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Post Monetary Policy Committee Meeting February 2024 - MPC Takes a More Aggressive Stance Against Inflation

The first (1st) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting chaired by the new Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Governor, Dr. Yemi Cardoso, was held on the 26th and 27th of February 2024. At the meeting, monetary policy tools were aggressively tightened to rein in inflation and curb excess money supply. The Committee after several considerations came to the following decisions:

  • Hike the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) by 400bps to 22.75% from 18.75%.
  • Adjust the asymmetric corridor to +100/-700 basis points from +100/-300 basis points around the MPR
  • Raise the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) to 45% from 32.50%
  • Retain the Liquidity Ratio at 30.00%

Given the CBN’s commitment to curbing demand-side issues fueling inflationary pressures, we might see further hike in interest rate at the next MPC meeting holding on the 25th and 26th of March 2024.  The Committee, in a bid to sustain foreign investor confidence, might resort to a mild increase in interest rate. Therefore, barring any respite in inflation figures, we expect a 50-100bps hike at the next MPC meeting.

 

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ARM Securities Limited
ARM Securities Limited

ARM Securities Limited is a full-service brokerage house that offers best-in-class brokerage services to local as well as foreign private and institutional investors. Formerly known as Hamilton Hammer, the Company commenced operation in 1994 and was acquired by ARM Investment Managers in 2008--an acquisition which has successfully re-positioned the company as a recognized brokerage firm in Nigeria. The Company is a dealing member of the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). ARM Securities research team provides insightful commentaries on the Nigerian economy and its equity and debt markets using an approach which incorporates a thorough understanding of the fundamentals of the industries and companies under coverage. The research therefore adopts an integrated methodology of top-down analysis and bottom-up stock selection, which focuses on publicly quoted companies on the Nigerian Stock Exchange that are judged to offer the highest potential for earnings growth. In addition, its analysts provide periodic commentaries on a range of topical global and local issues which provide investing clients with a holistic view of the opportunities and risks in today’s financial market landscape. ​

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