DnB Markets - Embracer Group (EMBRAC B) Embracer Group (Buy, TP: SEK100.00) - Cash flow inflection point

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DnB Markets

Martin Arnell

EUR 95.03 For Business Accounts Only

Embracer Group (Buy, TP: SEK100.00) - Cash flow inflection point

We reiterate our BUY and SEK100 target price despite having cut our 2023/24e adj. EBIT by 7%, towards the low end of Embracer’s maintained guidance. With a credible operating cash flow increase, incoming transformative partnerships, and a sizeable and interesting games pipeline, we believe the risk/reward has improved. We expect FCF, before earnouts, to rise to cSEK5bn in 2023/24, up c150% YOY.

17/02/2023 1 EN

Underlying

Embracer Group

Embracer Group AB, formerly THQ Nordic AB is a Sweden-based company engaged in the computer games development. The Company focuses on acquiring, developing and publishing personal computer (PC) and console games for Xbox and PlayStation platforms. The Company's game portfolio consists of owned franchises intellectual property (IP) and published titles, including Saints Row, Goat Simulator, Dead Island, Darksiders, Metro, MX vs ATV, Kingdoms of Amalur, TimeSplitters, Satisfactory and Wreckfest, among others. It offers games through various distribution channels, including digital platforms, such as Steam, PlayStation Store and Xbox Live, as well as gaming conventions, and global retailers, such as Walmart, GameStop and Amazon. The Company has around 18 internal game development studios and operates in more than 40 countries.

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SE0013121589 Nasdaq Nordic Stockholm Sweden

Provider

DnB Markets

DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.

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Analysts

Martin Arnell

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Embracer Group (Buy, TP: SEK100.00) - Cash flow inflection point

Embracer Group (Buy, TP: SEK42.00) - Spin-offs set to unlock value

Embracer Group (Buy, TP: SEK42.00) - Set to improve during the year

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Edda Wind (Buy, TP: NOK30.00) - Well positioned

Valuation and market update

Petrobras FPSO delays may hit service volumes but lengthen cycle

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