JD’s 4Q25 results beat expectations. Revenue increased 1.5% yoy to Rmb352.3b, largely in line with our and consensus estimates. Non-GAAP operating profit slumped to a Rmb3.1m loss from a Rmb10.5b profit in 4Q24. Non-GAAP net profit was down 90% yoy to Rmb1.1b. Adjusted net margin shrank 3ppt yoy to 0.3%, better than consensus and our estimates. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$133.00 (US$35.00).
2025 results were in line. Total revenue declined 13% yoy, but Fruquintinib’s in-market sales rebounded significantly hoh driven by continuous overseas growth and positive impact from sales restructuring in China. It targets oncology/immunology revenue of US$330m-450m supported by continued sales recovery. Seeing smooth R&D progress, we expect a new wave of market approvals to fuel growth for HUTCHMED in the years ahead. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$26.00 reflecting rising geopol...
Karrie is a leading server chassis supplier that began mass production of AI server chassis for a US ASIC customer in Aug 25 and became Nvidia’s recommended vendor for AI server chassis/racks in Sep 25. We forecast a 50.9% threeyear EPS CAGR in FY26-28 on: a) surging AI orders; and b) gross margin expansion, driven by AI-related products with higher-value content and better profitability. Initiate coverage with BUY and a target price of HK$3.12 based on 11.0x FY27F PE.
The US-Iran conflict boosted oil prices, accelerating EV adoption but causing minimal short-term cost shock to China's auto industry. February deliveries met expectations, with exports offsetting weak domestic demand. BYD unveiled new technology while Xpeng launched its smart driving system. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs include CATL and Geely, while Li Auto is our top SELL.
China set a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5.0% yoy, in line with expectations, while maintaining a 4% fiscal deficit ratio. Fiscal policy remains the main growth driver, supported by Rmb4.4t in local government special bonds and Rmb1.3t in ultra-long treasury bonds, while monetary policy stays accommodative. Policy priorities focus on AI+, New Quality Productive Forces, industrial upgrading, and targeted consumption support, alongside welfare improvements and the green transition, for the first ...
Company Update | Siam Global House (GLOBAL TB/HOLD/Bt6.85/Target: Bt7.40) Management plans to expand six stores and renovate eight stores to drive higher traffic, targeting flat SSSG in 2026 with gross margin expansion. Every 10% increase in logistics costs would affect earnings by 2.4%. Although GLOBAL’s outlook is stronger than its peers, we also see limited upside to our earnings forecast. Maintain HOLD with a lower target price of Bt7.40 (from Bt8.00).
Strategy | 2025 Results Review In 2025, earnings were broadly in line with expectations, with most sectors meeting forecasts. The construction sector beat consensus estimates while petrochemicals underperformed. In 2026, we expect to see growth in petrochemical, electronics, packaging, healthcare, and energy with net profit gains concentrated in the petrochemical and energy sectors. Meanwhile, utilities, construction services, consumer staples, and banking may see slower growth due to a high bas...
Top Stories Strategy | 2025 Results Review In 2025, earnings were broadly in line with expectations, with most sectors meeting forecasts. The construction sector beat consensus estimates while petrochemicals underperformed. In 2026, we expect to see growth in petrochemical, electronics, packaging, healthcare, and energy with net profit gains concentrated in the petrochemical and energy sectors. Meanwhile, utilities, construction services, consumer staples, and banking may see slower growth due ...
2025: In Line; 5G Remains An Overhang On The Industry Highlights 2025 sector earnings came in broadly in line, declining 3% yoy due to Axiata’s underperformance. TIME, TM and Maxis delivered double-digit earnings growth supporting their healthy dividend payout. 2025 was characterised by: a) persistent postpaid revenue growth from preto- postpaid migration; b) moderating prepaid churn, supported by ARPU uplift (+4% yoy); c) robust demand for fibre; and d) cost discipline. Maintain MARKET WE...
Top Stories Economics | China China set a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5.0% yoy, in line with expectations, while maintaining a 4% fiscal deficit ratio. Fiscal policy remains the main growth driver, supported by Rmb4.4t in local government special bonds and Rmb1.3t in ultra-long treasury bonds, while monetary policy stays accommodative. Policy priorities focus on AI+, New Quality Productive Forces, industrial upgrading, and targeted consumption support, alongside welfare improvements and the g...
Top Stories Sector Update | Telecommunications 2025 sector earnings came in broadly within expectations – declining 3% yoy on the back of Axiata Group’s underperformance. TIME dotCom, Telekom Malaysia and Maxis delivered double-digit earnings growth supporting their healthy dividend payout. 2025 was characterised by: a) continued postpaid top-line growth given healthy pre-to-postpaid migration, b) moderating prepaid churn, c) robust demand for fibre, and d) cost discipline. Maintain MARKET WEIGH...
Top Stories Strategy | Monthly Market Radar Singapore equities extended gains in February, with the STI rising 1.8% to near the 5,000 level after reaching a record high above 5,040. Market sentiment was supported by steady manufacturing expansion and selective corporate strength, including Yangzijiang Shipbuilding’s strong earnings. Global markets remained cautious amid AI-related concerns, while geopolitical tensions in the Middle East raised risks of higher oil prices. Market Spotlight • US s...
Small/Mid Cap Highlights | Folago Global Nusantara (IRSX IJ/NOT RATED/Rp510) Folago plans to raise up to Rp3.7t through a rights issue of 12.39b shares with 1.86b warrants, with the controlling shareholder acting as a standby buyer. The company will allocate Rp2.7t to secure commercial rights for 500 top Indonesian talents and contract 100 leading TikTok Shop affiliates, strengthening its creator ecosystem. In addition, Folago is expanding beyond livestream commerce into OTT vertical dramas, con...
Economics | Fitch Outlook Action: Stronger Momentum For Change Global rating agency Fitch cut Indonesia's outlook to negative on policy uncertainty, fiscal risks, and off-budget investments. Authorities pledge discipline and spending cuts. Markets want action such as fiscal consolidation and improved spending quality along with BI pausing rate cuts to defend the rupiah and restore market confidence. In the near term, we expect higher bond yields and risk premia, and a single rate cut in 3Q26 hin...
Greater China Economics | China China set a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5.0% yoy, in line with expectations, while maintaining a 4% fiscal deficit ratio. Fiscal policy remains the main growth driver, supported by Rmb4.4t in local government special bonds and Rmb1.3t in ultra-long treasury bonds, while monetary policy stays accommodative. Policy priorities focus on AI+, New Quality Productive Forces, industrial upgrading, and targeted consumption support, alongside welfare improvements and ...
Singapore equities extended gains in February, with the STI rising 1.8% to near the 5,000 level after reaching a record high above 5,040. Market sentiment was supported by steady manufacturing expansion and selective corporate strength, including Yangzijiang Shipbuilding’s strong earnings. Global markets remained cautious amid AI-related concerns, while geopolitical tensions in the Middle East raised risks of higher oil prices.
Economics | Fitch Outlook Action: Stronger Momentum For Change Global rating agency Fitch cut Indonesia's outlook to negative on policy uncertainty, fiscal risks, and off-budget investments. Authorities pledge discipline and spending cuts. Markets want action such as fiscal consolidation and improved spending quality along with BI pausing rate cuts to defend the rupiah and restore market confidence. In the near term, we expect higher bond yields and risk premia, and a single rate cut in 3Q26 hin...
Highlights Karrie is a leading server chassis supplier that began mass production of server chassis for a US ASIC customer in Aug 25 and became Nvidia’s recommended vendor for server chassis/racks in Sep 25. We forecast a 50.9% three-year EPS CAGR in FY26-28 on: a) surging orders from US ASIC customer and Nvidia; and b) gross margin expansion, driven by AI-related products with higher value content and better profitability. Initiate coverage with BUY and a target price of HK$3.12 based on ...
Company Update | CP Axtra (CPAXT TB/HOLD/Bt14.80/Target: Bt14.80) CPAXT signed a share purchase agreement to acquire 100% of shares in TFP, the premium supermarket in Malaysia. We have a neutral view and expect short-term sentiment pressure while we remain constructive over the long term. Maintain HOLD with a target price of Bt14.80.
Company Update | Home Product Center (HMPRO TB/BUY/Bt6.60/Target: Bt9.00) In 2026, management targets for SSSG to be slightly positive, with a focus on improving gross margin and controlling SG&A. We expect demand to normalise in 2Q26, and on a yoy basis we see a chance SSSG to turn slightly positive in 2Q26. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt9.00.
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