reports
- Mihaly Gajda
OMV resilient despite macro strain, Petrochemicals remain weak
OMV reported clean CCS EBIT of EUR 1,031 mn in Q2 2025, down 11% QoQ and 16% YoY, broadly in line with the market consensus of EUR 1,022 mn. CCS net income came in at EUR 385 mn, also close to consensus. The differences between actual results and consensus were minimal, both at the aggregate and segment levels.
- Krisztian Karikas
Upgraded guidance creates more room for payout
Magyar Telekom has reported solid results for the second quarter and beat market consensus estimates. Thanks to the efficient cost reduction and one-off items, adjusted net profit reached HUF 110bn in the first half of 2025. Such that management has lifted its full year guidance, expecting ca. 15% EBITDAaL growth over the year, at least HUF 200bn adjusted net profit and HUF 200bn free cashflow. Due to the better than expected results, we adjust our forecast for this year while keeping our ...
- Gabor Bukta
Record Q clean EBIT overshadowed by one-offs
Summary: Richter posted its Q2/25 results today morning. The Company beat analysts’ estimates in terms of revenues by +3% and clean EBIT by +8%, while net profit for Q2 missed estimates by -6%, but we pointed out after Abbvie’s Q2 report that the consensus may have underestimated the value-add of CNS. Quarterly clean EBIT amounted to a record of HUF 79.6bn, but net profit reached HUF 51.8bn. It was shaped by one-offs, which overall dragged on earnings. On the one hand, higher-than expected ...
- Mihaly Gajda
Petrom beats expectations, lifted by one-off litigation gain
• The company reported clean CCS operating profit of RON 1,188 mn, representing a 6% decline QoQ and a 14% decline YoY. However, it outperformed the consensus estimate of RON 1,111 mn, exceeding it by 7%, mainly due to stronger-than-expected performance in the E&P segment. The results were significantly boosted by a one-off litigation settlement, which increased EBITDA and EBIT by RON 200 mn. The outperformance was even more pronounced at the net profit level, further supported by RON 170 mn in ...
- Szabolcs Pal
Erste beats expectations mainly due to a one-off effect and improved t...
Erste Group delivered strong H1 2025 results supported by revenue growth in core markets, disciplined cost management, robust asset quality, and a significant positive one-off item, has prompted a broad-based upgrade to the full-year 2025 guidance. The quarter was also marked by an accelerated capital build, with the CET1 ratio increasing to 17.4%, placing the bank in a strong position ahead of the planned consolidation of Santander Bank Polska around year-end 2025.
- Gabor Bukta
5% beat on higher incomes but higher risk costs
Summary: Adj. net income came to HUF 330bn in Q2/25, a 5% beat compared to consensus estimate of HUF 314bn, a touch below our street-high HUF333bn estimate, which was attributable to higher-than-expected total incomes. OPEX was fully in-line, while the provisioning was exceptionally high, up 44% YoY to HUF 67bn in Q2. The management provided an updated guidance for 2025. They now expect to reach a CIR of “closer to 41.3% reported in 2024” compared to “somewhat higher than that”, while the r...
- Szabolcs Pal
RBI reported a surprising result in Q2
After the Q2 results we revised our forecast and rolled our TP to Jun-26 which we set at EUR 28.3 excluding the DPS after the 2025 results. We increased our 2026 estimated EPS by 15% to EUR 4.2. However, we cut our recommendation to Accumulate from Buy due to the limited upside potential. We assume that RBI will increase the dividend payout ratio to 40% following last year's decline. RBI reported a net profit of EUR 307mn, a 25% increase YoY, due to the higher operating income and lower CHF pr...
- Gabor Bukta
Restructuring story may rebuild confidence
Summary: We raise our target price from 17.0 GBP to 20.0 GBP and reiterate our Buy recommendation, reflecting the promise of a restructuring story. Following the fiscal Q1/26 conference call held on 24 July, we concluded that a major structural change is under way, which the market should welcome. The management might be on the right track to build confidence in investors. Wizz Air’s CEO stressed to refocus on core CEE markets and announced to cut capacity growth prospects. It was crucial ...
- Gabor Bukta
Turnaround is distant, but shares are overly punished
We have significantly reduced our forecasts following Wizz Air’s early June financial report, which fell short of expectations. Moreover, the company published guidance for next year that also came in below expectations for key performance indicators. The stock’s poor performance comes as no surprise, as a growing number of investors are questioning the credibility and preparedness of the management. We have lowered our target price from 22.1 GBP to 17.0 GBP, while maintaining our Buy recommenda...
- Krisztian Karikas
Solid results in Q1, on track for FY guidance
Duna House posted solid results in the first quarter today morning. The Italian segment continued to post strong results and the elevated housing market activities in Hungary also contributed to the Group level result. Given the recent pullback in share price, we raise our recommendation to Accumulate while keeping our TP of HUF 1,137 unchanged.
- Krisztian Karikas
Top line growth remained solid, but net profit disappoints
DIGI has reported its Q1 results today morning. While the revenue growth remained solid, supported by the strong underlying performance from key markets, net profit was quite disappointing in this quarter which came in at EUR 5.9mn, 73% down YoY.
- Mate Somlai-Kiss
Repricing on the horizon, catalysts in motion
Following the strategic update and the latest results, we update our forecasts on Waberer’s. Logistics may begin to normalize and continue to deliver sustainable profitability, while the Insurance segment will drive growth in the coming quarters. Waberer’s remained unreasonably cheap despite being able to complete recent acquisitions with compelling valuation. These companies will likely enhance profitability, contributing more than EUR 10mn+ at EBIT level in 2025. Based on these key drivers, ...
- Szabolcs Pal
Expensive but value-creating acquisition
We leave our recommendation at Neutral following Erste’s Polish acquisition, which was expensive, in our view, although they spent their extensive capital in a value-creating way. We roll over and raise our Jun-26 ex-div target price to EUR 75.6 from EUR 64.2, implying a 10.0% TR upside potential including a DPS of EUR 0.8 for 2025 over the TP period.
- Mate Somlai-Kiss
Profitability plunges in Q1, outlook remains unchanged
AutoWallis posted Q1/25 results this morning. The company achieved record quarterly revenues of HUF 107.3bn, increasing 20% YoY, mainly driven by closed acquisitions. Profitability shrunk further in Q1 after we saw some contraction last year, as EBITDA dropped -31.5% on the year to HUF 3.3bn, while EPS came in at HUF 1.21 (-55% YoY). The rise in fix costs may continue to deteriorate earnings in the short term, while according to the management, this is necessary to support inorganic growth aspir...
- Mihaly Gajda
MOL beats consensus on unusually strong Q1 refined product sales
The company outperformed market consensus across all key metrics—USD 833 mn clean EBITDA, USD 495 mn EBIT, and USD 393 mn net profit—the surprise is mainly driven by an unusual 15% YoY increase in Downstream sales and consolidation effects. Upstream also surprised positively due to lower exploration spending and limited royalty impact. Other segments had lower but also positive surprise.
- Mihaly Gajda
OMV Misses Clean CCS EBIT Consensus Amid Continued Refining Weakness
OMV reported a clean CCS EBIT of EUR 1,160 mn in Q1 2025, down 16% quarter-on-quarter and 22% year-on-year, missing the market consensus of EUR 1,232 mn. The shortfall was primarily driven by the continued weak performance of the refining segment, which also disappointed significantly in Q4.
- Mihaly Gajda
Petrom Posts Solid Quarter, In Line with Consensus
The company reported a clean CCS operating profit of RON 1,257 mn, representing a 32% increase QoQ but a 29% decline YoY. Operational performance remained broadly stable compared to the previous quarter, if we take into consideration that Q4 results were significantly impacted by year-end impairments in the E&P segment totalling RON 630 mn. The results are in line with our expectations and the market consensus, although outlook worsened for the coming quarters.
- Krisztian Karikas
Promising start for the year, FY guidance reiterated
Magyar Telekom has reported strong results for the first quarter and beat market consensus estimates. First quarter results are promising to keep the full year guidance even with the lack of inflation-based fee adjustment. Such that management has reiterated its full year guidance, expecting HUF 190bn adjusted net profit and HUF 180bn free cashflow.
- Gabor Bukta
Positive financial impact was underestimated in Q1
Richter posted its Q1/25 results today morning. The Company beat analysts’ estimates in terms of net profit, while revenues and clean EBIT matched expectations. On the bottom line, the beat was attributed to significant FX gains of HUF 11bn (o/w HUF 14.0bn was unrealized). Richter generated an outstanding FCF of HUF 60bn in Q1 despite that we expected that the normalization in payables may drag on this figure. The management reiterated its guidance as they see both revenues and clean EBIT to gro...
- Gabor Bukta
Marginal beat in Q1 driven by higher revenues
OTP’s reported net income came to HUF 189bn in Q1/25, beating the consensus estimate of HUF 184bn by 3% due to better-than-expect total income. 2025 guidance has been left fully unchanged by the management, but the current consensus may not reflect the full potential for 2025. Our 2025 net profit estimate is 9% above the consensus. We roll over to Jun-26 and raise our TP by HUF 30,955, implying a 26% total return upside potential including the dividends after 2024 (c. HUF 1000 adj. for treasury...
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