Elmera Group (Sell, TP: NOK24.00) - Fixed prices, variable risks
We remain lukewarm ahead of the Q1 report, expecting below-consensus results on lower volumes due to the warm weather. We continue to question the sustainability of the business model given the still-high contribution from variable contracts and potential negative impact from the introduction of a fixed-price regime in Norway. We reiterate our SELL and NOK24 target price, despite slight negative estimate revisions.Fjordkraft Holding ASA is a Norway-based holding company for Fjordkraft Group. The Group is a national electricity retailer and provider of related services to households, private and public companies, as well as municipalities. The core business includes the purchase, sale and portfolio management of electrical power. The Company operates within two segments: Consumer segment, which implies the sale of electrical power and related services to private consumers; and Business segment, which covers the sale of electrical power and related services to business consumers. Additional services comprise mobile phone subscriptions to private consumers and insurance sales, among others.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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