Report
Håkon Astrup
EUR 94.26 For Business Accounts Only

Gjensidige Forsikring (Hold, TP: NOK230.00) - Long-awaited turnaround

Q4 PTP was NOK1,605m, 2% higher YOY, but with a significant underwriting improvement following 11.6% insurance revenue growth and a 6.5%-points stronger underlying claims ratio YOY. Following price hikes of ~19% for Motor Norway from January, we expect the underwriting performance to drive growth momentum in 2025, closing in on the 2026 combined ratio target of <82%. We have increased our 2025–2026e EPS by ~6%, and raised our target price to NOK230 (206). We reiterate our HOLD.
Underlying
Gjensidige Forsikring ASA

Gjensidige Forskring provides insurance products to private and commercial customers in Norway, Denmark, Sweden and the Baltic states. Co.'s activities are divided into six segments in addition to the asset management unit which manages Co.'s investment portfolio. The Private segment provides a range of general insurance products besides banking, savings and investment products. The Commercial segment provides a range of general insurance products to the commercial and municipality markets. Co.'s investment portfolio includes all investment funds in Co. except for investment funds in the Pension and Savings and Retail Bank segments. Co.'s other segments include Nordic and Baltics.

Provider
DnB Markets
DnB Markets

DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.

 

Analysts
Håkon Astrup

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