WEEKLY SPOT USDCAD - bounces provide selling opportunities

Last week's negative call was confirmed and all our downside targets were met as a 4th down week in a row was posted. USDCAD was sold to lower levels each day with the market hugging the bottom of falling daily & weekly Keltner channels. In addition more than half of the 2012-16 rise has now been corrected. Signals for sentiment are oversold and there is potential for Friday’s profit taking reaction to extend in early price action. But the undertone is clearly bearish and so our call for this week is a Sell but leaving room to Sell any Rally to 1.2242, Thursday’s high. The risk is 1.2374, Wednesday’s open, with an immediate target of last week's 1.2060 bottom. A move through that point then exposes sentiment to projected levels of 1.1998 and 1.1922.