1QFY26: Within Expectations; Recovery Is On Track Highlights We expect the earnings recovery to continue, driven by narrowing losses from previously unprofitable operations and sustained healthy utilisation rates across plants. Valuation dislocation offers deep value. VSI is trading at an undemanding 14.3x FY26F PE (-0.5SD below its seven-year mean) and 0.81x FY26F P/B (-2SD), below even the MCO trough band of 0.83-0.88x. We view this as an attractive risk-reward entry point as fundamental...
1H26 Strategy: Fired Up For Outperformance Highlights Malaysian equities are fired up for outperformance in 2026, fuelled primarily by pre-GE domestic liquidity, the ringgit’s appreciation, and a corporate earnings growth recovery. Externally, we foresee cooling tensions over global trade and geopolitics (amid a doveish US monetary policy). We introduce our end-26 FBMKLCI target of 1,760. The index could potentially peak at the 1,800 level before the market turns risk-off towards year-end,...
Top Stories Strategy | 1H26 Strategy: Fired Up For Outperformance Malaysian equities are fired up for outperformance in 2026, fuelled by pre-GE domestic liquidity, the ringgit’s appreciation, and a corporate earnings growth recovery. We introduce our end-26 FBMKLCI target of 1,760. Adopt a risk-on mode with a focus on various investment themes that heat up the power and building material sectors, followed by banking and plantation, and selected technology, consumer, property, and construction pl...
Top Stories Company Results | BRC Asia (BRC SP/BUY/S$4.01/Target: S$4.90) BRC delivered a strong set of results for FY25, with core earnings of US$94m (+1% yoy) beating our forecast. BRC declared final and special dividends of 7 S cents each, bringing total FY25 dividend to 20 S cents (payout 58.2%; yield 4.9%). Orderbook remains strong at S$1.9b. Maintain BUY with a 5% higher target price of S$4.90. Market Spotlight • US stocks were mixed on Thursday, with Dow Jones sliding while the other ind...
We expect China’s vehicle wholesale shipment to grow 4.9% to 35.7m units in 2026, with EV shipments surging 22.9% and exports rising 20.8%. The anti-involution policy and subsidy rollback will curb overall sales growth but improve OEM margins by banning price wars, while auto parts suppliers will regain bargaining power. Key 2026 investment themes include ADAS, humanoid robotics, eVTOL and recovery of lithium carbonate prices. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Ganfeng Lithium, Minth and Ge...
Top Stories Sector Update | Automobile We expect China’s vehicle wholesale shipment to grow 4.9% to 35.7m units in 2026, with EV shipments surging 22.9% and exports rising 20.8%. The anti-involution policy and subsidy rollback will curb overall sales growth but improve OEM margins by banning price wars, while auto parts suppliers will regain bargaining power. Key 2026 investment themes include ADAS, humanoid robotics, eVTOL and recovery of lithium carbonate prices. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top B...
Small/Mid Cap Highlights | Ketrosden Triasmitra (KETR IJ/NOT RATED/Rp620) INET’s aggressive FTTH expansion across Bali, Lombok, and Kalimantan positions the company as a major demand driver for KETR’s submarine and terrestrial cable infrastructure. Through long-term capacity leasing arrangements, INET provides upfront cash inflow and recurring maintenance revenue for KETR, improving asset utilisation and supporting future projects including Bali-Sulawesi and IKN connectivity. The partnership, al...
Small/Mid Cap Highlights | Ketrosden Triasmitra (KETR IJ/NOT RATED/Rp620) INET’s aggressive FTTH expansion across Bali, Lombok, and Kalimantan positions the company as a major demand driver for KETR’s submarine and terrestrial cable infrastructure. Through long-term capacity leasing arrangements, INET provides upfront cash inflow and recurring maintenance revenue for KETR, improving asset utilisation and supporting future projects including Bali-Sulawesi and IKN connectivity. The partnership, al...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile We expect China’s vehicle wholesale shipment to grow 4.9% to 35.7m units in 2026, with EV shipments surging 22.9% and exports rising 20.8%. The anti-involution policy and subsidy rollback will curb overall sales growth but improve OEM margins by banning price wars, while auto parts suppliers regain bargaining power. Key 2026 investment themes include ADAS, humanoid robotics, eVTOL and recovery of lithium carbonate prices. Maintain MARKET WEIGH...
BRC delivered a strong set of results for FY25, with core earnings of US$94m (+1% yoy) beating our forecast. BRC declared final and special dividends of 7 S cents each, bringing total FY25 dividend to 20 S cents (payout 58.2%; yield 4.9%). Orderbook remains strong at S$1.9b. Maintain BUY with a 5% higher target price of S$4.90.
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut buoyed sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom respectively amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Ja...
Waterdrop’s 3Q25 net profit grew notably by 60% yoy, well ahead of company guidance. This was mainly driven by strong FYP growth (+108% yoy) on larger investments in customer acquisition and operating efficiency gains. Management highlighted that the deployment of AI has helped to improve its marketing efficiency and preserve its profitability. Management reiterated confidence in beating the 2025 guidance of over 20% yoy growth in both revenue and net profit. Maintain BUY with an unchanged targe...
Company Update | Thaifoods Group (TFG TB/BUY/Bt4.64/Target: Bt6.80) TFG expects its revenue to grow by 10-15% in 2026, supported primarily by the retail business through store expansion and a greater mix of non-TFG products. The company expect the retail segment’s revenue to grow 30% yoy in 2026, with its retail network expected to expand to 615 stores in 2025 and 850 stores in 2026. In 2026, despite lower swine ASPs, retail expansion and added non-TFG products are expected to stabilise margin...
Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut buoyed sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom respectively amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Jacobson, JBM Healthcare and PICC P&C.
Top Stories Company Update | Thaifoods Group (TFG TB/BUY/Bt4.64/Target: Bt6.80) TFG expects its revenue to grow by 10-15% in 2026, supported primarily by the retail business through store expansion and a greater mix of non-TFG products. The company expect the retail segment’s revenue to grow 30% yoy in 2026, with its retail network expected to expand to 615 stores in 2025 and 850 stores in 2026. In 2026, despite lower swine ASPs, retail expansion and added non-TFG products are expected to stabi...
Long-term Growth Intact Despite 4Q25 Setbacks In O&G Highlights Not spared from volatilities of upstream maintenance space. We expect milder-than-expected 4Q25 results due to earnings downside risk from the OIS segment. This segment is primarily exposed to upstream maintenance offshore works and the monsoon season will create a negative impact on both MCM and slickline contracts. In addition, we now assume the MCM profitability trend to be similar to the legacy MCM back in 2017-22. Overall, we...
MOF Inc Set To Exit DNB; DNB’s Operating Losses To Pressure Shareholders’ Bottom Line Highlights MOF Inc has exercised its put options in relation to its existing 41.67% stake in DNB, requiring CelcomDigi, Maxis and YTL Power International (YTL Power) to each fork out RM327.9m to honour the shareholders’ agreement. We expect DNB to operate at a loss (2025 estimated loss is RM1b) in the near term. Our sensitivity analysis suggests -10% and -12% impact to 2026 earnings forecasts for CelcomDigi...
Top Stories Sector Update | Telecommunications MOF Inc has exercised its put options to sell its 41.67% stake in DNB, mandating CelcomDigi, Maxis and YTL Power to each fork out RM327.9m to honour the shareholders’ agreement. We expect DNB to continue operating at a loss (2025 estimated loss of RM1b) in the near term. Our earnings sensitivity analysis suggests -10% and -12% impact to CelcomDigi’s and Maxis’ 2026 net profit forecasts. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top sector picks are Axiata, CelcomDigi...
Top Stories Company Results | Marco Polo Marine (MPM SP/BUY/S$0.137/Target: S$0.188) MPM’s FY25 core earnings of S$25m (-4% yoy) were in line with expectations. Earnings jumped 170% yoy to S$59m on one-off gains. We see a positive outlook for FY26, driven by its ship chartering orderbook and S$198m ORV win. We lift our earnings estimates by around 7%/2% for FY26/27 respectively. Maintain BUY with a 36% higher target price of S$0.188. Market Spotlight • US stocks gained on Wednesday, with all th...
Top Stories Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut buoyed sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom respectively amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Jac...
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