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EUR 93.37 For Business Accounts Only

Akesobio (康方生物) Pre-IPO - Thoughts on valuation

Akesobio is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company with a focus on developing biologics drugs for oncology and autoimmune. The company plans to raise up to USD $300 million via a HK listing.

In our previous insight, we had discussed that the company features two differentiated PD-1 related drugs in their core assets. Penpulimab (AK105) is a potential best-in-class PD-1 monoclonal antibody thanks to an improvement that could reduce the side effect. Readings from clinical research are not yet conclusive on the superiority of the efficacy but show improved safety profile vs existing PD-1 products. Another PD-1 related product, AK104 is a next-generation, potentially first-in-class humanized tetrameric bi-specific antibody targeting PD-1 and CTLA-4. It shows promising results in the early clinical trials, particularly in the big GC/GEJ indication. We also discussed AK101 (IL-12/IL-23) which targets autoimmune disease and AK102 which targets hyperlipidemia and high cholesterol.

From the perspectives of clinical trial results and potential market size, we think these two products are not as impressive as its two PD-1 related drugs. We are of the view that the company has a strong management team with drug discovery backgrounds but lacks experience in managing clinical trials and commercialization. However, this could be complemented by its partnership with leading pharmaceutical companies, such as Sino Biopharm. Its investor backing is decent with a mix of domestic institutional investors and international healthcare specialist investors.

In this note, we will provide our thoughts on the company's risk-adjusted valuation on its assets. We valued the company's clinical-stage assets at USD 1,180 million.
Underlyings
Johnson & Johnson

Johnson & Johnson is a holding company engaged in the research and development, manufacture and sale of a range of products in the health care field. The company has three business segments: Consumer, which includes a range of products focused on personal healthcare used in the beauty, over-the-counter pharmaceutical, baby care, oral care, women's health and wound care markets; Pharmaceutical, which is focused on six therapeutic areas: immunology, infectious diseases, neuroscience, oncology, cardiovascular and metabolism and pulmonary hypertension; and Medical Devices, which includes products used in the orthopaedic, surgery, interventional solutions, and eye health fields.

Merck & Co. Inc.

Merck & Co. is a global health care company that delivers health solutions through its prescription medicines, vaccines, biologic therapies and animal health products. The company's segments are: Pharmaceutical, which includes human health pharmaceutical products that consist of therapeutic and preventive agents for the treatment of human disorders, and human health vaccine products that consist of preventive pediatric, adolescent and adult vaccines; and Animal Health, which discovers, develops, manufactures and markets veterinary pharmaceuticals, vaccines and health management solutions and services, as well as a suite of digitally connected identification, traceability and monitoring products.

Provider
Aequitas Research
Aequitas Research

Aequitas Research is a leading ECM research firm with a focus on IPOs and placements/follow-on offerings across the Asia Pacific with deal size of over USD100m. 

Since 2015, we have covered 400+ IPOs and 450+ placements with a hit rate of 73% and 65%, respectively. We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic analysis.
 
Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis. We also provide a more quant driven analysis on placement/follow-on offerings.
 
Markets that we cover include:
Hong Kong,
China ADRs,
India,
Japan,
Australia, and
ASEAN.

Analysts
Ke Yan

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