Report
Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke
EUR 47.94 For Business Accounts Only

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Growth Leading This EOY Rally; Expect More Upside

Our outlook remains bullish and we see the market in the midst of a significant end-of-year rally that we have been expecting since mid-October. We continue to expect support at the 20-day MAs on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), while support at current levels or the 50-day MA is likely on the Russell 2000 (IWM). Ultimately, we will remain bullish as long as the S&P 500 is above 5850. Market dynamics continue to improve, giving us confidence that this bull run is likely to go at least another month into mid-January, and quite likely beyond.

Improving Market Dynamics. Market dynamics continue to improve, which helps support our bullish outlook. Improving dynamics include: (1) the PHLX Semiconductor index (ETF: SOXX) displays a bullish 5-month downtrend reversal, (2) Cap-weighted Technology (XLK) displays a major 5-month base breakout above $238, (3) MSFT displays a base breakout above $440, following in the footsteps of AAPL, (4) Con
Underlyings
Amphenol Corporation Class A

Amphenol is a designer, manufacturer and marketer of electrical, electronic and fiber optic connectors and interconnect systems, antennas, sensors and sensor-based products and coaxial and high-speed cable. The company's segments are: Interconnect Products and Assemblies, which designs, manufactures and markets a range of connector and connector systems, and other products, including antennas and sensors, used in a range of applications in a set of end markets; and Cable Products and Solutions, which designs, manufactures and markets cable, products and components for use primarily in the broadband communications and information technology markets as well as certain applications in other markets.

Applied Optoelectronics Inc.

Applied Optoelectronics provides fiber-optic networking products, for four networking end-markets: internet data center, cable television, telecommunications, and fiber-to-the-home. The company designs and manufactures a range of optical communications products at varying levels of integration, from components, subassemblies and modules to complete turn-key equipment. The company's components often incorporate one or more of its optical laser chips inside a precision housing that provides mechanical protection as well as standardized electrical contacts. Other optical components may also include optical filters or other optical elements by which optical signals are routed internally within the component.

Bel Fuse Inc. Cl B

Bel Fuse designs, manufactures and markets products that power, protect and connect electronic circuits. These products are used in the networking, telecommunications, computing, military, aerospace, transportation and broadcasting industries as well as in the automotive, medical and consumer electronics markets. The company's North America, Asia and Europe segments sell, or participate in the sale of: Magnetic Solutions, which provides Integrated Connector Modules, power transformers, inductors and discrete components; Power Solutions and Protection, which includes module products and circuit protection products; and Connectivity Solutions, which provides connectors and cable assemblies.

BMO Global Communications Index ETF

Casey's General Stores Inc.

Casey's General Stores and its subsidiaries operate convenience stores under the names Casey's and Casey's General Store primarily in Iowa, Missouri, and Illinois. The company also operates stores under the name Tobacco City, selling primarily tobacco products, liquor stores, and a grocery store. Each Casey's Store carries food and nonfood items. Most of the company's food products are nationally advertised brands, and it also has an assortment of Casey's proprietary branded products. Stores sell regional brands of dairy and bakery products, and mostly provide beer. The company's nonfood items include tobacco products, health and beauty aids, school supplies, housewares, pet supplies, and automotive products.

Ciena Corporation

Ciena is a networking systems, services and software company, providing solutions that enable a range of network operators to deploy and manage networks that deliver services to businesses and consumers. The company provides hardware, software and services that support the transport, switching, aggregation, service delivery and management of video, data and voice traffic on communications networks. The company's solutions are used by communications service providers, cable and multiservice operators, Web-scale providers, submarine network operators, governments, enterprises, research and education institutions and other network operators.

CommScope Holding Co. Inc.

CommScope Holding is a provider of infrastructure solutions for communication networks. The company's solutions and services for wired and wireless networks enable high-bandwidth data, video and voice applications. The company's operating segments are: CommScope Connectivity Solutions (CCS) and CommScope Mobility Solutions (CMS). The CCS segment is engaged in providing fiber optic and copper connectivity solutions for use in data centers and business enterprise, telecommunications, cable television and residential broadband networks. The CMS segment is engaged in providing infrastructure for wireless networks.

Corning Inc

Corning is a provider of glass for notebook computers, flat panel desktop monitors, display televisions, and other information display applications; carrier network and enterprise network products for the telecommunications industry; ceramic substrates for gasoline and diesel engines in automotive and heavy duty vehicle markets; laboratory products for the scientific community and specialized polymer products for biotechnology applications; optical materials for the semiconductor industry and the scientific community; and other technologies. The company reportable segments are: Display Technologies, Optical Communications, Environmental Technologies, Specialty Materials and Life Sciences.

Corporacion America Airports

Digi International Inc.

Digi International is a provider of Internet of Things (IoT) connectivity products and services. The company has two reportable operating segments: IoT Products and Services; and IoT Solutions. The company's IoT Products and Services segment provides products and services that assist original equipment manufacturers, enterprise and government customers create and deploy, IoT connectivity solutions. The company's IoT Solutions segment through its Digi Smart Solutions?, use sensors, gateways and cloud based applications to enable customers in food service, retail, healthcare, and transportation/logistics and education to monitor wirelessly the temperature of food and other perishable goods.

Extreme Networks Inc.

Extreme Networks, together with its subsidiaries, is a provider of software-driven networking solutions for enterprise, data center, and service provider customers. Providing a combined end-to-end solution from the enterprise edge to the cloud, the company designs, develops, and manufactures wired and wireless network infrastructure equipment and develops the software for network management, policy, analytics, security, and access controls. The company's product categories include: Smart OmniEdge wireless and edge switching, Automated Campus, data center, unified applications, and cloud-based network management.

Infinera Corporation

Infinera is a supplier of networking solutions comprised of networking equipment, software and services. The company's portfolio of solutions includes optical transport platforms, converged packet-optical transport platforms, optical line systems and disaggregated router platforms. Also, the company's product portfolio includes the Infinera DTN-X Family, the Infinera hiT 7300 platform, the Infinera mTera Series, the Infinera 7100 Series, the Infinera 7090 Series, and the Infinera XTM Series, among other. Software products include the Infinera Transcend Software Suite, which includes software-defined networking and network management software, and the company's converged network operating system routing software.

Lightpath Technologies Inc. Cl A

LightPath Technologies manufactures optical components and assemblies, including precision molded glass aspheric optics, molded and diamond-turned infrared aspheric lenses and other optical materials used to produce products that manipulate light. The company designs, develops, manufactures and distributes optical components and assemblies utilizing optical manufacturing processes. The company's products are incorporated into sqveral applications. These applications include defense and medical devices, laser aided industrial tools, automotive safety applications, barcode scanners, optical data storage, hybrid fiber coax datacom, telecommunication optical networks, machine vision and sensors, among others.

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

Lumentum Holdings is a provider of optical and photonic products addressing a range of end-market applications including Optical Communications (OpComms) and Commercial Lasers (Lasers) for manufacturing, inspection and life-science applications. The company's segments are: OpComms, which include a range of components, modules and subsystems to support customers including carrier networks of access, metro, long-haul and submarine applications; and Lasers, which provides lasers for the industrial and scientific markets used in a range of original equipment manufacturer applications including diode-pumped solid-state, fiber, diode, direct-diode and gas lasers such as argon-ion and helium-neon lasers.

Methode Electronics Inc.

Methode Electronics is a manufacturer of component and subsystem devices. The company's business segments are: Automotive, which supplies electronic and electro-mechanical devices and related products; Industrial, which manufactures external lighting solutions, industrial safety radio remote controls, braided flexible cables, current-carrying laminated busbars and devices; Interface, which provides a variety of copper and fiber-optic interface and interface solutions for the appliance, commercial food service, construction, consumer, material handling, point-of-sale and telecommunications markets; and Medical, which includes surface support technology aimed at pressure injury prevention.

NETANEL GROUP LTD

Netanel Group Ltd. Netanel Group Ltd is an Israel-based company, which mainly builds and markets housing units. Furthermore, the Company initiates and builds commercial projects and office and industrial buildings. Its residential projects include: Netanel Towers-Kfar Shalem; Netanel Towers-North Star, which includes garden apartments, lofts, mini-penthouse apartments and a penthouse; Nehemiah Tamari; The Netanel Twin Towers; Netanel Pinhas Ayalon Towers; Netanel Towers Pinhas Ayalon; Rehovot Museum Towers; Netanel Towers-North Star Yaari, which includes garden apartments, lofts, mini-penthouse apartments and a penthouse; Hadera Sea of Galilee; NETNEL PREMIUM Towers in Holon; Nathaniel MORE in Tel Aviv, as well as Netanel Towers on the boulevard, among others. Furthermore, the Company offers urban renewal to old residential buildings.

Silicom Ltd.

Silicom is engaged in the design, manufacture, marketing and support of high performance networking and data infrastructure solutions for a range of servers, server based systems and communications devices. Co.'s products are sold to OEM customers who offer networking appliances, servers and storage devices. Co.'s products are comprised of: High-end server network interface cards with and without bypass (Server Adapters); Intelligent and programmable cards (Smart Adapters); Stand-alone Bypass Switches (mostly Intelligent bypass switches); and the patented SETAC (Server To Appliance Converter) product family.

Viavi Solutions Inc

Viavi Solutions is a provider of network test, monitoring and assurance solutions to communications service providers, enterprises, network equipment manufacturers, civil government, military and avionics customers. The company operates the following business segments: Network Enablement, which provides testing solutions that access the network to perform build-out and maintenance tasks; Service Enablement, which provides embedded systems and enterprise performance management solutions; and Optical Security and Performance Products, which designs, manufactures, and sells products targeting anti-counterfeiting, consumer and industrial, government, healthcare and other markets.

Provider
Vermilion Research
Vermilion Research

Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.

Analysts
Dave Nicoski

Ross LaDuke

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