NX Filtration Filtered Expectations: Growth Trickles Well Below Capacity
Last December, filtration specialist NXFIL issued a profit warning—its fourth in a row. Following this week's FY25 release, we revised our model to reflect the disappointing top line and higher than expected cash burn. Despite favourable market conditions, a technological lead and sizeable commercial investments, the warning further eroded investor confidence.
The company no longer provides quantified revenue guidance for the current year but continues to reiterate its ambitious medium term objectives: average topline growth of 50% while maintaining gross margins. Our model now assumes these growth levels over 2026 and 2027, albeit from a lower base. Even this ambitious trajectory yields a fair value of only €1.8, and we see risks to our forecasts skewed to the downside. We therefore move to Sell (from Under Review) with an updated TP of €1.8 (was €2.4).