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Greater China Research Team ... (+5)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Thailand Research Team

Regional Strategy: Alpha Picks - December 2025

Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut buoyed sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom respectively amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Ja...

MAJOR MAJOR CINEPLEX GROUP PCL
OU8 CENTURION
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
EGCO ELECTRICITY GENERATING PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
3816 MISC BHD
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
7113 TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD.
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
601668 CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING CORP. LTD. CLASS A
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
TRUE TRUE CORP. PUBLIC CO. LTD.
2318 PING AN INSURANCE (GROUP) COMPANY OF CHINA LTD. CLASS H
SATS SP SATS LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
GAM GAMUDA BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
3933 THE UNITED LABORATORIES INTE
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
CPALL TB CP ALL
SDPL SIME DARBY PLANTATION BHD
ECW ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
02232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP
2013 WEIMOB INC
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
WHA TB WHA CORP PCL
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
CVL CIVMEC
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
ITC I-TAIL CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
STM SEATRIUM LTD
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
YINSON YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
LAGENDA LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
1523 PLOVER BAY TECHNOLOGIES LTD (1523 HK)
GEELY GEELY AUTOMOBILE
EXCL XLSMART TELECOM SEJAHTERA
Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim

Waterdrop Inc (WDH US): 3Q25: Above Expectations, Delivers As Promised...

Waterdrop’s 3Q25 net profit grew notably by 60% yoy, well ahead of company guidance. This was mainly driven by strong FYP growth (+108% yoy) on larger investments in customer acquisition and operating efficiency gains. Management highlighted that the deployment of AI has helped to improve its marketing efficiency and preserve its profitability. Management reiterated confidence in beating the 2025 guidance of over 20% yoy growth in both revenue and net profit. Maintain BUY with an unchanged targe...

Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul

Thaifoods Group (TFG TB) - Integrating Downstream Operations To Streng...

Company Update | Thaifoods Group (TFG TB/BUY/Bt4.64/Target: Bt6.80) TFG expects its revenue to grow by 10-15% in 2026, supported primarily by the retail business through store expansion and a greater mix of non-TFG products. The company expect the retail segment’s revenue to grow 30% yoy in 2026, with its retail network expected to expand to 615 stores in 2025 and 850 stores in 2026. In 2026, despite lower swine ASPs, retail expansion and added non-TFG products are expected to stabilise margin...

Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

Greater China Strategy Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls

Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut buoyed sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom respectively amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Jacobson, JBM Healthcare and PICC P&C.

Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul

Thailand Daily - Thursday, December 04, 2025

Top Stories Company Update | Thaifoods Group (TFG TB/BUY/Bt4.64/Target: Bt6.80) TFG expects its revenue to grow by 10-15% in 2026, supported primarily by the retail business through store expansion and a greater mix of non-TFG products. The company expect the retail segment’s revenue to grow 30% yoy in 2026, with its retail network expected to expand to 615 stores in 2025 and 850 stores in 2026. In 2026, despite lower swine ASPs, retail expansion and added non-TFG products are expected to stabi...

Chong Lee Len
  • Chong Lee Len

Telecommunications - MOF Inc Set To Exit DNB; DNB’s Operating Losses T...

MOF Inc Set To Exit DNB; DNB’s Operating Losses To Pressure Shareholders’ Bottom Line Highlights  MOF Inc has exercised its put options in relation to its existing 41.67% stake in DNB, requiring CelcomDigi, Maxis and YTL Power International (YTL Power) to each fork out RM327.9m to honour the shareholders’ agreement.  We expect DNB to operate at a loss (2025 estimated loss is RM1b) in the near term. Our sensitivity analysis suggests -10% and -12% impact to 2026 earnings forecasts for CelcomDigi...

Malaysia Research Team
  • Malaysia Research Team

Malaysia Daily - Thursday, December 4, 2025

Top Stories Sector Update | Telecommunications MOF Inc has exercised its put options to sell its 41.67% stake in DNB, mandating CelcomDigi, Maxis and YTL Power to each fork out RM327.9m to honour the shareholders’ agreement. We expect DNB to continue operating at a loss (2025 estimated loss of RM1b) in the near term. Our earnings sensitivity analysis suggests -10% and -12% impact to CelcomDigi’s and Maxis’ 2026 net profit forecasts. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top sector picks are Axiata, CelcomDigi...

Heidi Mo Jinghui ... (+2)
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern

Singapore Daily: Thursday, December 4, 2025

Top Stories Company Results | Marco Polo Marine (MPM SP/BUY/S$0.137/Target: S$0.188) MPM’s FY25 core earnings of S$25m (-4% yoy) were in line with expectations. Earnings jumped 170% yoy to S$59m on one-off gains. We see a positive outlook for FY26, driven by its ship chartering orderbook and S$198m ORV win. We lift our earnings estimates by around 7%/2% for FY26/27 respectively. Maintain BUY with a 36% higher target price of S$0.188. Market Spotlight • US stocks gained on Wednesday, with all th...

Greater China Research Team ... (+2)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim

Greater China Daily: Thursday, December 4, 2025

Top Stories Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut buoyed sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom respectively amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Jac...

Johnny Yum
  • Johnny Yum

Strategy - Alpha Picks: December Bias Positive, Adding BBCA, DEWA,TLKM

Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Bias Positive, Adding BBCA, DEWA, TLKM The JCI rebounded strongly in November, supported by improved liquidity, risk-on sentiment, and US$730m foreign inflows. Our portfolio lagged (+0.8% vs JCI’s +4.0%) due to weakness in AADI, JPFA, MDKA, and ADRO. While December historically delivers positive returns, its reliability now hinges more on liquidity and global risk appetite. We turn selective, removing AADI and ADRO due to coal-duty uncertainty, and adding BBCA, T...

Chong Lee Len ... (+8)
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, December 04, 2025

Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut improved sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Jacobson,...

Heidi Mo Jinghui ... (+2)
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern

Marco Polo Marine (MPM SP) - FY25: Strong Finish; Positive Outlook For...

MPM’s FY25 core earnings of S$25m (-4% yoy) were in line with expectations. Earnings jumped 170% yoy to S$59m on one-off gains. We see a positive outlook for FY26, driven by its ship chartering orderbook and S$198m ORV win. We lift our earnings estimates by around 7%/2% for FY26/27 respectively. Maintain BUY with a 36% higher target price of S$0.188.

Johnny Yum ... (+2)
  • Johnny Yum
  • Maskun Ramli

Indonesia Daily - Thursday, December 4, 2025

Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Bias Positive, Adding BBCA, DEWA, TLKM The JCI rebounded strongly in November, supported by improved liquidity, risk-on sentiment, and US$730m foreign inflows. Our portfolio lagged (+0.8% vs JCI’s +4.0%) due to weakness in AADI, JPFA, MDKA, and ADRO. While December historically delivers positive returns, its reliability now hinges more on liquidity and global risk appetite. We turn selective, removing AADI and ADRO due to coal-duty uncertainty, and adding BBCA, T...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

HERE Group (HERE US): 1QFY26: Encouraging FY26 Outlook; Pure Pop Toy B...

HERE’s 1QFY26 revenue came in at Rmb127m, up 93% qoq and beating our estimate of Rmb110m by 16%. 1QFY26 gross margin expanded 6.6ppt qoq to 41.2% while non-GAAP net loss expanded 6% yoy to Rmb18m due to a short-term restructuring impact. HERE expects 2QFY26 revenue to reach a lukewarm Rmb150m-160m, but maintains its FY26 revenue guidance at a robust Rmb750m-800m, with solid earnings visibility expected for the coming quarters. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of US$11.00.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: 3Q25 Results Recap: Strong AI Cloud Top-line Growth; L...

China’s internet companies reported resilient 3Q25 top-line growth and continuous margin improvement in the online gaming and OTA sectors, empowered by improved AI efficiency and benign competition. Margin pressure in e-commerce due to the intense on-demand delivery competition is likely to ease in 4Q25, but could persist into 2026 given the continuous investment and tough comparison base boosted by the trade-in programme in 2025. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Alibaba, Tencent, TCOM, TME, Ne...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer Marketing Feedback.

We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed names and segments include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands China. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Chong Lee Len
  • Chong Lee Len

Telecommunications - MOF Exercises Put Options For Its 41.67% Stake In...

MOF Exercises Put Options For Its 41.67% Stake In DNB Highlights  In a recent Bursa announcement by CelcomDigi and Maxis, the Ministry of Finance (MOF) has exercised its put options in relations to its existing 41.67% stake in Digital Nasional Bhd (DNB).  The put option notice requires the three investor shareholders, CelcomDigi, Maxis and YTL Power International to purchase the ordinary shares in DNB owned by MOF and take over the MOF loan together with accrued interest. The trio is required ...

Jo Yee Ng
  • Jo Yee Ng

Eco World Development Group (ECW MK) - EcoWorld Optimises Stake In EBP...

EcoWorld Optimises Stake In EBP8 While Remaining As Development Manager Highlights  EcoWorld’s stake in EBP8 will be reduced to 45%... Eco World Development Group (EcoWorld) has announced a revision to the shareholding structure for Eco Business Park 8 Sdn Bhd (EBP8SB). Under the amended arrangement, EcoWorld, SD Guthrie Land Venture (SDGLV) and Permodalan Darul TA’zim (PDT) will each hold a 45%, 45%, and 10% stake respectively in EBP8SB, vs 65%, 25%, and 10% stakes previously.  …as SDGLV’s st...

Philip Wong
  • Philip Wong

Oriental Kopi Holdings (KOPI MK) - Highly Exciting But Mostly Priced I...

Highly Exciting But Mostly Priced In For Now Highlights  SSSG accelerates despite aggressive rollout for the year. Meanwhile, upcoming locations will benefit from an influx of tourist arrivals.  International expansion is on the horizon, with firmed up details by 1Q26.  Valuations have surged, pricing in most of its exciting prospects. Maintain HOLD and target price of RM1.20.

Desmond Chong Chee Wai ... (+3)
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Strategy - Alpha Picks: Positioning For Catch-Up, Rotation And Window-...

Alpha Picks: Positioning For Catch-Up, Rotation And Window-Dressing Flows Highlights  Nov 25 Alpha Picks underperformed the FBMKLCI, posting a return of -2.1% vs the benchmark index’s -0.3%. RHB Bank (+2.7%) and Lagenda (+1.6%) posted minor gains but were dragged by Alpha IVF (-9.1%) and VSI (-9.1%).  For Dec 25, we position for a continued catch-up in market laggards, supported by window-dressing flows and sector rotation following the reporting season as earnings expectations reset.  Dec 25...

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