Report
Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke
EUR 42.90 For Business Accounts Only

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Was That It?; Downgrading Discretionary and Energy
Volatility finally picked up last Friday, and the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) both gapped lower to close below their 20-day MAs for the first time in over three months. With that said, all of the major indexes (SPX, QQQ, DJI, IWM) rallied yesterday to fill their gaps from Friday and SPX and QQQ have reclaimed above their 20-day MAs; this is a bullish signal that suggests any further pullback is likely to be relatively shallow, and should be treated as a buying opportunity. Just last week (7/29/25 Compass) we discussed how 6200 was next support below the 20-day MA, and "even when SPX closes below its 20-day MA, all we would expect to happen is for a ~5% pullback to be a buying opportunity, and for a new, less-steep uptrend to form." Whether or not the SPX bottomed on Friday, or still has marginal additional downside/consolidation ahead in the coming weeks, remains to be seen. Either way, we remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compas
Underlyings
Bel Fuse Inc. Cl A

Cisco Systems Inc.

Cisco Systems designs and sells a range of technologies that power the Internet. The company's business is organized into the following three geographic segments: Americas; Europe, Middle East, and Africa; and Asia Pacific, Japan, and China. The company's products and technologies are grouped into the following categories: Infrastructure Platforms; Applications; Security and Other Products. In addition to its product offerings, the company provides a range of service offerings, including technical support services and other services. The company delivers its technologies through software and services. The company's customers include businesses of all sizes, public institutions, governments, and service providers.

CORADO MANAGEMENT PLC ORD

Knowles Corp.

Knowles is a provider of micro-acoustic, audio processing and precision device solutions, serving the mobile consumer electronics, communications, medtech, defense, automotive, and industrial markets. The company is organized into two reportable: Audio, which designs and manufactures audio products, including microphones and balanced armature speakers, audio processors, and software and algorithms used in applications that serve the mobile, ear, and Internet of Things markets; and Precision Devices, which is focused on the design and delivery of capacitor products and mmWave radio frequency solutions.

Kyocera Corp. (Mexico)

Littelfuse Inc.

Littelfuse is a manufacturer of technologies in circuit protection, power control and sensing. The company has three segments: Electronics, which provides fuses and fuse accessories, positive temperature coefficient resettable fuses, polymer electrostatic discharge suppressors, varistors, and gas discharge tubes; Automotive, which consists of circuit protection, power control and sensing technologies for original equipment manufacturers, Tier-I suppliers and parts distributors in the passenger car, agricultural, construction and other commercial vehicle industries; and Industrial, which includes power fuses, protection relays and controls and other circuit protection products.

TDK Corp. ADS

Provider
Vermilion Research
Vermilion Research

Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.

Analysts
Dave Nicoski

Ross LaDuke

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