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Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Market Strategy: 2026 Japan Perspective and PSA Focus List for 202...

Welcome to our 2026 Japan Perspective, our 17th annual preview of the year ahead for Japan and the Japanese stock market. Much as 2024 proved to be a repeat of 2004, 2025 – at least up until the last few weeks – has proved to be a repeat of 2005. So, will 2026 extend the run and be a repeat of 2006, a more measured year than its predecessors, one that rewarded stock picking and timing over "buy and hold"? What is the outlook for the Japanese economy? Having selected Sanae Takaichi as the countr...

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Research Round-Up for 22-30 December 2025

PSA Research Round-Up for 22-30 December 2025 Reports, Macro and Company Insights Weekly comment by Pelham Smithers Although this is the season “to be jolly”, with bears prowling the streets of Japan, it may make more sense to look for negatives. So for this week we highlight six potential “short” ideas for 2026.

PSA Today 30 Dec: Last trading day of year / mild fall / BoJ bond buyi...

PSA Today 30 Dec: Nikkei 225 -0.37% * Last market day for 2025 * Mild fall as metal stocks correct * BoJ buys Y3.3tril in JGBs in December

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Today 29 Dec: Higher metal prices the focus / Japan targeting firs...

PSA Today Japan Market Comment by Pelham Smithers Tags: Sumitomo Metal Mining (5713 JT). Mitsui Kinzoku (5706 JT), Mitsubishi Materials (5711 JT), Toho Zinc (5707 JT), Dowa Mining (5714 JT), Itochu (8001 JT), Mitsui & Co (8031 JT), Toyo Engineering (6330 JT), Fujikura (5803 JT). Sumitomo Electric (5802 JT), Japan Steel Works (5631 JT), Ibiden (4062 JT), Kioxia (285A JT), Tokyo Seimitsu (7729 JT), Kokusai Electric (6525 JT), Sony (6758 JT) Main Points  Mixed session for Japanese equities as h...

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Today 26 Dec: Boosted by Tokyo CPI – Nikkei 225 +0.68% | ¥$156.27

PSA Today 26 Dec: Nikkei 225 +0.68% | ¥$156.27 * Tokyo boosted by weaker than expected Tokyo CPI * Tokyo CPI +2.0% YoY in December

PSA Today 25 Dec: Nikkei inches higher as small caps shine / Foreigner...

PSA Today 25 Dec: Nikkei 225 +0.13% | ¥$155.92 * Nikkei inches higher as small caps shine * Foreigners sell Y1.23tril week to 19 Dec

Joel Scheiman ... (+4)
  • Joel Scheiman
  • Julie Boote
  • Pelham Smithers
  • William Nestuk

PSA Tech Thoughts Recap: Media & Entertainment | IC / AI / DC / SPE ...

This report brings together the PSA Team’s technology-related reports and thoughts month-to-date [to 24 Dec] covering big picture / industry articles and company news and insights.

Joel Scheiman ... (+2)
  • Joel Scheiman
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Today Christmas Eve: AI stocks the spark on this quiet day / Good ...

PSA Today Japan Market Comment by Pelham Smithers and Joel Scheiman Tags: Ibiden (4062 JT), Advantest (6857 JT), Sumitomo Metal Mining (5713 JT), Dowa Holdings (5714 JT), Panasonic (6752 JT), Chubu EP (9502 JT), Yaskawa (6506 JT), Sapporo Holdings (2501 JT), Amazon (AMZN US), Nintendo (7974 JT), Nexon (3659 JT), KLab (3656 JT), Oracle Japan (4716 JT), BayCurrent (6532 JT), Fujitsu (6702 JT), Ricoh (7752 JT), Casio (6952 JT), Toyota Motor (7203 JT), Nippon Sheet Glass (5202 JT), Samsung Electron...

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA IT Services / Software: Oracle (4716 JT) Japan Misses FY25 Q2 Esti...

Lindsay Whipp reviews the FY25 Q2 performance and notes that although the 20% decline in the share price over the past six months as lowered Oracle Japan’s FY26 EV/OP down to 18.5x, which is not too expensive for a company generating an OPM of 32.9%, uncertainty around the pace of OP growth this fiscal year remains a concern.

Hiroyuki Terada
  • Hiroyuki Terada

PSA Commercial Services: Park24 (4666 JT) – Improving Shareholder Retu...

Small- / Mid-cap analyst Hiroyuki Terada reviews the FY25 performance of Park24, highlights KPIs for FY26 and flags that in addition to undemanding valuations, shareholder returns are improving.

Joel Scheiman ... (+3)
  • Joel Scheiman
  • Lindsay Whipp
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Today 23 Dec: Winding down running up to Christmas / Nov Japan SPE...

PSA Today Japan Market Comment by Pelham Smithers, Joel Scheiman and Lindsay Whipp Tags: Subaru (7270 JT), Mazda Motor (7261 JT), Nissan Motor (7201 JT), Shimano (7309 JT), Nintendo (7974 JT), Capcom (9697 JT), Sony (6758 JT), Toho (9602 JT), Konami (9766 JT), Bandai Namco (7832 JT), Electronic Arts (EA US), Tokyo Seimitsu (7729 JT), Towa (6315 JT), Ulvac (6728 JT), Square Enix (9684 JT), Osaka Organic Chemical (4187 JT), Oracle Corp Japan (4716 JT), Oracle (ORCL US) Main Points  Quieter day...

William Nestuk
  • William Nestuk

PSA Capital Goods / Electrical Equipment: Fujikura (5803 JT) – Preferr...

William Nestuk updates his earnings model and fair value on Fujikura. He remains upbeat on the outlook given the firm is the preferred supplier to hyperscalers for connectors and cables.

Julie Boote
  • Julie Boote

PSA Autos / New Mobility: Japan's New EV Model Offensive

In this report, analyst Julie Boote reviews the 2025~2026 model line-up in the mainstream BEV segment for Japan’s automakers, focusing on Europe, North America [NA] and Japan, and assesses the appeal and competitiveness of the new models.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Technology / Semiconductors: Blended NAND Price Hits US$4.54 for 2...

Chip prices continue to rise. Pelham Smithers flags the reason behind pricing differentials, previews the market for 2026 and provides an analogy for those who see the NAND market as nothing but a commodity to consider

Joel Scheiman ... (+3)
  • Joel Scheiman
  • Julie Boote
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Today 22 Dec: BoJ post-hike comments, SOX gains sends Japan higher...

PSA Today Japan Market Comment by Pelham Smithers, Joel Scheiman and Julie Boote Tags: SanDisk (SNDK US), Micron (MU US), Lam Research (LRCX US), Kioxia (285A JT), Kokusai Electric (6525 JT), Tokyo Electron (8035 JT), Tokyo Seimitsu (7729 JT), Nvidia (NVDA US), Mitsui Kinzoku (5706 JT), Resonac (4004 JT), Ibiden (4062 JT), Fujikura (5803 JT), Sumitomo Electric (5802 JT), Japan Steel Works (5631 JT), Fanuc (6954 JT), Yaskawa Electric (6506 JT), Renesas (6723 JT), Mazda Motor (7261 JT), Ricoh (77...

Hiroyuki Terada ... (+7)
  • Hiroyuki Terada
  • Joel Scheiman
  • Julie Boote
  • Lindsay Whipp
  • Pelham Smithers
  • Thao Nguyen
  • William Nestuk

The PSA Research Round-Up for Week to 19 December 2025

Weekly Comment Summary Nagoya Railroad is reviewing its plans to redevelop Nagoya Station as a scheduled contractor withdrew its bid, citing difficulties in securing personnel. Labour shortages, rising wages, rising costs, and now higher interest rates, are likely to weigh not only on future development plans but ongoing projects. Pelham Smithers discusses. PSA Weekly Contents at a Glance Reports / Flash Notes Summaries 1. PSA Micro- / Small- / Mid-Cap Recap Company / Sector / Thematic Com...

Julie Boote ... (+3)
  • Julie Boote
  • Lindsay Whipp
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Today 19 Dec: Higher on Micron, CPI, BoJ rates hike / Nov CPI data...

PSA Today Japan Market Comment by Pelham Smithers, Julie Boote and Lindsay Whipp Tags: Micron (MU US), Tokyo Electron (8035 JT), Advantest (6857 JT), Screen Holdings (7735 JT), Kokusai Electric (6525 JT), Shift (3697 JT), Cybozu (4776 JT), GA Technologies (3491 JT), SRE Holdings (2980 JT), Nintendo (7974 JT), Konami (9766 JT), Sony (6758 JT), Mazda Motor (7261 JT), Toyota Motor (7203 JT), Microsoft (MSFT US), Square Enix (9684 JT), Koei Tecmo (3635 JT), Tencent (700 HK), Bandai Namco (7832 JT)...

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Media & Entertainment: PS5 Outsells Switch 2 in Nov / Sony’s (6758...

This note contains two articles related to Sony: One highlighting how November sales of the 5-yr-old PS5 is outselling the Switch 2 and an update on Sony’s new game Marathon. It is due in next year but PSA’s gaming expert, Pelham Smithers, is not expecting much.

Hiroyuki Terada ... (+4)
  • Hiroyuki Terada
  • Julie Boote
  • Pelham Smithers
  • Thao Nguyen

PSA Today 18 Dec: Oracle issues triggers another sell-off in tech hard...

PSA Today Japan Market Comment by Pelham Smithers, Julie Boote, Thao Nguyen and Hiroyuki Terada Tags: Oracle (ORCL US), SoftBank Group (9984 JT), Lasertec (6920 JT), KHI (7012 JT), Japan Steel Works (5631 JT), Shift (3697 JT), BayCurrent (6532 JT), Nintendo (7974 JT), Sony (6758 JT), Honda (7267 JT), Nexperia (pvt), Wingtech (600745 CH), Koei Tecmo (3635 JT), Sega Sammy (6460 JT), Electronic Arts (EA US), Take Two (TTWO US), Capcom (9697 JT), Microsoft (MSFT US), BattleState Games (pvt), Nexon ...

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Macro: Machinery Order Backlog Continues to Grow Despite Weak Defe...

Pelham Smithers notes that the machinery order data for October is something of a curate’s egg. The numbers are strong but the pressure on capacity remains strained. As a result, companies may start to focus on making savings in non-production areas, such as G&A.

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