Company Update | PTT Global Chemical (PTTGC TB/BUY/Bt20.80/Target: Bt25.00) We view PTTGC as attractively valued, with its P/B currently trading at more than -2.0SD, below the historical average. We expect earnings to have already bottomed in 2025. While we think PTTGC’s strategic partner plan will be concluded by 1Q26, PTTGC’s financial position remains solid following deleveraging in 2025. Accordingly, we upgrade PTTGC to BUY, with a higher target price of Bt25.00.
Company Update | i-Tail Corporation (ITC TB/BUY/Bt16.30/Target: Bt19.50) We expect ITC to report a core profit of Bt806m for 4Q25 (flat yoy, but up 2.5% qoq). 4Q25 gross profit margin is projected to remain at 25%, supported by a strong premium product mix, despite forex headwinds and the implementation of a sales rebate scheme. The 2026 outlook remains positive, supported by favourable industry trends and a higher premium mix. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of Bt19.50 (previously Bt19...
Top Stories Company Update | i-Tail Corporation (ITC TB/BUY/Bt16.30/Target: Bt19.50) We expect ITC to report a core profit of Bt806m for 4Q25 (flat yoy, but up 2.5% qoq). 4Q25 gross profit margin is projected to remain at 25%, supported by a strong premium product mix, despite forex headwinds and the implementation of a sales rebate scheme. The 2026 outlook remains positive, supported by favourable industry trends and a higher premium mix. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of Bt19.50 (pre...
Withholding Tax Rate Remains A Sector Overhang Highlights Uncertainty on the extension of the withholding tax rate represents an overhang to the sector, despite positive development from the partial SST pullback on rental and leasing services from 8% to 6%. Remain cautiously optimistic on the sector as the slower luxury sales growth and rising cost pressures should be cushioned by growing retail vibrancy from VMY2026, MICE events as well as resilient industrial demand. Maintain MARKET WEIG...
1H26 Strategy: Fired Up For A Risk-On Re-Acceleration Highlights We expect Malaysian equities to fire up for outperformance in 2026 after a muted and defensive-driven 2025, fuelled primarily by a confluence of pre- GE domestic liquidity, the ringgit’s appreciation, and corporate earnings growth recovery. Externally, easing geopolitical tensions and accommodative monetary policy backdrop should keep risk-asset sentiment buoyant while domestically, a firmer ringgit, and follow-through buying o...
Top Stories Strategy | 1H26 Strategy: Fired Up For A Risk-On Re-Acceleration Malaysian equities are poised for a strong 2026 rebound after a defensive 2025, driven by pre-GE liquidity, a firmer ringgit, corporate earnings growth recovery and low foreign ownership. We set our end-26 FBMKLCI target at 1,760, with scope to overshoot 1,800 before turning cautious ahead of GE16 in 2027. We advocate a risk-on strategy, focusing on banks, power and building materials, followed by consumer, plantation a...
Copper moved above US$13,000/tonne, as tight inventories and US tariff concerns pushed the market into a deficit-driven pricing regime, while gold remained firm on safe-haven demand. Zijin’s 2025 profit alert was within expectations, with earnings growth of 59-62% yoy. The 2026 outlook was a positive surprise, led by gold output pulled forward into the prior 2028 target range (+16.7% yoy), with copper up +10.1% yoy on Kamoa-Kakula normalisation and Julong ramp-up. We maintain BUY and raise targe...
We are optimistic on Baidu as the Kunlunxin spin-off could help unlock financial value for Baidu and strengthen its AI ecosystem. Baidu announced that on 1 Jan 26, Kunlunxin applied for a listing on the HK Stock Exchange. Following the spin-off, Kunlunxin will remain a consolidated subsidiary, with Baidu retaining a controlling 59% stake. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$166.00 (US$185.00).
Top Stories Company Update | Baidu (9888 HK/BUY/HK$146.60/Target: HK$166.00) We are optimistic on Baidu as the Kunlunxin spin-off could help unlock financial value for Baidu and strengthen its AI ecosystem. Baidu announced that on 1 Jan 26, Kunlunxin applied for a listing on the HK Stock Exchange. Following the spin-off, Kunlunxin will remain a consolidated subsidiary, with Baidu retaining a controlling 59% stake. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$166.00 (US$185.00). Company Update...
Top Stories Sector Update | Banks We envisage a Goldilocks economy with steady growth accompanied by low inflation, the ideal balance for sustainable and lengthy economic expansion, supported by the Trump Administration’s new focus on affordability. We anticipate two rate cuts in 1H26 but none in 2H26. Banks provide resilient earnings with growth in non-interest income, including wealth management, offsetting negative impact from NIM compression. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. BUY DBS (Target: S$68.95) ...
Greater China Company Update | Baidu (9888 HK/BUY/HK$146.60/Target: HK$166.00) We are optimistic on Baidu as the Kunlunxin spin-off could help unlock financial value for Baidu and strengthen its AI ecosystem. Baidu announced that on 1 Jan 26, Kunlunxin applied for a listing on the HK Stock Exchange. Following the spin-off, Kunlunxin will remain a consolidated subsidiary, with Baidu retaining a controlling 59% stake. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$166.00 (US$185.00). Company ...
We envisage a Goldilocks economy with steady growth accompanied by low inflation, the ideal balance for sustainable and lengthy economic expansion, supported by the Trump Administration’s new focus on affordability. We anticipate two rate cuts in 1H26 but none in 2H26. Banks provide resilient earnings with growth in non-interest income, including wealth management, offsetting negative impact from NIM compression. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. BUY DBS (Target: S$68.95) and OCBC (Target: S$23.65) for att...
Company Update | Astra International (ASII IJ/BUY/Rp6,900/Target: Rp7,700) The Ministry of Industry is preparing automotive incentives that may benefit ASII, including potential VAT or PPnBM exemptions under two scenarios. Additionally, the expiry of CBU BEV incentives from 31 Dec 25 eases EV disruption and indirectly benefits ICE vehicles. Together with a clearer TSR focus, more disciplined capital allocation, and higher dividend payout expectations, we upgrade ASII to BUY with a higher SOTP-ba...
Company Update | Astra International (ASII IJ/BUY/Rp6,900/Target: Rp7,700) The Ministry of Industry is preparing automotive incentives that may benefit ASII, including potential VAT or PPnBM exemptions under two scenarios. Additionally, the expiry of CBU BEV incentives from 31 Dec 25 eases EV disruption and indirectly benefits ICE vehicles. Together with a clearer TSR focus, more disciplined capital allocation, and higher dividend payout expectations, we upgrade ASII to BUY with a higher SOTP-ba...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Chinese equities remained in consolidation through December, with the HSI and MSCI China down 0.9% mom and 1.5% mom, respectively, despite last week’s window dressing narrowing losses. Policy signals from the Economic Work Conference broadly met expectations. Looking ahead, we are constructive on 1Q26, supported by a favourable global liquidity cycle and potential macro supportive measures in China. We retain most of our December pic...
Sunny Optical proposed to spin-off and list its vehicle-related segment, which has been a key growth driver for the business over the past year. The newly listed company will remain a subsidiary of Sunny. Based on our calculations, the value of the vehicle-related business could reach around HK$41b-50b. We view this spin-off as a positive event for the company, but do note that the exercise is still in its preliminary stage. Maintain BUY and keep target price at HK$100.00.
Chinese equities remained in consolidation through December, with the HSI and MSCI China down 0.9% mom and 1.5% mom, respectively, despite last week’s window dressing narrowing losses. Policy signals from the Economic Work Conference broadly met expectations. Looking ahead, we are constructive on 1Q26, supported by a favourable global liquidity cycle and potential macro supportive measures in China. We retain most of our December picks, add Baidu and Midea to BUY, and take profit on Li Auto and ...
Qiushi published an article on 1 Jan 26, emphasising the government's renewed commitment to stabilise the property market, suggesting a higher likelihood of stronger policy support in 1H26; however, implementation risks remain, in our view. Demand stayed weak in Dec 25, with new-home sales in 28 cities down 37% yoy and second-hand home prices in three Tier 1 cities down by 24% yoy. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China’s property sector and expect a continued consolidation toward SOEs. We keep CR Lan...
Upgrade After Pullback; Prospects Intact Highlights Upcoming 2QFY26 SSSG appears soft but is improving. Sentiment coupled with improved store initiatives should underpin a further recovery. SSSG softness will be more than offset by gained margins, which could potentially be further enhanced by favourable forex. Upgrade to BUY as valuations appear attractive following some pullback, with a target price of RM1.70. The stock offers an appealing three-year CAGR earnings growth of 16.9% as well...
Shift from Integration to Operational Efficiencies In 2026 Highlights 2026 synergistic savings will stem largely from lower cost of sales, lower rental charges and savings from retail consolidation, traffic optimisation and contract negotiations. Capex avoidance will fall from 63% (of synergistic savings in 2025) to 12% by 2026. By 2027, the steady state of savings could reach up to RM700m-800m. We project a relatively robust three-year earnings CAGR of 9% (2025-27) with 2026 projected earni...
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