Report
Jørgen Lian
EUR 95.21 For Business Accounts Only

US chill set to cool VLGC markets

News of abnormally low temperatures in the days ahead could see US domestic propane demand tailwinds shift to headwinds and potentially threaten LPG exports, as we believe inventory levels could be tested. The US–Far East arbitrage has narrowed from USD380/tonne to USD200/tonne and spot rates are starting to slip as we head into the low season. While the fundamentals still look appealing to us in the medium and long term, we find considerable risk of negative momentum in freight markets based on the outlook for US inventories and hence export capacity in the coming weeks. With VLGC rates still at USD100k/day, a decline should be expected, but we still see potential for near-term headwinds for the equities currently trading near ATHs.
Underlyings
AVANCE GAS HOLDINGS LTD

Avance Gas Holding is principally engaged in the transportation of Liquefied Petroleum Gas ("LPG"). Co. operates a fleet of 14 Very Large Gas Carriers, providing transportation services to oil majors and traders of LPG on a global basis. Co. transports LPG from the Middle East and the U.S. Gulf or U.S.loan facility from BCBloan facility from BCB(excludes dividends satisfied by issue of shares) East Coast to destinations in Europe, South America and Asia.

BW LPG Ltd.

Dorian LPG

Provider
DnB Markets
DnB Markets

DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.

 

Analysts
Jørgen Lian

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