BEIJ/NIBE: Positive impressions from US peers

US peer Watsco sees positive trend

Ready for a return to growth

In-line earnings, strong FCF, growth in Q2, '24e-'26e EBITA up 2-4%; 10% CAGR '23-'26e, keep HOLD, TP SEK 170 (165)

Castellum (Hold, TP: SEK135.00) - Unconvincing Q1 results

We have downgraded to HOLD (BUY) and trimmed our target price to SEK135 (136) following rather soft Q1 results that showed a risk in vacancy adding concern about the rental market outlook. We consider the stock fully valued, given only an 10% NAV discount (adjusted for Entra at market value) and its soft FFOPS growth outlook.

Lindab International (Buy, TP: SEK244.00) - A bump in the road

Lindab’s markets remain under pressure, but comparables are becoming easier, and we expect positive organic growth in H2 2024. Due to the weak Q1, we have reduced our 2024–2026e adj. EBIT by c5% on average and our target price to SEK244 (250), but reiterate our BUY. We expect earnings growth from Q4 onwards, and see upside potential to our target price.

Hexagon Purus (Hold, TP: NOK7.00) - On track

The Q1 report came as a relief to the capital markets. With decent quarterly results, capacity expansion on track, and a still-supportive demand outlook, the industrial business case looks intact. That said, we note the still-high funding need. We reiterate our HOLD, but have raised our target price to NOK7 (6) on lower dilutive effects from assumed further capital raises after Friday’s share price rally. The stock continues to trade at an attractive 40–50% discount to other hydrogen equipment suppliers on EV/sales.