Report
EUR 9.39 For Business Accounts Only

Pakistan Strategy_ Perfect storm of risks clouds fundamentals

  • Week to date decline of 6.1% cover a period of depressed price performance for stocks, with volumes and returns closely resembling FY08-09, a period of record weakness in equity market performance, highlighting the multi-faceted nature of the prevailing market sell-off
  • We segment news reports and policy actions during the year into macro and sectoral items, while underlining the broad pressures at play on both fronts forcing investors to hunker down, refrain from building fresh positions and induce outflows from institutional investors
  • Guiding market sentiment, these developments have broadly had a cold reception amongst market participants, eliciting either long-term outflows amongst institutional investors or knee-jerk negativity amongst retail/individual investor classes, while some developments were entirely of the GoP’s own making in the form of delays in policies supported initially but deadlocked due to limitations (limit on sovereign guarantees) exuding weak signals
  • With a perfect storm of dampeners pushing the market lower, we believe a bounty of positives are required to pull the market from its prevalent risk-off trajectory, where multiple levers will have to be pulled for a sustainable rally. In the meantime, we believe defensive characteristics inherent in E&Ps (OGDC is our preferred pick), value on offer in Banks (HBL and UBL in top-tiers whereas MEBL in mid-tiers) round out a defensive investment case built on shaky foundations currently in play

AKD Research

Underlying
Meezan Bank Ltd.

Meezan Bank Limited is an Islamic commercial bank. The Bank is engaged in corporate, commercial, consumer, investment and retail banking activities. It offers a range of Islamic banking products and services through a retail banking network of over 550 branches in approximately 140 cities to its corporate, commercial and small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) customers based on their financial requirements. It provides personal banking, business banking, premium banking and branchless banking. The Bank also offers Meezan Rupee Current Account, Karobari Munafa Account, Meezan Rupee Savings Account, Meezan Business Plus Account, Meezan Bachat Account, Meezan Kids Club Account, Meezan Teens Club Account, Meezan Asaan Current Account, Meezan Kafalah, Certificates of Islamic Investment, Meezan Amdan Certificate and Dollar Mudarabah Certificate. It has assets in agriculture, food, forestry and fishing; cement, and others. The Bank operates only in Pakistan.

Provider
AKD Securities Limited
AKD Securities Limited

AKD Securities Ltd. is one of the leading securities firm in Pakistan, providing a comprehensive range of investor focused services, including equity brokerage, economic and securities research, investment banking and financial advisory services. AKD Securities accounts for more than 6% of the average daily value of the Karachi Stock Exchange. AKD Securities was the first brokerage house to launch an online trading platform in Pakistan in November 2002 and now has the largest market share with over 6000 customers. This has helped diversify and expand the retail investor base in the country and ushered in a whole new universe of investors to the stock market.

AKD Securities Ltd. caters to a diversified group of domestic and international institutional investors, high net worth individuals and upscale retail clients, including expatriate Pakistanis. With high quality research, unparalleled execution and distribution capability for both regular and large block trades, AKD Securities Ltd. has earned an outstanding reputation in the Pakistani securities industry.Outside of commercial banks, AKD Securities Ltd. is one of the biggest capital market firms in the country. AKD Securities is the leader in raising and providing risk capital in underwriting, market making and mergers and acquisitions in Pakistan. Good corporate governance and professionalism are emphasized throughout the firm and AKD Securities Ltd. is amongst the very few companies to have introduced a firm-wide comprehensive CODE of ETHICS, overseen by an independent compliance manager.Ultimately, our success is based on the quality of service we provide to our customers and the trust and confidence reposed in us by them. Our focus, therefore, remains on customer satisfaction at all levels in the company.

Analysts
Hamza Kamal

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