DNO (Hold, TP: NOK15.00) - Time for a breather
We estimate Q1 net entitlement production of ~39kboed and EBITDA of USD119m (no reliable consensus). While the proposed Sval Energi acquisition (expected to close mid-year) should increase DNO’s North Sea production from ~20kboed to ~80kboed, we believe a spin-off would likely be required to get full valuation credit for the acquisition. Meanwhile, a resumption of oil exports from Kurdistan appears to be gridlocked, and DNO and its partners lack certainty on historical and future payments. Following the recent strong share price performance, we have downgraded to HOLD (BUY) but maintain our NOK15 target price.DNO is a Norwegian exploration and production company focused on the Middle East and North Africa. Co. holds stakes in oil and gas blocks in various stages of exploration, development and production, both onshore and offshore, in the Kurdistan region of Iraq, Yemen, Oman, the United Arab Emirates, Tunisia and Somaliland.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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