Welcome to our 2026 Japan Perspective, our 17th annual preview of the year ahead for Japan and the Japanese stock market. Much as 2024 proved to be a repeat of 2004, 2025 – at least up until the last few weeks – has proved to be a repeat of 2005. So, will 2026 extend the run and be a repeat of 2006, a more measured year than its predecessors, one that rewarded stock picking and timing over "buy and hold"? What is the outlook for the Japanese economy? Having selected Sanae Takaichi as the countr...
PSA Research Round-Up for 22-30 December 2025 Reports, Macro and Company Insights Weekly comment by Pelham Smithers Although this is the season “to be jolly”, with bears prowling the streets of Japan, it may make more sense to look for negatives. So for this week we highlight six potential “short” ideas for 2026.
PSA Today Japan Market Comment by Pelham Smithers Tags: Sumitomo Metal Mining (5713 JT). Mitsui Kinzoku (5706 JT), Mitsubishi Materials (5711 JT), Toho Zinc (5707 JT), Dowa Mining (5714 JT), Itochu (8001 JT), Mitsui & Co (8031 JT), Toyo Engineering (6330 JT), Fujikura (5803 JT). Sumitomo Electric (5802 JT), Japan Steel Works (5631 JT), Ibiden (4062 JT), Kioxia (285A JT), Tokyo Seimitsu (7729 JT), Kokusai Electric (6525 JT), Sony (6758 JT) Main Points Mixed session for Japanese equities as h...
PSA Today Japan Market Comment by Pelham Smithers and Joel Scheiman Tags: Ibiden (4062 JT), Advantest (6857 JT), Sumitomo Metal Mining (5713 JT), Dowa Holdings (5714 JT), Panasonic (6752 JT), Chubu EP (9502 JT), Yaskawa (6506 JT), Sapporo Holdings (2501 JT), Amazon (AMZN US), Nintendo (7974 JT), Nexon (3659 JT), KLab (3656 JT), Oracle Japan (4716 JT), BayCurrent (6532 JT), Fujitsu (6702 JT), Ricoh (7752 JT), Casio (6952 JT), Toyota Motor (7203 JT), Nippon Sheet Glass (5202 JT), Samsung Electron...
Lindsay Whipp reviews the FY25 Q2 performance and notes that although the 20% decline in the share price over the past six months as lowered Oracle Japan’s FY26 EV/OP down to 18.5x, which is not too expensive for a company generating an OPM of 32.9%, uncertainty around the pace of OP growth this fiscal year remains a concern.
PSA Today Japan Market Comment by Pelham Smithers, Joel Scheiman and Lindsay Whipp Tags: Subaru (7270 JT), Mazda Motor (7261 JT), Nissan Motor (7201 JT), Shimano (7309 JT), Nintendo (7974 JT), Capcom (9697 JT), Sony (6758 JT), Toho (9602 JT), Konami (9766 JT), Bandai Namco (7832 JT), Electronic Arts (EA US), Tokyo Seimitsu (7729 JT), Towa (6315 JT), Ulvac (6728 JT), Square Enix (9684 JT), Osaka Organic Chemical (4187 JT), Oracle Corp Japan (4716 JT), Oracle (ORCL US) Main Points Quieter day...
PSA Today Japan Market Comment by Pelham Smithers, Joel Scheiman and Julie Boote Tags: SanDisk (SNDK US), Micron (MU US), Lam Research (LRCX US), Kioxia (285A JT), Kokusai Electric (6525 JT), Tokyo Electron (8035 JT), Tokyo Seimitsu (7729 JT), Nvidia (NVDA US), Mitsui Kinzoku (5706 JT), Resonac (4004 JT), Ibiden (4062 JT), Fujikura (5803 JT), Sumitomo Electric (5802 JT), Japan Steel Works (5631 JT), Fanuc (6954 JT), Yaskawa Electric (6506 JT), Renesas (6723 JT), Mazda Motor (7261 JT), Ricoh (77...
Weekly Comment Summary Nagoya Railroad is reviewing its plans to redevelop Nagoya Station as a scheduled contractor withdrew its bid, citing difficulties in securing personnel. Labour shortages, rising wages, rising costs, and now higher interest rates, are likely to weigh not only on future development plans but ongoing projects. Pelham Smithers discusses. PSA Weekly Contents at a Glance Reports / Flash Notes Summaries 1. PSA Micro- / Small- / Mid-Cap Recap Company / Sector / Thematic Com...
PSA Today Japan Market Comment by Pelham Smithers, Julie Boote and Lindsay Whipp Tags: Micron (MU US), Tokyo Electron (8035 JT), Advantest (6857 JT), Screen Holdings (7735 JT), Kokusai Electric (6525 JT), Shift (3697 JT), Cybozu (4776 JT), GA Technologies (3491 JT), SRE Holdings (2980 JT), Nintendo (7974 JT), Konami (9766 JT), Sony (6758 JT), Mazda Motor (7261 JT), Toyota Motor (7203 JT), Microsoft (MSFT US), Square Enix (9684 JT), Koei Tecmo (3635 JT), Tencent (700 HK), Bandai Namco (7832 JT)...
This note contains two articles related to Sony: One highlighting how November sales of the 5-yr-old PS5 is outselling the Switch 2 and an update on Sony’s new game Marathon. It is due in next year but PSA’s gaming expert, Pelham Smithers, is not expecting much.
PSA Today Japan Market Comment by Pelham Smithers, Julie Boote, Thao Nguyen and Hiroyuki Terada Tags: Oracle (ORCL US), SoftBank Group (9984 JT), Lasertec (6920 JT), KHI (7012 JT), Japan Steel Works (5631 JT), Shift (3697 JT), BayCurrent (6532 JT), Nintendo (7974 JT), Sony (6758 JT), Honda (7267 JT), Nexperia (pvt), Wingtech (600745 CH), Koei Tecmo (3635 JT), Sega Sammy (6460 JT), Electronic Arts (EA US), Take Two (TTWO US), Capcom (9697 JT), Microsoft (MSFT US), BattleState Games (pvt), Nexon ...
Pelham Smithers notes that the machinery order data for October is something of a curate’s egg. The numbers are strong but the pressure on capacity remains strained. As a result, companies may start to focus on making savings in non-production areas, such as G&A.
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