WOOD Flash – Pegasus Airlines: 3Q25 – RASK pressure exceeds our estimate
Despite 17% capacity growth, the EBIT declined 20% yoy, driven by a sharp yield contraction, with the RASK down 14% yoy. For context, during the summer periods of 2024, 2023, 2022 and 2019 (excluding the COVID-19 period), the average EBIT margin stood at 36% – around 50% above the 24% achieved in 3Q25 – despite fuel cost support. The company has lowered its guidance slightly. Management noted that the market conditions in 4Q25 remain unchanged, implying continued pressure on the RASK. We expect downward consensus revisions.Pegasus Hava Tasimaciligi is a low-cost airline group based in Turkey. Co. provides reasonably-priced transportation opportunities on point-to-point basis in short and medium range flight lines on its domestic and international network. Co. primarily provides transportation opportunities from its main hub in Istanbul Sabiha Gokcen International Airport, but also offers scheduled flights from other domestic hubs, primarily in Adana, Antalya and Izmir. Co.'s fleet is composed of 49 airplanes in total. Co.'s flight network consists of 76 locations (45 abroad and 31 domestic flight locations in 30 countries). Co. also provides cargo services and provides various training services.
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