Report

Revenue growth above expectations

Revenue growth above expectations

EARNINGS/SALES RELEASES

Revenue growth accelerated above expectations at constant scope in Q2 18 (+6.9% following +4.9% in Q1 18). Growth was driven by the international markets which benefited from the signature of a large number of contracts based on the Microsoft Dynamics 365 online platform. The development of the SaaS model, a source of recurring revenue, continued at high double-digit growth. In H1 18, SaaS revenue represented 17.4% of the total (+3.1pts).

FACT

Q2 18 revenue
Prodware posted strong revenue above expectations in Q2 18. Revenue reached €44.9m, +2.2% and +6.9% at constant scope (vs our estimates of €44.7m, +1.8% and +4.5% at constant scope). There was a change in perimeter related to the disposal of non-core Sage businesses in France in Q4 17 and the integration of Nerea in Q2 17.
SaaS revenue increased by 19.9% to €10m and represented 22.3% of the total (+3.4pts yoy). There is no figure for the trend in the Business Consulting activity in the quarter. Finally, software editing performed very well, +5.8% to €15.6m, corresponding to 35% of the total.
International revenue continued to be a solid growth driver, +39% to €24.8m in Q2 18 vs +22.3% to €24.9m in Q1 18, thanks to the large number of contracts based on the Microsoft Dynamics 365 online platform signed since the beginning of the year 2018.
H1 18 revenue
Revenue reached €90m,+3.2% and +4.1% at constant perimeter (vs +3.1% and +2.3% at constant perimeter in H1 17).
SaaS revenue reached €15.7m (+25.7%) and represented 17.4% of the total (+3.1pt). The Business Consulting activity benefited from strong growth (undisclosed figure) despite a challenging hiring situation in the market. Software editing revenue reached €30.9m, +3.2%, and was stable at 34.4% of the total.


ANALYSIS

Revenue growth acceleration at constant scope
Excluding the change in the perimeter, revenue growth accelerated significantly, above expectations, between Q1 18 (+4.9%) and Q2 18 (+6.9%) contrary to last year (+2.2% in Q1 17 and +2.5% in Q2 17). This acceleration was mainly attributable to international markets and probably to a positive impact from the postponement of some projects from Q4 17 to H1 18.
Fast-growing in international markets
The strong International revenue growth (+39% in Q2 18 vs +22.3% in Q1 18) was attributable to the large number of contracts based on the Microsoft Dynamics 365 online platform signed since the beginning of the year 2018. In H1 18, the breakdown of revenue by geography was the opposite of those in H1 17. Revenue in French-speaking countries reached €40.3m (-18%), 45% of revenue (vs 56% of revenue in H1 17) while International revenue was €49.7m (+30%), 55% of revenue (vs 44% of revenue in H1 17).
Strong and seamless development of SaaS revenue
As a reminder, Prodware is involved in a business transformation which consists of replacing traditional software licence fees by three-year subscription fees in the SaaS mode. The development of SaaS is expected to continue to be a growth driver in the medium term. The advantage of SaaS is higher recurring and predictable revenue for Prodware in the medium term.
In H1 18, SaaS grew at a high pace, or +25.7% (vs +26% in H1 17), and represented 17.4% of the total.



IMPACT

The positive set of figures in Q2 18 show the group’s ability to move to a SaaS model without disruption at the top-line.
We will update our estimates after the release of H1 18 earnings due on 16 October 18.
Underlying
Prodware SA

Prodware is engaged in the publishing and hosting of business computer solutions. Co. publishes and integrates management software for accounting management, human resources, customer relations, pay stubs, production, etc. In addition, Co. is involved in the design and implementation of network applications and securitization services. These applications and services include supply of network systems, server installation and hosting, and installation of security software such as antivirus and anti-intrusion. Co. markets its products and services through a network of agencies in France, as well as through partner distributors internationally.

Provider
AlphaValue Corporate Services
AlphaValue Corporate Services

AlphaValue Corporate Services capitalise on the research and credit analysis expertise deployed by AlphaValue with major institutional investors at European level over the past nine years. The proprietary tools and processes enabling AlphaValue Corporate Services to establish a valuation and/or a credit risk assessment are identical to those used by AlphaValue to the benefit of its institutional clients. The only difference is the recognition that a company evaluation cannot be dissociated from the fact that the latter is paying for the service (AlphaValue Corporate Services), as opposed to the investor footing the bill (AlphaValue). AlphaValue’s research tools are characterised by the transparency of the valuation methodologies, their responsiveness to market data and by nine years’ experience of a universe numbering more than 450 European companies. Through its coverage and sector exhaustiveness, AlphaValue ranks alongside the major research houses in Europe and constitutes the only new entrant to the European space in the past decade. This significant presence is reflected in an unrivalled distribution capability via platforms commonly adopted by investors to access research: Factset, Bloomberg, Capital IQ and the numerous websites. AlphaValue is one the largest research contributors to these platforms, to the benefit of AlphaValue Corporate Services issuer clients.  The AlphaValue Corporate Services analysts are AlphaValue’s sector specialists. Their robust knowledge of the business models in their sectors enables the rapid generation of incisive, relevant research and advantageous interaction with the management teams.

Analysts
Hélène Coumes

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