Bonava (Hold, TP: SEK9.00) - Delayed earnings recovery
While Q2 nominal EBIT was low, as expected, rising financial costs resulted in EPS well below our forecast and Infront consensus. Moreover, KPIs (started and sold units) were significantly below our expectations, which in turn delayed our expectation of an earnings recovery. This and our updated financial cost estimates mean we have cut our 2024–2026e EPS. Given the low P/B of 0.4x, we believe many of the negatives and low expected profits in the coming years are reflected in the current share price. We reiterate our HOLD and SEK9 target price.Bonava AB (publ). Bonava publ AB is a Sweden-based company, which is primarily involved in real estate development industry. The Company operates as a developer of housing units to consumers and investors in Sweden, Germany, Finland, Denmark, Norway, the Russian Federation, Estonia and Latvia. In Germany, the Company's offering is targeted at consumers and investors through both single-family houses and multi-family houses. The Company operates on the basis of an own-produced construction system in Germany, which is used in all new construction, thus enabling an efficient construction process. In Estonia and Latvia, the Company's offering is primarily targeted at consumers, based on multi-family houses. In Russia, it operates solely in Saint Petersburg region with offering comprises of multi-family houses.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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