Company Update | XLSMART Telecom Sejahtera (EXCL IJ/HOLD/Rp3,070/Target: Rp3,300) We maintain our HOLD call with a revised target price of Rp3,300 (previously Rp3,100), based on 6x 2026F EV/EBITDA, in line with its post-merger historical average. While ARPU recovery is gaining traction after the merger, with mobile ARPU reaching Rp38,900 (+9.6% qoq), EXCL is expected to remain loss-making in 2025 due to elevated one-off integration costs of about Rp2.5t per quarter, limiting near-term earnings v...
Company Update | XLSMART Telecom Sejahtera (EXCL IJ/HOLD/Rp3,070/Target: Rp3,300) We maintain our HOLD call with a revised target price of Rp3,300 (previously Rp3,100), based on 6x 2026F EV/EBITDA, in line with its post-merger historical average. While ARPU recovery is gaining traction after the merger, with mobile ARPU reaching Rp38,900 (+9.6% qoq), EXCL is expected to remain loss-making in 2025 due to elevated one-off integration costs of about Rp2.5t per quarter, limiting near-term earnings v...
Greater China Company Results | Yum China Holdings, Inc (9987 HK/NOT RATED/HK$392.40) In 4Q25, YUMC’s total revenue reached US$2,823m, up 9% yoy. Total system sales grew 7% yoy, with a 3% increase in same-store sales. Operating profit rose 25% yoy to US$187m, with operating margin at 6.6% (+80bp). For 1Q26, management targets positive SSS. It aims to maintain flat yoy restaurant margin and operating profit margin on a high base. For 2026, it expects to open more than 1,900 net new stores, wi...
Singtel and KKR announced the acquisition of STT GDC at an enterprise value of US$13.8b. Singtel will pay S$740m for a 25% stake in STT-GDC, with a further injection of S$400m-500m in equity over the next 2-3 years for capacity expansion. STT GDC owns 673MW of data centre capacity worldwide. The deal is viewed positively as it provides a longer-term earnings growth trajectory and cash flows. Maintain BUY on share price weakness with an SOTP-based target price of S$5.20.
FLT’s logistics properties in Australia, Europe and the UK maintained full occupancy of 100% in 1QFY26. Its logistics properties in New South Wales, Australia clocked strong positive rental reversion of 43.3%. Occupancy at ATP improved 8.4ppt qoq to 86.3% after securing new ICT and healthcare tenants. Occupancy at Blythe Valley Park in the UK improved 6.8ppt qoq to 85.2% after securing a new technology tenant. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$1.22.
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite the risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, and Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Strategy | Alpha Picks: From MSCI Shock To Policy-Driven Rebala...
Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite the risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, and Meituan to our SELL list.
Company Update | Thai Airways (THAI TB/HOLD/Bt7.00/Target: Bt6.70) Thai Airways is expected to report weaker 4Q25 earnings qoq, with net profit of Bt3.5b, pressured by FX losses, impairments, and higher maintenance and employee costs, despite healthy load factors. Revenue is expected to decline yoy due to yield normalisation. Share price volatility may rise as the first lock-up period expires, releasing 25% of converted shares. Fleet expansion plans remain unchanged. We cut 2025 profit forecasts...
Company Update | AP (Thailand) (AP TB/BUY/Bt8.75/Target: Bt10.10) We expect AP to report a net profit of Bt1.28b in 4Q25, flat yoy but up 11% qoq. The qoq improvement should be driven by transfers of backlog. Meanwhile, gross margin is likely to be flat qoq, pressured by intensified competition. AP continues to pursue a more aggressive business strategy than its peers, which should help the company maintain market share and support earnings growth amid market consolidation. Maintain BUY with a t...
Top Stories Company Update | AP (Thailand) (AP TB/BUY/Bt8.75/Target: Bt10.10) We expect AP to report a net profit of Bt1.28b in 4Q25, flat yoy but up 11% qoq. The qoq improvement should be driven by transfers of backlog. Meanwhile, gross margin is likely to be flat qoq, pressured by intensified competition. AP continues to pursue a more aggressive business strategy than its peers, which should help the company maintain market share and support earnings growth amid market consolidation. Maintai...
Alpha Picks: Focusing On Laggards And Selective Catalysts Highlights Our Jan 26 Alpha Picks outperformed the FBMKLCI on a price-weighted (+5.2%) and market cap-weighted (+5.9%) basis. IOI Properties Group (IOIPG) (+20.8%) and Lagenda Properties (+20.0%) led the gains while Pekat (-14.6%) and VSI (-13.4%) lagged. For Feb 26, we favour stocks with firmer domestic earnings visibility amid lingering external uncertainties and names with company-specific catalysts amid sector rotation. Feb 26...
Top Stories Strategy | Alpha Picks: Focusing On Laggards And Selective Catalysts Our Jan 26 Alpha Picks outperformed the FBMKLCI on a price-weighted and market cap-weighted basis. For Feb 26, we favour stocks with firmer domestic earnings visibility amid lingering external uncertainties and names with company-specific catalysts amid sector rotation. Feb 26 Alpha Picks: Bursa Malaysia, IJM Corporation, Lagenda Properties, Oxford Innotech, Pekat Group, RHB Bank, Tenaga Nasional, VS Industry, Yinso...
Top Stories Strategy | Monthly Market Radar Singapore equities delivered a strong January performance, with the STI rising 5.6% to fresh record highs amid heightened geopolitical tensions that drove flight-to-safety flows. Manufacturing activity remained in mild expansion, led by electronics and AI-related demand. Market/corporate catalysts during the month include REIT earnings, IPO interest in Catalist and continued strength in gold-linked counters. Company Results | Parkway Life REIT (PREIT ...
Top Stories Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite the risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, and Meituan to our SELL list. Technical Analysis China Mobile | 941 HK Support levels: HK$76.55/HK$75....
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom, respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, while adding Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Company Results | Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/B...
PREIT’s three Singapore hospitals provided a fixed 3% annual step-up in rents in 2H25. The strategic acquisition of 11 nursing homes in France contributed 8.1% of group NPI. It has obtained tax exemption for all 11 nursing homes. PREIT is evaluating AEI for GEH and PEH to improve workflow and operating efficiency. Work on one of the hospitals could commence in 2027. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$5.45.
Singapore equities delivered a strong January performance, with the STI rising 5.6% to fresh record highs amid heightened geopolitical tensions that drove flight-to-safety flows. Manufacturing activity remained in mild expansion, led by electronics and AI-related demand. Market/corporate catalysts during the month include REIT earnings, IPO interest in Catalist and continued strength in gold-linked counters.
Company Results | Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/BUY/Rp4,570/Target: Rp5,100) BBNI posted a solid 4Q25 core operating performance, with PPOP up 10.9% qoq on margin expansion and stronger fee income. However, higher overlay provisions and write-offs lifted credit cost and weighed on earnings. NIM improved on lower funding costs but is guided to normalise in 2026 amid yield pressure and liquidity seasonality. Loan growth was boosted by programme lending, while MSME continued its growth momentum. A...
Company Results | Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/BUY/Rp4,570/Target: Rp5,100) BBNI posted a solid 4Q25 core operating performance, with PPOP up 10.9% qoq on margin expansion and stronger fee income. However, higher overlay provisions and write-offs lifted credit cost and weighed on earnings. NIM improved on lower funding costs but is guided to normalise in 2026 amid yield pressure and liquidity seasonality. Loan growth was boosted by programme lending, while MSME continued its growth momentum. A...
Company Update | Minor International (MINT TB/BUY/Bt22.90/Target: Bt38.00) MINT is expected to deliver solid earnings momentum in 4Q25, driven by strong post-renovation hotel performance and RevPar growth across Thailand, Europe, and the Maldives, alongside easing interest expenses that support margin expansion. Core profit should rise both yoy and qoq. Looking ahead, leverage will hinge on the planned REIT and food IPO, which are expected to support deleveraging. We maintain BUY with a Bt38.00 ...
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