Report
Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke
EUR 48.56 For Business Accounts Only

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
Underlyings
Adobe Inc.

Adobe is a software company. The company provides a line of products and services used for creating, managing, delivering, measuring, optimizing, engaging and transacting with content across personal computers, devices and media. The company's segments are: Digital Media, which provides products, services and solutions that enable individuals, teams and enterprises to create, publish and promote their content; Digital Experience, which provides a platform and set of applications and services through Adobe Experience Cloud; and Publishing, which contains products and services that address market opportunities including eLearning solutions, web conferencing, web application development and printing.

American Woodmark Corporation

American Woodmark manufactures and distributes kitchen, bath and home organization products for the remodeling and new home construction markets. The company provides a variety of products that fall into product lines including kitchen cabinetry, bath cabinetry, office cabinetry, home organization and hardware. The company's cabinetry products are available in a variety of designs, finishes and finish colors and door styles. The company provides products in the following categories: made-to-order, which are special ordered and shipped directly to the home from the factory; and stock, which represents cash and carry products sold through home centers. The company's home organization products are stock products.

Apogee Enterprises Inc.

Apogee Enterprises is involved in the design and development of glass and metal products and services. The company has four segments: Architectural Framing Systems, which designs, engineers, fabricates and finishes the aluminum frames used in customized window, curtainwall, storefront and entrance systems comprising the outside skin of buildings; Architectural Glass, which fabricates coated glass used in customized window and wall systems; Architectural Services, which provides building glass and curtainwall installation services; and Large-Scale Optical Technologies, which manufactures coated glass and acrylic products for framing and display applications.

ArcelorMittal

Balchem Corporation

Balchem is engaged in the development, manufacture and marketing of specialty performance ingredients and products for the food, nutritional, feed, pharmaceutical, medical sterilization and industrial markets. The company has four reportable segments: Human Nutrition & Health, which provides human grade choline nutrients and mineral amino acid chelated products for nutrition wellness applications; Animal Nutrition & Health, which provides nutritional products in addition to basic choline chloride; Specialty Products, which provides ethylene oxide and propylene oxide; and Industrial Products, which provides certain derivatives of choline chloride, as well as manufactures and sells methylamines.

Bloomin' Brands Inc.

Bloomin' Brands is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a casual dining restaurant company. The company has four concepts: Outback Steakhouse, which is a casual steakhouse restaurant concept focused on steaks and Australian decor; Carrabba's Italian Grill, which provides Italian cuisine; Bonefish Grill, which focuses on fish, wood-grilled items and cocktails; and Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar, which is a steakhouse concept featuring beef, chops, fish, seafood and poultry, salads and side dishes. The company owns and operates restaurants across the U.S., Puerto Rico, Guam and other countries.

COMCASTNEW PFD 6.625%56

Commercial Metals Company

Commercial Metals, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, recycles and markets steel and metal products, related materials and services. The company has four reportable segments: Americas Recycling, which processes scrap metals for use as a raw material by the company and other manufacturers of new metal products; Americas Mills, which operates electric arc furnace (EAF) mini mills, EAF micro mills, rerolling mill, scrap metal shredders, and scrap metal processing facilities; Americas Fabrication, which includes warehouses that sell or rent products for the installation of concrete; and International Mill, which consists of an EAF mini mill, recycling and fabrication operations located in Poland.

Donaldson Company Inc.

Donaldson is a manufacturer of filtration systems and replacement parts. The company has two operating segments: Engine Products, which consist of replacement filters for both air and liquid filtration applications, air filtration systems, liquid filtration systems for fuel, lube and hydraulic applications, and exhaust and emissions systems and sensors, indicators and monitoring systems; and Industrial Products, which consist of dust, fume and mist collectors, compressed air purification systems, gas and liquid filtration for food, beverage and industrial processes, air filtration systems for gas turbines, polytetrafluoroethylene membrane-based products and air and gas filtration systems.

Dream Finders Homes

FERGUSON ENTERPRISES INC.

GENERAL MOTORS CORP NT 7/1/44

Gentex Corporation

Gentex designs and manufactures automatic-dimming rearview mirrors and electronics for the automotive industry, dimmable aircraft windows for the aviation industry, and commercial smoke alarms and signaling devices for the fire protection industry. The company's key business involves designing, developing, manufacturing and marketing interior and exterior automatic-dimming automotive rearview mirrors that use electrochromic technology to dim in proportion to the amount of headlight glare from trailing vehicle headlamps. The company also designs, develops and manufactures various electronics features to the interior and exterior automotive rearview mirrors as well as interior visors and overhead consoles.

Harley-Davidson Inc.

Harley-Davidson is the parent company of Harley-Davidson Motor Company (HDMC) and Harley-Davidson Financial Services (HDFS). The company's segments are: Motorcycles and Related Products, which consists of HDMC that designs, manufactures and sells Harley-Davidson motorcycles as well as motorcycle parts, accessories, general merchandise and services; and Financial Services, which consists of HDFS that is engaged in the business of financing and servicing wholesale inventory receivables and retail consumer loans, primarily for the purchase of Harley-Davidson motorcycles. HDFS also provides motorcycle insurance and protection products to motorcycle owners.

HAWAIIAN ELECTRIC CO INC COM

Ingersoll Rand Inc.

Ingersoll Rand is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a provider of flow control and compression equipment and associated aftermarket parts, consumables and services. The company's segments are: Industrials, which designs, manufactures, markets and services air compression, vacuum and blower products; Energy, which designs, manufactures, markets and services positive displacement pumps, liquid ring vacuum pumps, compressors and integrated systems, engineered fluid loading and transfer equipment and associated aftermarket parts, consumables and services; and Medical, which designs, manufactures and market gas, liquid and precision syringe pumps and compressors.

J.M. Smucker Company

Smucker (J.M.) manufactures and markets food and beverage products. The company's principal products are coffee, dog food, pet snacks, cat food, peanut butter, fruit spreads, frozen handheld products, shortening and oils, portion control products, juices and beverages, and flour and baking ingredients. The company has four reportable segments: U.S. Retail Coffee, U.S. Retail Consumer Foods, and U.S. Retail Pet Foods, and International and Away From Home. The U.S. retail market segments represent the sales of food and beverage products to consumers through retail outlets in North America. The International and Away From Home segment represents sales outside of the U.S. retail market segments.

Korn Ferry

Korn Ferry is an organizational consulting firm. The company is engaged in the business of giving client awareness to its range of talent management solutions. The company's segments include: Executive Search, in which the company's services are used to fill executive-level positions, such as board directors, chief executive officers, chief operating officers, chief information officers, chief human resource officers and other senior executive officers; Advisory, which helps clients design their organization and shows them the way to compensate, develop and motivate their people; and RPO and Professional Search, which combines people, process personnel and intellectual property enabled technology.

Lear Corporation

Lear is a supplier to the automotive industry. The company supplies seating, electrical distribution systems and electronic modules, as well as related sub-systems, components and software, to automotive manufacturers. The company has two segments: Seating, which consists of the design, development, engineering, just-in-time assembly and delivery of seat systems, and the design, development, engineering and manufacture of seat components; and E-Systems, which consists of the design, development, engineering and manufacture of electrical distribution systems, and electronic control modules, electrification products, connectivity products and software solutions for the cloud, vehicles and mobile devices.

Lennar Corporation Class A

Lennar is a homebuilder in the United States, an originator of residential and commercial mortgage loans, a provider of title insurance and closing services and a developer of multifamily rental properties. The company's homebuilding operations include the construction and sale of single-family attached and detached homes as well as the purchase, development and sale of residential land directly and through unconsolidated entities in which it has investments. The company operates under the Lennar brand name. The company creates and participates in joint ventures that acquire and develop land for its homebuilding operations, for sale to third parties or for use in the ventures' own homebuilding operations.

MANPOWERGROUP

ManpowerGroup provides a range of workforce solutions and services, which include recruitment and assessment, training and development, career management, outsourcing, and workforce consulting. The company's family of brands and offerings includes Manpower, Experis, Right Management, and ManpowerGroup Solutions. The company's portfolio of recruitment services includes permanent, temporary and contract recruitment of professionals, as well as administrative and industrial positions. All of these services are provided under its Manpower and Experis brands. The company provides services under its Experis brand, particularly in the areas of Information Technology, Engineering, and Finance.

Microchip Technology Incorporated

Microchip Technology develops, manufactures and sells semiconductor products. The company's product portfolio comprises general purpose and other eight-bit, 16-bit, 32-bit microcontrollers, 32-bit microprocessors, field-programmable gate array products, a range of linear, mixed-signal, power management, thermal management, discrete diodes, Metal Oxide Semiconductor Field Effect Transistors, radio frequency, timing, timing systems, safety, security, wired connectivity and wireless connectivity devices, serial Electrically Erasable Programmable Read Only Memory, Serial Flash memories, Parallel Flash memories, Serial Electrically Erasable Random Access Memory and serial Static Random Access Memory.

Mondelez International Inc. Class A

Mondelez International sells food and beverage products. The company makes and sells primarily snacks, including biscuits (cookies, crackers and salted snacks), chocolate, gum and candy, as well as various cheese and grocery and powdered beverage products. The company's portfolio includes snack brands such as Cadbury, Milka and Toblerone chocolate; Oreo, belVita and LU biscuits; Halls candy; Trident gum and Tang powdered beverages. The company's operations and management structure are organized into four operating segments: Latin America; Asia, Middle East and Africa; Europe; and North America. The company sells its products to supermarket chains, wholesalers, supercenters, value stores and other retail food outlets.

Nordson Corporation

Nordson engineers, manufactures and markets differentiated products and systems used for dispensing, applying and controlling of adhesives, coatings, polymers, sealants, biomaterials, and other fluids, to test and inspect for quality, and to treat and cure surfaces. The company serves a range of consumer non-durable, consumer durable and technology end markets including packaging, nonwovens, electronics, medical, appliances, energy, transportation, building and construction, and general product assembly and finishing. The company has three operating segments: Adhesive Dispensing Systems, Advanced Technology Systems, and Industrial Coating Systems.

NXP Semiconductors NV

NXP Semiconductors is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged as a global semiconductor company and a long-standing supplier in the industry. Co. provides High-Performance Mixed-Signal and Standard Product solutions. Co.'s product solutions are used in automotive, identification, wireless infrastructure, lighting, industrial, mobile, consumer and computing applications. Co. engages with original equipment manufacturers (OEM) and sell products in all major geographic regions.

ON Semiconductor Corporation

ON Semiconductor is engaged in energy efficient electronics. The company is organized into three segments: Power Solutions Group, which provides a range of discrete, module and integrated semiconductor products; Analog Solutions Group, which designs and develops analog, mixed-signal, and advanced logic application specific integrated circuits and Application Specific Standard Product, and power solutions; and Image Sensor Group, which designs and develops complementary metal oxide semiconductor and charge-coupled device image sensors, as well as proximity sensors, image signal processors and actuator drivers for autofocus and image stabilization for automotive and industrial markets, among others.

OSHKOSH CORP

Oshkosh is a designer, manufacturer and marketer of access equipment, specialty vehicles and truck bodies for the primary markets of access equipment, defense, fire and emergency and municipal, refuse hauling, concrete placement as well as airport services. The company's segments are: access equipment, which designs and manufactures aerial work platforms and telehandlers; defense, which designs and manufactures tactical wheeled vehicles and related service; fire and emergency, which designs and manufactures fire apparatus assembled on custom chassis; and commercial, which designs and manufactures front- and rear-discharge concrete mixers and portable and stationary concrete batch plants.

OSRAM Licht AG

Osram Licht is a light manufacturering group based in Germany. Co.'s portfolio covers the entire value chain from components - including lamps, electronic control gear and opto semiconductors such as light-emitting diodes (LED) - as well as luminaires, light management systems and lighting solutions. Co. is also a supplier of automotive lamps and LED for vehicles. In addition, Co. maintains market activities in the field of electronic control gear (ECG) for lamps. Co.'s operations are organized along four business segments: Lamps & Components; Luminaires & Solutions; Specialty Lighting; and Opto Semiconductors.

Otis Worldwide Corporation

Otis manufactures, installs, and services building systems. The company operations into two segments: New Equipment and Service. Through the New Equipment segment, the company designs, manufactures, sells and installs a wide range of passenger and freight elevators as well as escalators and moving walkways for residential and commercial building and infrastructure projects. The Service segment provides maintenance and repair services for both the company's products and those of other manufacturers, and provides modernization services to upgrade elevators and escalators. The company serves customers worldwide.

Papa John's International Inc.

Papa John's International operates and franchises pizza delivery and carryout restaurants and, in certain international markets, dine-in and delivery restaurants. The company has four reportable segments: domestic the company-owned restaurants, which engages in retail sales of pizza and side items; North America commissaries, which includes the operations of the company's regional dough production and product distribution centers; North America franchising, which includes the company's franchise sales and support activities; and international operations, which includes the distribution sales to franchised Papa John's restaurants in the United Kingdom and its franchise sales and support activities.

PepsiCo Inc.

PepsiCo is a food and beverage company. The company's segments include: Frito-Lay North America, which includes food and snack businesses in the United States and Canada; Quaker Foods North America, which includes cereal, rice, pasta and other food businesses in the United States and Canada; PepsiCo Beverages North America, which includes beverage businesses in the United States and Canada; Latin America, which includes beverage, food and snack businesses in Latin America; Europe, which includes beverage, food and snack businesses in Europe; and Africa, Middle East and South Asia, which includes beverage, food and snack businesses in Africa, the Middle East and South Asia.

Quanex Building Products Corporation

Quanex Building Products manufactures components for original equipment manufacturers in the building products industry. The company's segments are: North American Fenestration, which focuses on the fenestration market in North America manufacturing vinyl profiles, insulating glass (IG) spacers, screens and other fenestration components; European Fenestration, comprising the company's United Kingdom-based vinyl extrusion business, manufacturing vinyl profiles and conservatories, and the European IG business manufacturing IG spacers; and North American Cabinet Components, comprising the company's North American cabinet door and components business and wood-manufacturing plants.

Rocket Companies

ROPER TECHNOLOGIES INC.

Roper Technologies designs and develops software and engineered products and solutions for a variety of end markets. The company has four segments: Application Software, which includes Aderant, CBORD, CliniSys, and Data Innovations; Network Software and Systems, which includes ConstructConnect, DAT, Foundry, Inovonics; Measurement and Analytical Solutions, which includes Alpha, CIVCO Medical Solutions, CIVCO Radiotherapy, Dynisco, FMI, Hansen, Hardy, IPA, Logitech, Neptune, Northern Digital, Struers, Technolog, Uson, Verathon; and Process Technologies, which includes AMOT, CCC, Cornell, FTI, Metrix, PAC, Roper Pump, Viatran, Zetec.

Shoe Carnival Inc.

Shoe Carnival is a family footwear retailers. The company provides customers a a range of dress, casual and athletic footwear for men, women and children with an emphasis on national name brands. The company operates stores in the states and Puerto Rico and provides online shopping at www.shoecarnival.com. The company's stores carry complementary accessories such as socks, belts, shoe care items, handbags, sport bags, backpacks, scarves and wallets, while its e-commerce site provides certain handbags, sport bags and backpacks. Women's, men's and children's non-athletic footwear categories are further divided into dress, casual, sport, sandals and boots.

Simpson Manufacturing Co. Inc.

Simpson Manufacturing, through its subsidiary, designs, engineers and manufactures wood and concrete building construction products. The company's wood construction products are used in light-frame construction and include connectors, truss plates, fastening systems, fasteners and pre-fabricated lateral systems. The company's concrete construction products are used in concrete, masonry and steel construction and include adhesives, mechanical anchors, carbide drill bits, powder actuated tools, and fiber reinforced materials. The company also provides engineering services in support of some of its products and provides design and other software that facilitates the specification, selection and use of its products.

SPX TECHNOLOGIES INC

Steelcase Inc. Class A

Steelcase provides furniture settings, user-centered technologies and interior architectural products. The company's furniture portfolio includes panel, fence and beam-based furniture systems, storage, fixed and height-adjustable desks, benches and tables and complementary products. The company's seating products include task chairs and seating for specific vertical markets. The company's technology solutions support group collaboration by integrating furniture and technology. The company's interior architectural products include full and partial height walls and architectural pods. The company also provides services, including workplace strategy consulting, data-driven space measurement, and lease origination services.

TriMas Corporation

TriMas is an industrial manufacturer of products for customers in the consumer products, aerospace, industrial, petrochemical, refinery and oil and gas end markets. The company's brands include Rieke?, TriMas Aerospace?, Lamons? and Norris Cylinder? and Arrow? Engine Company. The company operates businesses in three reportable segments: Packaging, which is a designer and manufacturer of closure and dispensing systems for a range of end markets; Aerospace segment, which is comprised of TriMas Aerospace, which includes the Monogram Aerospace Fasteners, Allfast Fastening Systems and Martinic Engineering brands; Specialty Products segment, which is comprised of Norris Cylinder, Lamons and Arrow Engine Company.

UFP Industries Inc.

Universal Forest Products is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company designs, manufactures and markets wood and wood-alternative products for national home centers and other retailers, structural lumber and other products for the manufactured housing industry, engineered wood components for residential and commercial construction, specialty wood packaging, components and packing materials for various industries, and customized interior fixtures used in a variety of retail and commercial structures. In addition, the company provides outdoor living products. The company also sells engineered wood components to this market, which include roof trusses, wall panels and engineered floor systems.

Vale S.A. ADS

Visteon Corporation

Visteon is an automotive supplier that designs, engineers and manufactures cockpit electronics and connected car solutions for vehicle manufacturers. The company's products include: Instrument Clusters, which provides standard analog gauge clusters to 2-D, and 3-D display-based devices; Information Displays, which provides information displays for applications within the cockpit; Audio and Infotainment Systems, which includes Phoenix? display audio and embedded infotainment platform; Telematics Solutions, which provides telematics control unit; Head-Up Displays (HUD), which includes combiner HUD; SmartCore? Domain Controller; and DriveCore? Autonomous Driving Controller.

Wabash National Corporation

Wabash National provides solutions for the transportation, logistics, and distribution industries. The company's segments are: Commercial Trailer Products, which designs and manufactures dry and refrigerated vans, platform trailers and other transportation related equipment; Diversified Products, which designs and manufactures liquid transportation systems, isolators, stationary silos and downflow booths, and various proprietary products, including a line of aerodynamic solutions to improve overall trailer aerodynamics and fuel economy; and Final Mile Products, which designs and manufactures cutaway and dry-freight van bodies and refrigerated and stake bodies.

Watsco Inc.

Watsco is a distributor of air conditioning, heating and refrigeration equipment and related parts and supplies in North America. The products the company distributes consist of: equipment, including residential ducted and ductless air conditioners, gas, electric, and oil furnaces, commercial air conditioning and heating equipment systems, and other equipment; parts, including replacement compressors, evaporator coils, motors, and other component parts; supplies, including thermostats, insulation material, refrigerants, ductwork, grills, registers, sheet metal, tools, copper tubing, concrete pads, tape, adhesives, and other ancillary supplies; and plumbing and bathroom remodeling supplies.

Wendy's Company

The Wendy's is a holding company. The company's subsidiary, Wendy's Restaurants, LLC, is the parent company of Wendy's International, LLC (Wendy's), which is the owner and franchisor of the Wendy's? restaurant system in the U.S. Wendy's is a quick-service restaurant company in the hamburger sandwich segment. Each Wendy's restaurant provides a menu featuring hamburger sandwiches and filet of chicken breast sandwiches. Wendy's menu also includes chicken nuggets, chili, french fries, baked potatoes, salads, soft drinks, Frosty? desserts and kids' meals. In addition, the restaurants sell a variety of promotional products.Wendy's also provides breakfast in some restaurants in the U.S.

Wingstop Inc.

Wingstop is a franchisor and operator of restaurants that focuses on cooked-to-order, hand-sauced and tossed chicken wings. The company provides its guests several flavors on its bone-in and boneless chicken wings and tenders paired with seasoned fries, Ranch, and Bleu Cheese dips. The company's proprietary flavors, which range from extremely hot to mild includes Atomic, Mango Habanero, Cajun, Original Hot, Spicy Korean Q, Louisiana Rub, Mild, Hickory Smoked BBQ, Lemon Pepper, Garlic Parmesan, and Hawaiian. To complement its wings, the company serves seasoned fries, as well as carrots and celery and Ranch and Bleu Cheese Dips made with buttermilk.

Xylem Inc.

Xylem is water technology company. The company designs, manufactures and services engineered solutions ranging across a variety of applications primarily in the water sector, but also in electric and gas. The company's business segments are: water infrastructure, which serves the water infrastructure sector with pump systems, filtration, ultraviolet and ozone systems and pumping solutions; Applied Water, which serves the usage applications sector with water pressure boosting systems; and Measurement and Control Solutions, which serves the utility infrastructure solutions and services sector by delivering communications, smart metering, measurement and control technologies and infrastructure technologies.

Yum! Brands Inc.

Yum! Brands franchises or operates a system of quick service restaurants through its KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell brands. The company's operating segments consist of the KFC Division, the Pizza Hut Division and the Taco Bell Division. KFC restaurants provides fried and non-fried chicken products such as sandwiches, chicken strips, chicken-on-the-bone and other chicken products marketed under a variety of names. Pizza Hut is engaged in the sale of ready-to-eat pizza products. Pizza Hut operates in the delivery, carryout and casual dining segments. Taco Bell is engaged in Mexican-style food products, including various types of tacos, burritos, quesadillas, salads, nachos and other related items.

Provider
Vermilion Research
Vermilion Research

Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.

Analysts
Dave Nicoski

Ross LaDuke

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