Report
Simen Mortensen
EUR 458.03 For Business Accounts Only

Bonava (Hold, TP: SEK19.00) - Risk of not covering fixed costs due to falling volumes

Bonava guided for 1,970 completions in 2024 – which we are concerned might not even cover its fixed costs. Furthermore, we have similar concerns for 2025, given current weak starts and sales in the sector slowdown. We believe a disposal of the Norwegian operations could raise the liquidity to deal with these costs and the 2024 bond maturity, but see a risk a sale might have to be done at a discount to BVs. The stock is already trading at a significant discount on P/B; we reiterate our HOLD, but have cut our target price to SEK19 (23).
Underlying
Bonava AB Class B

Bonava AB (publ). Bonava publ AB is a Sweden-based company, which is primarily involved in real estate development industry. The Company operates as a developer of housing units to consumers and investors in Sweden, Germany, Finland, Denmark, Norway, the Russian Federation, Estonia and Latvia. In Germany, the Company's offering is targeted at consumers and investors through both single-family houses and multi-family houses. The Company operates on the basis of an own-produced construction system in Germany, which is used in all new construction, thus enabling an efficient construction process. In Estonia and Latvia, the Company's offering is primarily targeted at consumers, based on multi-family houses. In Russia, it operates solely in Saint Petersburg region with offering comprises of multi-family houses.

Provider
DnB Markets
DnB Markets

DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.

 

Analysts
Simen Mortensen

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