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Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Bekaert Feedback conference call

Below is the feedback from the 3Q conference call. Bekaert lowered its FY guidance to an uEBIT range of 340-350m, which at midpoint is c. 9% below our forecast (378m) and 8% below consensus (373m), reflecting weaker end markets. Importantly and taking into account the solid balance sheet (net debt/EBITDA below 1x) and limited recent M&A activity, Bekaert announced to immediately resume share buybacks and launched a € 200m (>10% of current market cap) SBB program, to be executed over the next 24 ...

Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

Inventiva FIRST LOOK: 3Q24 update holds no surprises, NATiV3 timelines...

Inventiva provided a 3Q24 update which holds no surprises, reporting a cash position of € 13.9m. Following the € 94m in gross proceeds from the tranched equity raise (up to € 348m) announced in October 2024 and € 10m milestone from China partner CTTQ, Inventiva has a cash runway until the end of 2Q25 – this can be further extended with subsequent tranches based on certain conditions being met. With the financing overhang lifted, the focus is on recruitment for the phase 3 (NATiV3) trial of lani...

Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

Ackermans & van Haaren 3Q FY24: Major Participations Continue To Post ...

The private banking division continued to post robust results with AuM rising 12.1% to a record high of €73.1b while gross inflows stood at €5.1b. These figures do not include AuM upticks from the acquisitions of Box Consultants and Dierickx Leys – these will show up in 4Q FY24 and 1H FY25 respectively. Yesterday, AvH published its updated shareholder arrangement with the Delen family that implied a transfer price of 15x PE + 50.0% of excess equity, implying a value of €4.0b+ (vs. ~€3.0b KBCSe)....

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Bekaert FIRST LOOK: Weak 3Q sales, lower FY guidance but resuming SBB

Bekaert lowered its FY guidance to an uEBIT range of 340-350m, which at midpoint is c. 9% below our forecast (378m) and 8% below consensus (373m), reflecting weaker end markets. Importantly and taking into account the solid balance sheet (net debt/EBITDA below 1x) and limited recent M&A activity, Bekaert announced to immediately resume share buybacks and launched a € 200m (>10% of current market cap) SBB program, to be executed over the next 24 months. Despite the reduced FY guidance which will ...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+7)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Montea Montea invests in two new prime locations in NL

Montea invests EUR 29.7m in two prime locations in the Netherlands. In Diemen, Montea has acquired a highly coveted plot comprising c. 28k sqm, which will be let on a long-term lease to the current tenant. In Oss, Montea will develop a distribution center for Vos Logistics. This will add to the company's two existing properties in the same area. Montea targets to achieve an average initial yield of 6.9% across the two investments. Montea recently updated its Track27 program and estimated that 35...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Wim Lewi
Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

Gimv 1H24/25 Results: Preparations For A Potential Rights Issue

In its 1H24/25 press release, Gimv announced it is preparing for a potential capital increase (rights issue) over the coming months. A CMD on 22/01/25 will provide more details about its new strategy linked to this transaction. Over 1H24/25, the NAV rose by 9.4% to €55.6 while the overall portfolio's value hit a record high of >€1.7b. Portfolio result came in at €186.8m, a portfolio return of 12.0%. Net result clocked in at €144.9m (€5.1ps), a net return of 9.7%. Portfolio companies posted an ov...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Lewi
Thomas Vranken
  • Thomas Vranken

UCB FIRST LOOK: FDA gives 5/5 with Bimzelx' new approval in HS

UCB has received a 5th nod for Bimzelx as hidradenitis suppurativa joins the fray of approved indications. We see an important role for Bimzelx in this emerging disease space with clear potential to become standard of care over time given its clear outperformance over Novartis' Cosentyx in the clinic. We reiterate our € 173 TP and Accumulate rating.

Thomas Vranken
  • Thomas Vranken

argenx Myositis go & model update

argenx announced that it is advancing clinical development of SC efgar in idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (myositis). The ongoing seamless Ph2/3 study is a basket trial across three myositis subsets, IMNM, ASyS and DM, each of which will continue into the Ph3 part. Furthermore, following the strong Q3 update, we have adjusted our model to reflect the sustained strong commercial uptake for Vyvgart in myasthenia gravis (MG), as well as the solid start in CIDP. On the other hand, we have removed...

Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

Zealand Pharma Initiation: Shifting pounds into profit

Zealand is a Danish biotech with a broad pipeline in obesity and rare disease. Petrelintide (amylin analog) could become a monotherapy challenger to GLP-1 drugs based on its efficacy and tolerability in phase 1b, and phase 2b results in 2026 could set petrelintide up to capture a significant share of the $140b obesity market as the go to option for GLP-1 intolerant patients, weight loss maintenance and beyond. In addition, survodutide (GLP-1/glucagon analog) is already out-licenced to BI with on...

Thomas Vranken
  • Thomas Vranken

Onward Medical FIRST LOOK: Grant to assess ARC-BCI in stroke patients

Onward announces a new grant from the EIC for € 6m over 5-years (of which Onward receives almost € 2m) to assess ARC-BCI in stroke patients. The grant underlines the platform potential of Onward's technologies. We continue to look out to FDA approval for Onward's first product ARC-EX, expected by YE24. We reiterate our € 9.1 TP and Buy rating.

Thomas Vranken
  • Thomas Vranken

UCB FIRST LOOK: First takes on dapimap's Ph3 results in SLE

UCB shared first insights into the Phase 3 data on dapimap in SLE, which appear generally favourable with a 14.6% BICLA benefit after 48 weeks vs. SoC. The data also shows a steroid tapering effect and reduction in flares, while suggesting possible outperformance vs. current market leader Benlysta (GSK). Dapimap is co-developed with Biogen and will be continued in a second Ph3 study. We reiterate our € 173 TP and Accumulate rating.

Lynn Hautekeete
  • Lynn Hautekeete

Warehouses Estates Belgium 3Q24 trading update: results in line

Warehouses Estates Belgium reported yesterday evening its 3Q24 trading update. The trading update is in line with our increased estimates. As a reminder we increased our FY24 and FY25 estimates by 2% and 6% respectively on the back of higher operational efficiency and positive rental reversion reported in the 1H24 results. The 3Q24 trading update contains little new information. The occupancy rate is flat vs 2Q24. There is a small fair value uplift in 3Q24 of EUR 3.0m indicating fair value corre...

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Vranken
Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Greenyard Confirming its ambitions of € 200m–210m Adj. EBITDA by March...

After successfully navigating its business during two challenging years in 2022 and 2023, which were marked by unseen inflation, Greenyard reached in 1H24/25 operational results in line with our model with increased net sales and a further improvement of its Adj. EBITDA driven by sustained volume growth particularly in the Fresh segment and by managing optimal price levels across as well its Fresh as in its Long Fresh division. We welcome the reduction of both debt and leverage ratio (from 2.39x...

Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

Fugro Announcing €50m SBB

Fugro announced it will implement a share buyback programme for an amount of € 50m. The programme will result in a reduction of the company's share capital by cancelling all shares acquired through the repurchase programme, also offsetting dilution from the recently matured convertible bonds. A welcome announcement following the unwarranted sell off in the name. Buy and €28.5 TP reiterated.

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Retail Estates 1H24/25 Results, managing the reletting well

RET reported its 1H24/25 results (September end) slightly below our estimates. EPRA Net profit grew 1.9%. EPRA EPS amounted to EUR 3.12 vs. our expectation of 3.16. NRI grew 4.6% to 70.6m vs. 72.2.9m expected. Occupancy declined slightly to 97.6% from 97.9%. Retail Estates was confronted with some bankruptcies in the toy (Fun) and fashion (Euro Shoe) segment, but has so far managed the re-letting extremely well. These bankruptcies have soured the sentiment on the stock. However, RET confirmed i...

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