Report
Niclas Gehin
EUR 87.40 For Business Accounts Only

Elkem (Hold, TP: NOK28.00) - Priced on a par with silicones

We estimate Elkem’s Q4 EPS at NOK0.48, reflecting an improved price picture for all its major product categories in the quarter. We have downgraded from BUY to HOLD as we believe the stock price of NOK27 reflects the current Silicones price (DMC) of RMB20,500/t and a running EPS of NOK2.8. This DMC price entails a 2022e EPS of NOK3.0 and P/E of 9.3x, largely in line with its historical average (since 2018) of 8.0x. We forecast DMC prices to remain at RMB20,500/t, yielding an ROE of 12%, which we see as a sustainable level given the modest entry barriers among the silicone producers.
Underlying
Elkem ASA

Elkem ASA. Elkem ASA is a Norway-based supplier of silicon materials. Its operations comprise such segments as the Silicones that manufactures and sells siloxanes, a range of silicones, and a commoditized products produced by reacting silicon with methyl chloride through various chemical reactions and formulations; the Silicon Materials, which includes manufacturing and selling of various grades of metallurgical silicon and microsilica; the Foundry Products that provides metal treatment solutions to iron foundries and supplies specialty ferrosilicon to the steel industry, and the Carbon, which manufactures carbon electrode materials, lining materials and specialty carbon products for metallurgical processes. The Company serves customers in chemical, solar, electronics, aluminum, construction, refractory, oil and gas industries worldwide.

Provider
DnB Markets
DnB Markets

DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.

 

Analysts
Niclas Gehin

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