € 1,20. At 1H25 results, Home Invest confirmed our thesis that the building right in Louvain-La-Neuve will not get renewed. As of the announcement Home Invest started to underperform (-7,1%) the EPRA index (+8,6%). The UCL has time until June 2026 to respond. This headwind will keep EPRA EPS growth muted, despite the stellar operational results: 98,...
- Guy Sips
DEME Saltchuk takes peer Great Lakes Dredge & Dock private for $1.2bn ...
Saltchuk a privately held US group active in freight transport, marine services and energy distribution, has agreed to acquire Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corp (GLDD), an US offshore energy and dredging contractor often viewed as a peer to DEME due to its similar infrastructure-focused marine activities. The deal values Great Lakes at $1.2bn equity and $1.5bn transaction value, with Saltchuk offering US$17.00 per share in cash—a 25% premium to the company's 90-day VWAP and above its all-time hig...
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Hoste
Ontex [FY25 EBITDA at low end of guidance, FY26 guidance of +10% EBITD...
4Q adjusted EBITDA dropped by 32% while FY25 adjusted EBITDA landed at 175.6m, which is at the low end of the € 175-180m guidance given at the time of the profit warning in December. FY26 guidance calls for a 10% increase in adjusted EBITDA to c. € 193m which is about 2% below our and consensus forecasts. We remind that Ontex recently decided to accelerate its CEO transition plan with Mr Nielly, previously President of Ontex Europe, having been appointed as the new CEO already in the course of J...
- Wim Lewi
Montea FY25 Results in line with guidance
Montea reported FY25 results in line with its guidance. EPRA earnings grew 18% to €112.8m and EPRA EPS +8% at €4.90 vs. €5.00 expected(KBCS). Net rental income grew 21% yoy, driven by the NL Intergamma completion to €139.8m. We anticipated a higher NRI of 143.3m, mainly driven by more acquisitions. The portfolio maintained a high occupancy of 99.8% and achieved like-for-like rental growth of 3.2% (2.9% indexing). The cost of debt declined to 2.1% vs. 2.3% FY24. Montea's financial position remain...
- Thibault Leneeuw
Fagron Solid FY25 Performance with Broad Based Momentum
Fagron delivered a solid FY25 performance, with revenue coming in 1% above CSS expectations, mainly supported by betterthanexpected growth in North America. REBITDA reached €193m, coming in 1.6% above CSS expectations, as all regions reported slightly higher margins than anticipated. Regionally, EMEA posted the strongest overall growth, driven by acquisitions, while North America and LatAm delivered DD organic growth at CER. For FY26, Fagron expects M to HSD organic growth at CER and a modest im...
- Wim Hoste
DSM-Firmenich FIRST LOOK: 4Q25 adjusted EBITDA -4%, no FY26 guidance y...
4Q adj EBITDA for the continuing operations dropped by 4% y/y and was about 4% below our forecast and 3% below consensus. Dsm-firmenich's did not give FY26 guidance at this stage but promised to do so in the upcoming Investor Event (12 March). We remind that the long awaited and recently announced divestment of ANH disappointed on deal value (EV € 2.2bn, including a potential earn-out of up to € 0.5bn), but creates a group with a much more comprehensive activity and earnings profile. We still ap...
- Kristof Samoy
NX Filtration Filtered Expectations: Growth Trickles Well Below Capaci...
Last December, filtration specialist NXFIL issued a profit warning—its fourth in a row. Following this week's FY25 release, we revised our model to reflect the disappointing top line and higher than expected cash burn. Despite favourable market conditions, a technological lead and sizeable commercial investments, the warning further eroded investor confidence. The company no longer provides quantified revenue guidance for the current year but continues to reiterate its ambitious medium term ob...
- Wim Hoste
AB InBev FIRST LOOK: FY25 EBITDA +4.9%, FY26 guidance of 4-8% organic ...
4Q organic top line and EBITDA growth was slightly better than consensus. ABI FY26 guidance of 4-8% organic EBITDA growth is in line with the mid term guidance and our & consensus estimates at c. +5%. Total FY25 dividend is upped from € 1 to € 1.15, including an earlier interim dividend of € 0.15. We still see AB InBev as the undisputed leader in the beer market, with leading market shares in many markets, ongoing digitization and premiumization trends allowing to generate healthy free cash flow...
- Guy Sips
- Mathijs Geerts Danau
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
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