Report
EUR 8.70 For Business Accounts Only

Pakistan Fertilizers_Robust start of CY18

After a fitting end to CY17 (fertilizer/Urea offtake posted growth of 8%/7%YoY), CY18 got off to a robust start with not only urea but cumulative fertilizer sales remaining promising during Jan'18. According to the latest figures released by NFDC, total fertilizer sales in Jan'18 clocked in at 774k tons, up 30%YoY. Similarly, urea sales have also jumped by 33%YoY to 539k tons. Furthermore, DAP sales also registered growth of 51%YoY to 92k tons in Jan'18. However, on a monthly basis, total fertilizer/Urea/DAP off-take expectedly came down by 25%/25%/39% in Jan’18 coming off a high base (end of Rabi season). After correcting sharply in 1HCY17, the fertilizer sector has posted a strong recovery (+16% since Aug'17) on improving fundamentals. Going forward, we anticipate further betterment on the back of: 1) continuous lowering of inventory levels, 2) higher international prices and 3) upward trend in local product prices. Maintaining our Marketweight stance on the sector, EFERT (TP of PkR79.9/sh) remains our top pick on the basis of attractive dividend yield of 10% at current levels, followed by FATIMA (TP of PkR45.1/sh) with its diversified product mix, continuous improvement in market share and concessionary gas pricing.

Underlyings
Engro Fertilizers

Engro Fertilizers Limited is a Pakistan-based company, which is engaged in manufacturing, purchasing and marketing of fertilizers. The Company's brands include Engro Urea, Engro NP, Engro DAP, Zingro, Engro MOP, Engro SSP and Engro Zarkhez. Engro NP is the Company's fertilizer brand with Nitrogen and Phosphorous content in equal quantity. Engro DAP primarily contains Di-Ammonium Phosphate, and is imported by Engro EXIMP and marketed by the Company. Engro DAP is marketed in approximately 50 kilogram bags. Zingro is a micronutrient fertilizer, and is imported by Engro EXIMP and marketed by the Company. Engro Zarkhez has Nitrogen, Phosphorous and Potassium, and is primarily offered for sugar cane, fruit orchards, vegetables, potato and tobacco farming. Engro Envy is primarily offered to urban market for gardens, lawns, flower beds, fruit plants and ornamental plants. The Company is a subsidiary of Engro Corporation.

Fatima Fertilizer Co. Ltd.

Fatima Fertilizer Company Limited is a Pakistan-based fertilizer manufacturing company. The Company is engaged in manufacturing and marketing of Nitrogen, Phosphate and Potash fertilizers. It produces a range of fertilizers, including Sarsabz Calcium Ammonium Nitrate (CAN), Sarsabz Nitro Phosphate (NP), Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium (NPK) and Sarsabz Urea. Its CAN is a granulated nitrogenous fertilizer. Sarsabz Urea can be applied in various forms and it can be spread in bulk alone or can also be mixed with other fertilizers before application. Its NP can be applied on various types of soils. The Company has a production base for Nitric Acid. The Company has annual production capacity of Urea 500,000, CAN 420,000, NP 244,000, Nitric Acid 500,000 and Ammonia 500,000. It also offers services and support to farmers from education on farming practices and research oriented agricultural practices.

Provider
AKD Securities Limited
AKD Securities Limited

AKD Securities Ltd. is one of the leading securities firm in Pakistan, providing a comprehensive range of investor focused services, including equity brokerage, economic and securities research, investment banking and financial advisory services. AKD Securities accounts for more than 6% of the average daily value of the Karachi Stock Exchange. AKD Securities was the first brokerage house to launch an online trading platform in Pakistan in November 2002 and now has the largest market share with over 6000 customers. This has helped diversify and expand the retail investor base in the country and ushered in a whole new universe of investors to the stock market.

AKD Securities Ltd. caters to a diversified group of domestic and international institutional investors, high net worth individuals and upscale retail clients, including expatriate Pakistanis. With high quality research, unparalleled execution and distribution capability for both regular and large block trades, AKD Securities Ltd. has earned an outstanding reputation in the Pakistani securities industry.Outside of commercial banks, AKD Securities Ltd. is one of the biggest capital market firms in the country. AKD Securities is the leader in raising and providing risk capital in underwriting, market making and mergers and acquisitions in Pakistan. Good corporate governance and professionalism are emphasized throughout the firm and AKD Securities Ltd. is amongst the very few companies to have introduced a firm-wide comprehensive CODE of ETHICS, overseen by an independent compliance manager.Ultimately, our success is based on the quality of service we provide to our customers and the trust and confidence reposed in us by them. Our focus, therefore, remains on customer satisfaction at all levels in the company.

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