Cash-strapped; reiterate Neutral at 16% lower TP
USD-debt a value trap. Re-pricing QH’s USD1.9bn debt (c85% of 2Q16 consolidated debt) and USD-capex needs reduces our 12-month TP by 16% to EGP1.05/share due to a weaker-than-previously-expected EGP. The higher debt burden was partly offset by our expectation of higher cash flows at Taqa Marketing (on higher fuel prices) and revaluation of USD-assets, mainly the Egyptian Refinery Company (ERC). We do not foresee planned asset sales as significant enough to change our call on the stock, but they would certainly alleviate hefty debt servicing needs.
Qalaa Holdings SAE, formerly Citadel Capital SAE, is an Egypt-based company engaged in the private equity investment activities. The Company manages an investment portfolio that consist of 19 Opportunity-Specific Funds (OSFs), which controls entities platform distributed across 12 countries in the Middle Eastern and North African markets, and span 14 industrial sector such as energy, cement manufacturing, solid waste management, real estate, mining, agricultural, glass manufacturing, transportation and metallurgy. Its OSFs entities include Asec Holding, Ascom Geology and Mining SAE, Nile Logistics, Rift Valley Railways, Gozour, Wafra, Nopc / Rally Energy Group, Nile Valley Petroleum Ltd, Egyptian Refining Company, Taqua Arabia, GlassWorks and Finance Unlimited, among others. On December 9, 2012, the Company announced that it has sold 100% of its interest in National Petroleum Company Egypt Limited (NPC Egypt), a wholly owned portfolio company, to Sea Dragon Energy Inc.
CI Capital is a diversified financial services group and Egypt’s leading provider of leasing, microfinance, and investment banking products and services.
Through its headquarters in Cairo and presence in New York and Dubai, CI Capital offers a wide range of financial solutions to a diversified client base that include global and regional institutions and family offices, large corporates, SMEs, and high net worth and individual investors.
CI Capital leverages its full-fledged investment banking platform to provide market leading capital raising and M&A advisory, asset management, securities brokerage, custody and research. Through its subsidiary Corplease, CI Capital offers comprehensive leasing solutions, including finance and operating leases, and sale and leaseback, serving a wide range of corporate clients and SMEs. In addition, CI Capital offers microfinance lending through Egypt’s first licensed MFI, Reefy.
The Group has over 1,700 employees, led by a team of professionals who are among the most experienced in the industry, with complementary backgrounds and skill sets and a deep understanding of local market dynamics.
CI Capital has been recognized as the “Best Investment Bank in Egypt” by EMEA Finance for four years running from 2013-2016, and by Global Finance in 2014 and 2015.
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