ACF Equity Research

ACF Equity Research is an independent research house specialising in the highest specification independent equity research for corporate clients.

We deliver premium independent corporate sponsored equity research characterised by its accuracy, clarity and foresight based upon a fundamental valuation approach.

Our independent research is designed to educate our professional investor readers  with an emphasis on clear and accurate explanations. Our mission is to improve company’s liquidity through credible equity research services, excellent international distribution and reliable access for investment managers.

We believe in the importance and value of clarity, the careful articulation of technical ideas, concepts and solutions.

Our team of analysts are independently minded individuals who believe in thoroughness, technical competence and clear punchy communications.

Research Team ACF
  • Research Team ACF

BrainStorm Cell Therapeutics (BCLI) Update 11112024

BrainStorm Cell Therapeutics Inc. (Nasdaq: BCLI) develops NurOwn® stem cell therapy for NDDs – BCLI’s first target is ALS (MND/Lou Gehrig’s). BLCI’s Expanded Access Program (EAP), a compassionate use study, delivered >96% probability that BCLI’s NurOwn® treatment was responsible for an improved survival rate in a test group of 10 ALS patients. BCLI recently regained Nasdaq price compliance, released two posters for NurOwn® and presented at Maxim’s healthcare summit. We infer that BCLI has a reas...

Research Team ACF
  • Research Team ACF

Ciel Limited (CIEL) Post Results YE24A 07112024

CIEL Limited (SEMDEX: CIEL) is a Mauritius listed diversified industrial company with a very attractive long run growth opportunity. Whilst CIEL missed our revenue target by -3.4%, it delivered very significant beats on profit measures EBITDA 23.7%, PAT +135.9% and EPS (dil) +30.7%. Group NAVPS also grew 11% and gearing fell to 25.1% vs. 28.6% y/y. CIEL beat our YE24A FCFE forecast by 5%. Operationally there is a great deal to like. We are forecasting significant improvement in Group FCFE YE25E ...

Research Team ACF
  • Research Team ACF

AsiaFIN Holdings Corp (ASFH) Pre-Results 3Q24 30102024

AsiaFIN Holdings Corp. (OTCQB : ASFH) - aggressive growth inflection point. ASFH provides IP protected fintech solutions to ASEAN based financial institutions / corporates. We are expecting 3Q24 numbers in line with our expectations. Revenue and profitability appear to be subject to seasonality with 4Q being the most significant quarter. Our full year forecasts are heavily weighted towards 4Q performance. ASFH’s strategy is to expand internationally out of Malaysia via direct sales, artnership...

Research Team ACF
  • Research Team ACF

BrainStorm Cell Therapeutics (BCLI) Update Note 03102024

BrainStorm Cell Therapeutics Inc. (Nasdaq: BCLI) develops NurOwn® stem cell therapy for NDDs – BCLI’s first target is ALS (MND/Lou Gehrig’s). We have stress tested our valuation vs. current global and market events as well as and BCLI’s reverse stock split (R/S) 30 Sept 2024 (to maintain Nasdaq listing). Whilst there are pros and cons – our risk adjusted WACC has increased and NPV reduced, our conservative base case expected dilution assumptions have improved with R/S and Nasdaq compliance and o...

Research Team ACF
  • Research Team ACF

BrainStorm Cell Therapeutics (BCLI) Flash Note 30092024

BrainStorm Cell Therapeutics Inc. (Nasdaq: BCLI) develops NurOwn® stem cell therapy for NDDs – BCLI’s first target is ALS (MND/Lou Gehrig’s). BCLI on Friday confirmed its reverse stock split (R/S) to become effective today 30 Sept 2024 (to maintain Nasdaq listing). Reverse stock splits are often (though not always) an effective mechanism and often lead to an upwards re-rating as psychological market factors come into play. There is also a usual market clearing mechanism that often leads to net s...

ACF Healthcare
  • ACF Healthcare

Coeptistx (COEP) Deverra Deal Flash Note 21082023

Coeptis Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: COEP), post Deverra deal is a Phase 1 clinical stage biotech (previously pre-clinical) in the oncology space. COEP’s exclusive license deal with Deverra for DVX201 (two products ’54’ & ‘16’ provides access to Deverra’s no-HLA-matching platform asset onto which COEP’s SNAP-CAR and GEAR platforms could dovetail’ and create a potentially very broad application set of immune technologies. Deverra’s proprietary allogeneic stem cell platform side steps patient donor ...

ACF Extractives
  • ACF Extractives

Ionic Rare Earths Ltd (IXR) Core Investment Case UPDATE 15082023

Ionic Rare Earths Ltd (ASX:IXR) is a rare earths mining explorer (Uganda) and REO magnet recycling company (Belfast, UK). Rare earth elements primary use is in the production of permanent magnets – key components of clean energy applications (wind turbines and electric vehicles). IXR’s flagship Makuutu Rare Earths project is significant given its ionic adsorption clayhosted geology - similar to that found in projects in Southern China, main global supplier of Heavy Rare Earths. IXR currently hol...

ACF Healthcare
  • ACF Healthcare

Coeptis Therapeutics Inc. (COEP) YE22 1Q23 & DeSPAC 29062023

Coeptis Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: COEP) is a pre-clinical stage biopharmaceutical Corp focused on fighting cancer via a pipeline of potentially novel products targeting CD38+ related unmet need and solid tumor cancers. The YE22A results show wash through of the SPAC merger and redemptions, which may run around ~90%. The 1Q23A results add additional insights into operational costs in particular. During YE22A raise ‘costs’ are dominated by warrant liabilities and redemptions. The diagnostics plat...

ACF Mining
  • ACF Mining

ESG Sustainability Report 2023 Metals & Mining ASX - 13062023.pdf

ACF Equity Research’s ESG / Sustainability Report for ASX small and mid-cap miners is designed to help investors make fast simple initial filtering decisions. For firms it helps them identify investor messaging opportunities and support their ESG / Sustainability investor strategy. Stock price and index performance data shows that companies with ESG metrics outperform the major indices.

ACF Energy
  • ACF Energy

Kibo Energy (KIBO) Flash Note Warrants Offering ACF Equity Research 19...

Kibo Energy Plc (dual listed KIBO:AIM, JSE:KBO) a renewable, reserve energy, LDES and biofuel corp., last week announced a repriced warrant offer that should unblock arious decision mechanisms (including spinoffs), which would be in the interest of the majority of investors. We note management (current + previous) is committing >£700k of its own capital via the CLN conversion. Exercising the repriced warrants on the JSE appears the logical approach. The S. African s/p arbitrage puts the repriced...

Perpetua Resources Corp. (PPTA) Core Investment Case UPDATE ACF Equity...

Perpetua Resources Corp. (Nasdaq: PPTA; TSX: PPTA) is a gold-antimony-silver deposits developer in the stable mining jurisdiction of Stibnite-Yellow Pine, Idaho. PPTA’s Stibnite open-pit gold (Au) project is one of the highest grade US deposits Compared with the 2020 FS after-tax NPV of $1.86bn (assumptions: 5% discount rate, gold $1,850/oz)  antimony (M+I 206Mlbs) is a potentially exciting byproduct. PPTA’s MCap is at an ~90% discount to the FS suggesting a significant potential mispricing. Sin...

ACF Extractives
  • ACF Extractives

Silver Thematic ACF Equity Research 11082022

Silver (Ag) is half store of value and half industrial metal. A hawkish Federal Reserve and spiking bond yields will create significant headwinds for the Ag price 2H22E. Any expectations for global recession, leading to an industrial cycle downturn will  also push the silver price down. In 2H22E we assess that both weakening industrial activity (>50% of global silver demand) and monetary policy trends will exert downward pressure on silver’s price. Beyond YE22E the physical silver supply deficit...

Uranium Market Briefing Note FINAL 25092019

Uranium’s (U3O8) main use is as a fuel in the production of electricity by nuclear power stations. The uranium market is complex, illiquid (thinly traded) and opaque. Directly or indirectly State-controlled producers account for up to 70% of global production and these players do not have to follow economic logic unlike the companies without State subsidy. The majority of consumption (power stations) are geographically and often politically far from the majority of production (mines). Consumptio...

Research Team ACF
  • Research Team ACF

ACF Insight - Innovations in Oncology - the Future of Cancer Treatment...

Global oncology spending is projected to reach US$409bn by 2028E, up from US$223bn in 2023A at a 5yr CAGR of 11.5-14.5% from 2024-2028 (IQVIA, 2024). This growth is in part driven by US spending, which has increased to $99bn in 2023A up from $65bn in 2019A - the US makes up ~45% of global oncology spending.

Research Team ACF
  • Research Team ACF

Greenland mining

Unloved…Unknown…But Excellent? Greenland’s extraordinary potential for critical raw materials mining was again recognized in 2023, this time by the Centre for Minerals and Materials (MiMa, report published in June 2023). Greenland's stated aim is to attract greater (and sustainable) exploration and ultimately mining interest in Greenland’s estimated 400k km2 ice-free land blocks. Greenland's mineral potential is considered…vast.

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