Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Expecting a Rally Through Early-2026We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059. Additionally, we discussed since our 10/14/25 Compass how our near-term bullish outlook remains intact as long as the SPX holds above 6550-6569, which coincided with the 3-month uptrend. SPX is back at all-time highs following two significant upside gaps at 6807-6814 and 6750-6772. These gaps are now short-term supports, and it is a clear sign bulls remain in control if these gaps remain unfilled. We will stay near-term bullish as long as the 3-month uptrend continues (currently at ~6670).
Risk-On Market Dynamics. Market dynamics remain overwhelmingly risk-on: (1) High yield spreads remain near 20-year narrows. (2) Defensive Sectors (XLP, XLV) are at 25+ year RS lows. (3)
Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.
Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.
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