Report
Gellert Gaal

Q1: ARPU decrease was needed to maintain RGU growth

DIGI reported its Q1 results. Compared to the restated Q1 figures, Revenue arrived +12% yoy but lower than
expected by 2.5% or ca EUR 10 m to EUR 394m which was a result of lower Group ARPU in our view. EBITDA
and net profit arrived to EUR 133.7 (+7% yoy) and EUR 11 million (-29% yoy).

1. Key positives:
1. EBITDA growth is maintained +7% yoy (Spain’s EBITDA grew by 51% yoy).


2. Key negatives:
2. Still no plans for inflation indexation – as long as they could maintain a
reasonable EBITDA growth in Romania (+2% yoy) prices stays the same.
3. Price erosion in Spain (-4% qoq)

Underlying trends: RGU growth continued (Q1: +4% qoq; ‘22Q4: 3.5% qoq), however lower ARPU (-6% qoq)
was needed to maintain that pace. DIGI added slightly more RGU’s in Q1: 844 vs 708k than in Q4. This was
enough to keep Group Sales at the dynamic of 10% yoy (RO: +4%yoy; ES: +29%yoy). On EBITDA level, Group
EBITDA advanced by 7% yoy, fuelled by Spain +51% yoy followed by RO + 2% yoy. Operating expenses grew
by 14% yoy, as DD&A and employee expenses jumped by +19% yoy and 23% yoy respectively, taking its toll
on net profit that fall to EUR 11m (-29% yoy).
Opinion: Optically, it does not look good that DIGI needed to decrease ARPU (-6% qoq) in both of the
countries in order to maintain growth at a time when other listed operators (HU) are able to adjust ARPU by the
inflation. In that sense DIGI has not become a “real asset” though it could indeed change easily. Nevertheless,
DIGI remains a long duration equity asset in our view, as the company is in heavy investment cycle in Portugal,
Spain and in Belgium in which the earnings would arrive a few years later (expect in Spain where EBITDA has
grown at a decent pace lately).

Underlying
Digi Communications NV

Provider
Concorde Securities
Concorde Securities

Concorde Securities Ltd. is Hungary’s leading independent company engaged in investment banking activities. It provides its clients with integrated financial services, including securities trading, research, corporate financing advisory, capital market transactions, wealth management and investment advisory. The operational management of the company is the responsibility of the CEO, while the owners/managers (who control one-third of the company through their shares and options) are in charge of its strategic governance. Concorde Securities Ltd. is a member of the Budapest, Frankfurt, Warsaw and Bucharest stock exchanges, as well as of the Hungarian Association of Investment Service Providers.

Analysts
Gellert Gaal

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