Ontex Model update post profit warning
Ontex issued a severe profit warning which implies the company now expects 4Q25 adjusted EBITDA to land at € 38-43m vs a previous expectation range of € 63-68m, with the downwards revision due to intense competition from A-brands in the baby care segment. We have reduced our adjusted EBITDA forecasts for FY25-27 by between 8-10%, but still expect FY26 EBITDA to grow by c. 12% vs our new FY25 forecast, on a combination of efficiency measures, the full contribution of new contracts and (at some point) an easing of the heavy promotional activity of the A-brands. Given the poor recent track record, with two profit warnings in the past six months, low structural growth and intense competitive pressures, we do not see a compelling investment case in the short run and therefore rate the stock as a Hold, with target price already set last week at € 6.5.Ontex Group NV is a Belgium-based company, which operates in the manufacturing sector of industry. The Company is a producer of disposable personal hygiene solutions for babies, women and adults. It offers a range of such products as baby diapers, baby pants, baby wet wipes, pads, pantyliners, tampons, light incontinence products, pull-ups, belt diapers, all-in-one tape systems, shaped pads and underpards. Its products are distributed through retail partner brands, as well as under its own brands (canbebe, canped, Helen Harper, Moltex, Baby Charm) across several distribution channels, such as retail trade, care institutions and pharmacies. The Company is present in Europe, Northern Africa, Australia and Asia.
We are a financial services provider for several types of professional clients, each with distinct needs.
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Browse all ResearchPool reportsReport is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.