Report
Shahrukh Saleem
EUR 8.57 For Business Accounts Only

Pakistan Cement: Dispatches surge —another notch on sector’s belt,(AKD Daily, Oct 06, 2020)

  • Local cement dispatches extended their outstanding run with an increase of 17.6/46.5% YoY/MoM to 4.1mn tons for Sep’20 where South fared better amongst the two regions, witnessing an increase of 26.8/88.4%YoY/MoM while North posted an increase of 16.3/41.5% YoY/MoM.
  • Exports also remained buoyant with a YoY/MoM growth of 40.9/54.0% with major contribution from South-based players (exports from South formed 74.5% of the total exports). Overall, for 1QFY21, cement dispatches have increased by 19.5%YoY where local dispatches increased by 18.7%YoY and exports increased by 23.2%YoY.
  • Prices in North are also reacting to strong demand and have increased by PkR10/bag in last two weeks in a sign of improved demand environment, with further price hikes difficult to rule out. Moreover, South’s export tilt is keeping prices stable in the region.
  • We continue to like MLCF (TP: PkR41.9/sh, 17% upside) and LUCK (TP: PkR761.3/sh, 21% upside) from the AKD cement universe with the former being one of the lowest cost producers implying lower sensitivity to retail price variations, while latter’s cost efficiencies coupled with diversified investments make it a safe play.
Underlying
Lucky Cement Ltd.

Lucky Cement is a cement manufacturing and distribution company which is based in Pakistan. Co. is engaged in the manufacture and sale of Ordinary Portland, Sulphate Resistant, and Slag Cement. Co.'s brand names included Lucky Cement, Lucky Star, Lucky Gold, Chairman, and Lucky Sulphate Resistant Cement. Co. maintains production facilities in Pezu (Production capacity: 13,000 tons per day) as well as in Karachi (Production capacity: 8,000 tons per day). In addition, Co. is engaged in developing export markets for bulk loose cement from Pakistan to the Gulf Countries, African Markets, and Far East Region including Nepal & Sri Lanka.

Provider
AKD Securities Limited
AKD Securities Limited

AKD Securities Ltd. is one of the leading securities firm in Pakistan, providing a comprehensive range of investor focused services, including equity brokerage, economic and securities research, investment banking and financial advisory services. AKD Securities accounts for more than 6% of the average daily value of the Karachi Stock Exchange. AKD Securities was the first brokerage house to launch an online trading platform in Pakistan in November 2002 and now has the largest market share with over 6000 customers. This has helped diversify and expand the retail investor base in the country and ushered in a whole new universe of investors to the stock market.

AKD Securities Ltd. caters to a diversified group of domestic and international institutional investors, high net worth individuals and upscale retail clients, including expatriate Pakistanis. With high quality research, unparalleled execution and distribution capability for both regular and large block trades, AKD Securities Ltd. has earned an outstanding reputation in the Pakistani securities industry.Outside of commercial banks, AKD Securities Ltd. is one of the biggest capital market firms in the country. AKD Securities is the leader in raising and providing risk capital in underwriting, market making and mergers and acquisitions in Pakistan. Good corporate governance and professionalism are emphasized throughout the firm and AKD Securities Ltd. is amongst the very few companies to have introduced a firm-wide comprehensive CODE of ETHICS, overseen by an independent compliance manager.Ultimately, our success is based on the quality of service we provide to our customers and the trust and confidence reposed in us by them. Our focus, therefore, remains on customer satisfaction at all levels in the company.

Analysts
Shahrukh Saleem

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