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Q3:2023 GDP Report | A Show of Resilience amid Economic Challenges

In the recently published Q3:2023 GDP report by the NBS, the Nigerian economy grew modestly by 2.54% YoY compared to 2.51% YoY in Q2:2023. This marks the twelfth (12th) consecutive quarter of expansion since H2:2020, underscoring the doggedness of the Nigeria economy despite macroeconomic and structural challenges including inflationary pressure, high-interest rate environment and insecurity issues.

In Q4:2023, we expect further improvement in GDP figures spurred on by the optimism surrounding increased oil production in Q4 and its likely effect on oil sector growth. Furthermore, we believe that the festivities in the quarter will help to improve non-oil sector growth, particularly the agriculture sector. For the most part, our base case forecast for 2023FY GDP growth remains 2.66%

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ARM Securities Limited
ARM Securities Limited

ARM Securities Limited is a full-service brokerage house that offers best-in-class brokerage services to local as well as foreign private and institutional investors. Formerly known as Hamilton Hammer, the Company commenced operation in 1994 and was acquired by ARM Investment Managers in 2008--an acquisition which has successfully re-positioned the company as a recognized brokerage firm in Nigeria. The Company is a dealing member of the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). ARM Securities research team provides insightful commentaries on the Nigerian economy and its equity and debt markets using an approach which incorporates a thorough understanding of the fundamentals of the industries and companies under coverage. The research therefore adopts an integrated methodology of top-down analysis and bottom-up stock selection, which focuses on publicly quoted companies on the Nigerian Stock Exchange that are judged to offer the highest potential for earnings growth. In addition, its analysts provide periodic commentaries on a range of topical global and local issues which provide investing clients with a holistic view of the opportunities and risks in today’s financial market landscape. ​

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