BGC Partners - Kardemir Karabuk Demir Celik Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. D (KRDMD) BGC Partners: Highlights from Kardemir KRDMD TI Conference Call, neutralâ€¦

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BGC Partners

Erdem Hafizoglu

EUR 103.50 For Business Accounts Only

BGC Partners: Highlights from Kardemir <KRDMD TI> Conference Call, neutralâ€¦

No EBITDA margin or EBITDA per ton guidance has been provided by the management for 2019 at this stage. A profitability guidance will be provided after the announcement of 1Q19 results. The only guidance for 2019 is 2.4mt sales volume (2017: 2.2mt, BGCe: 2.3mt) and US$117mn capex (2017: US$81mn, BGCe: US$110mn). The main focus will be on the sales of value added products in the product mix.

08/03/2019 2 EN

Underlying

Kardemir Karabuk Demir Celik Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. D

Kardemir Karabuk Demir Celik Sanayi ve Ticaret manufactures and sells raw iron and steel products and coke and coke side products. KARABUK Co.'s products include: Steel Products - Blooms, Billets and Beam Blank; Rolling Mill Products - Hot Rolled Round Steel (Bars), Hot Rolled Round Steel (Deformed Bars), Steel Nip Beams, Steel Npu Profiles, Equal Angles, GI Profile, Rails and Billets; Coke Products - Coke Plant Products, Ammonium Sulphate, Pressed Naphthalane, Tar Paint, Carbolic Oil, Grude Benzole, Refine Washed Oil and Crude Tar and Other Products - Pig Irons, Granule Slag, Oxygen, Nitrogen, Argon.

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TRAKRDMR91G7 Istanbul Stock Exchange Turkey

Provider

BGC Partners

BGC has been one of the major market players in Turkish OTC debt, FX and swaps markets since 1998.

We started offering corporate finance and investment banking services to our clients in 2013. We offer a complete range of financial services to help our clients achieve their goals. Our main areas of activity within investment banking are as follows:

Mergers & Acquisitions
Equity Capital Markets
Debt Finance & Advisory

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Analysts

Erdem Hafizoglu

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BGC Partners: TURKEY - Central Government Budget continued to improve in February

Finance Ministry released February Central Government budget figures and the data showed further improvement in budget balances, as already suggested by the Treasury cash budget figures.

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BGC Partners: TURKEY - CBT Expectation Survey: No major change in inflation forecasts and a 50bps rate cut expectation from the CBT next week...

OUR TAKE: We observe no major change in inflation expectations, as the positive surprise in February reading seems to be offset by increased depreciation pressure on TL, while 2020 GDP growth forecast has been cut for the first time since July 2019. Meanwhile, there seems to be a 50bps rate cut expectation from the CBT in next weekâ€™s meeting, 100bps over the next three months, and 175bps over the next twelve months. We currently plug in a 50bps rate cut in our forecasts in next weekâ€™s meeting, followed by a 25bps in the April meeting. (CBT, BGC Partners)

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BGC Partners: TURKEY - Retail sales volume maintained a strong trend in January

According to Turkstat, retail sales volume registered a 9.6% y/y expansion in January 2020 in unadjusted terms; while the calendar-adjusted figure also increased by 9.6% y/y in January, which is a quite strong figure, albeit indicating a mild slow down compared to the 11.9% increase recorded in December 2019.

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BGC Partners: Highlights from Kardemir <KRDMD TI> Conference Call, neutralâ€¦

Kardemir - Upgrade to Buy. Domestic tailwinds, cautious on the global backdrop.

Kardemir

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BGC Partners: TURKEY - Central Government Budget continued to improve in February

BGC Partners: TURKEY - CBT Expectation Survey: No major change in inflation forecasts and a 50bps rate cut expectation from the CBT next week...

BGC Partners: TURKEY - Retail sales volume maintained a strong trend in January

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