We attended China Tourism Group Duty Free's investor day on 28 Nov 25 in Sanya. Management remains confident in Hainan sales for 2026. For airport duty-free operations, the offline stores at Beijing and Shanghai airports have been recovering gradually and have achieved double-digit sales growth ytd, and management indicated that the product mix still has significant room for improvement. It has also observed a steady recovery in luxury consumption recently, and continues to attract and retain hi...
Meituan’s 3Q25 earnings missed expectations. Total revenue grew 2% yoy to Rmb95.5b, 2-4% below our and consensus estimates. Non-IFRS net loss came in at Rmb16b, with net margin at a loss of 17%, missing consensus estimates. For 4Q25, Meituan expects to see narrowing FD losses on easing competition. In 2026, margins will remain pressured due to FD overseas expansion but total investment will be at or below 2025 levels. Maintain SELL with a slightly lower target price of HK$79.00.
Most Chinese healthcare stock prices fell along with the weak Hang Seng Index in the past two weeks. The share prices of leading drug innovators, however, have remained relatively stable. We expect drug innovators to continue to outperform, supported by possible further lowering of interest rates, increasing innovative product launches, and globalisation efforts. Meanwhile, geopolitical risks and GPO and other policy uncertainties will remain as key risks amid the recovery for CROs, medical serv...
November PMI undershot expectations; manufacturing PMI was at 49.2 (+0.2pt mom) and non-manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.5 (-0.6pt mom), the first contraction in nearly three years. With the services industry index weakened to 49.5 (-0.7pt mom). PMI data confirms easing growth momentum, so expect more supportive policies to be rolled out soon, but for economic confidence to return, we need a sustainable bottom in the real estate sector.
Company Update | SCG Packaging (SCGP TB/BUY/Bt15.60/Target: Bt26.00) We expect that 4Q25 net profit will rise both qoq and yoy, supported by lower cost and stronger sales volume at Fajar, helped by higher imports of packaging paper from China after the announced import ban on dry-milled recycled pulp. The MYPAK acquisition is on track to be finalised next week. We remain constructive on the long-term strategic benefits of the transaction. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt26.00.
Top Stories Company Update | SCG Packaging (SCGP TB/BUY/Bt15.60/Target: Bt26.00) We expect that 4Q25 net profit will rise both qoq and yoy, supported by lower cost and stronger sales volume at Fajar, helped by higher imports of packaging paper from China after the announced import ban on dry-milled recycled pulp. The MYPAK acquisition is on track to be finalised next week. We remain constructive on the long-term strategic benefits of the transaction. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt26.00.
9M25: In Line; Receives MOF Approval For 7B Income Tax Schedule For A Fair Amount To Be Offset Against Future Income Highlights TNB reported healthy 3Q25 normalised net profit of RM1,037m – a growth of 38% yoy and 4% qoq. 9M25 normalised net profit of RM3,234m makes up 74% of our projections, in line with expectations. TNB has received MOF’s approval for Investment Allowance under Schedule 7B. This clears an overhang on the stock as no future provision is expected. While not the whole RM10.6...
3Q25: Resilient Showing; Commits To A Capital Return Programme Highlights 3Q25 earnings were in line (+2.3% yoy), supported by NOII growth and positive operating JAWS. The group declared a special dividend of up to RM760m to be paid end-Dec 25 and committed to a capital return of up to RM2b by end-2027. We raise our dividend payout assumption to 65% from 55% translating into attractive yields of 6.2%/6.6% for 2025/26 respectively. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of RM8.30 (1.18x 20...
Top Stories Company Results | CIMB Group (CIMB MK/BUY/RM7.65/Target: RM8.30) 3Q25 earnings were in line, supported by NOII growth and positive operating JAWS. CIMB declared a special dividend of up to RM760m for the end-Dec 25 payout. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of RM8.30 (previously: RM8.25). Company Results | Tenaga Nasional (TNB MK/BUY/RM13.18/Target: RM16.30) Tenaga reported 9M25 normalised net profit of RM3,224m, in line with expectations. Positively, the company received MOF ap...
Top Stories Economics | PMI November PMI undershot expectations; manufacturing PMI was at 49.2 (+0.2pt mom) and non-manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.5 (-0.6pt mom), the first contraction in nearly three years. With the services industry index weakened to 49.5 (-0.7pt mom). PMI data confirms easing growth momentum, so expect more supportive policies to be rolled out soon, but for economic confidence to return, we need a sustainable bottom in the real estate sector. Sector Update | Healthcare Mos...
Top Stories Sector Update | REITs Safe haven liquidity continues flowing into Singapore, pushing down SORA on an overnight basis to a low of 1.27%. Three-month compounded SORA eased 8bp to 1.25% in Nov 25. The Fed cut the Fed Funds Rate by another 25bp to 3.75% during the FOMC meeting on 29 Oct 25. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue-chip S-REITs with specific catalysts: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.65), KREIT (Target: S$1.20) and LREIT (Target: S$0.81). Market S...
Sector Update | Telecommunications Indonesia’s fixed-broadband market is entering a transition phase as the 1.4GHz spectrum enables low-cost FWA rollout from 2026 onwards. WIFI is positioned to scale quickly through backbone ownership and potential LINK integration, while ecosystem synergies with INET, PADA, KETR, IRSX and DOOH support rapid expansion. Tower operators may gain tenancy upside, while fixed-broadband ARPU faces pressure. Ultimately, real impact remains dependent on rollout executio...
Sector Update | Telecommunications Indonesia’s fixed-broadband market is entering a transition phase as the 1.4GHz spectrum enables low-cost FWA rollout from 2026 onwards. WIFI is positioned to scale quickly through backbone ownership and potential LINK integration, while ecosystem synergies with INET, PADA, KETR, IRSX and DOOH support rapid expansion. Tower operators may gain tenancy upside, while fixed-broadband ARPU faces pressure. Ultimately, real impact remains dependent on rollout executio...
Greater China Economics | PMI November PMI undershot expectations; manufacturing PMI was at 49.2 (+0.2pt mom) and non-manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.5 (-0.6pt mom), the first contraction in nearly three years. With the services industry index weakened to 49.5 (-0.7pt mom). PMI data confirms growth momentum is easing, so expect more supportive policies to be rolled out soon, but for economic confidence to return, we need a sustainable bottom in the real estate sector. Sector Update | Heal...
Safe haven liquidity continues flowing into Singapore, pushing down SORA on an overnight basis to a low of 1.27%. Threemonth compounded SORA eased 8bp to 1.25% in Nov 25. The Fed cut the Fed Funds Rate by another 25bp to 3.75% during the FOMC meeting on 29 Oct 25. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue-chip S-REITs with specific catalysts: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.65), KREIT (Target: S$1.20) and LREIT (Target: S$0.81).
3Q25: In Line; Gerbang Nusajaya Launches Expected In 1Q27 Highlights In line. UEM Sunrise (UEMS) reported a 3Q25 core net profit of RM17m (-30% qoq; -45% yoy) on the back of revenue of RM418m (-6% qoq; +13% yoy). This brings 9M25 core net profit to RM62m, accounting for 61% of our and consensus full-year forecasts, which we deem within expectations as we expect an estimated RM32m net gain from East Ledang land sales to be recognised by end-25. Unbilled sales for local projects remained flattis...
1QFY26: Above Expectations Highlights Above expectations. Sime Darby reported a 1QFY26 core net profit of RM341.0m (+0.3% qoq, -6.7% yoy). We deem this above our expectations, accounting for 29% of our full year earnings forecasts, but in line with consensus estimate. The deviation was mainly attributed to higher-than-expected UMW contribution, driven by sustained sales volume from Toyota and expansion in margin due to cost optimisation and strengthening of RM against USD.
3Q25: Strong Non-Interest Income Growth Highlights Above expectations. RHB Bank posted 3Q25 net profit of RM904m (+8.5% yoy, +12.4% qoq), lifting 9M25 earnings to RM2.46b (+7.5% yoy). Results were slightly above expectations at 77% of full-year estimates, driven by stronger-than-expected non-interest income from robust investment and trading gains. 9M25 earnings growth was supported by lower provisions (-56% yoy), with net credit cost normalising to 17bps (vs 22bps in 9M24). These positives we...
2QFY26: Sluggish Performance Across Multiple Fronts Highlights Results are within our but below consensus expectations. QL Resources’ (QL) 2QFY26 core net profit came in at RM116.2m (+15.5% qoq, -9.4% yoy). This brought 1HFY26 core net profit to RM216.8m (-8.0% yoy). Earnings are within our but below consensus expectations, accounting for 50% and 46% of full-year forecasts respectively.
3Q25: Core Earnings Within Expectations; Good Set Of Operating Results Highlights Within expectations. PPB Group (PPB) reported 9M25 core net profit of RM990m (+21% yoy) which met both our and consensus estimates at 71%/74% of respective forecasts. For 3Q25, core net profit came in at RM351m (+50% yoy) after adjusting for non-recurring items including associate Wilmar’s one-off legal fine (approximately -RM562m to the group).
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