Ontex Rating downgrade after profit warning
After a weak 2Q/1H25 performance with negative LFL growth due to weak consumer demand, intensified promotional pressure by A-brands, customer destocking and supply chain disruptions, Ontex has lowered its adjusted EBITDA guidance by c. 13% (at the midpoint of the guidance range). Whilst we still believe in the growth prospects of the US business on the back of lower private label penetration and Ontex' challenger status, we cannot be blind for the intensified competition in Europe and the low structural growth prospects. We lowered our forecasts for 2025-2028 by 8-10% and lower our TP from € 10 to € 8, with our rating revised from BUY to Accumulate.Ontex Group NV is a Belgium-based company, which operates in the manufacturing sector of industry. The Company is a producer of disposable personal hygiene solutions for babies, women and adults. It offers a range of such products as baby diapers, baby pants, baby wet wipes, pads, pantyliners, tampons, light incontinence products, pull-ups, belt diapers, all-in-one tape systems, shaped pads and underpards. Its products are distributed through retail partner brands, as well as under its own brands (canbebe, canped, Helen Harper, Moltex, Baby Charm) across several distribution channels, such as retail trade, care institutions and pharmacies. The Company is present in Europe, Northern Africa, Australia and Asia.
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