Gentoo Media: one step back, two steps forward (stays BUY)
We maintain our BUY rating on Gentoo Media (Gentoo), but cut our 12M price target (PT) to SEK 26.2 (from SEK 35.5), implying c.89% upside. The share price took a major hit after the disappointing 1Q25 results, which have led to a significant reduction in our estimates. In our view, Gentoo experienced a perfect storm, suffering significantly from changes in Brazilian regulations, elevated G&A costs and the discontinuation of unprofitable campaigns. We believe a recovery is on the horizon, with revenue growth of 10% yoy in 2026E and an EBITDA margin of 44.5%, driven by normalisation of the Brazilian market, healthy scaling of the paid segment and cost-saving initiatives. We remind clients that Gentoo operates in a highly-fragmented market, with the Top-5 players accounting for c.10% of the market. This provides significant room for consolidation. The company trades currently at a 6.4x 2026E P/E, which offers a 36% discount to its international peers.Gaming Innovation Group Inc. (GIG) is a holding company. The Company provides gambling solutions and entertainment. The Company's principal activity is to provide a platform for and facilitate Internet gambling, gaming and sports betting. The Company operates two segments, the Business to Consumer (B2C) segment which includes the gaming operations directed towards end users, and the Business to Business (B2B) segment which includes its iGC platform offering, sports trading, games and affiliate marketing. The Company's GiG Core is a cloud-based solution licensed in Malta, United Kingdom, New Jersey, Germany, Sweden, Iowa, Latvia and Romania. The Company's sportsbook can deliver end users a betting experience on offline or online channels. The Company's GiG Data is a data platform, which can be integrated with GiG Core or with third-party solutions for data system. The Company operates in Nordic countries, Europe excluding Nordic countries and Rest of world.
WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.
A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.
Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.
We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.
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