Seasonal freeze set to ease
LNG shipping rates are down ~80% since November but up 7% in the past 10 days. Global LNG prices collapsed from Q4 into Q1, but Asian LNG futures have risen 15% in the past few days, thus we see fundamentals turning positive. With the current LNG pricing, gas is priced lower than coal in Chinese el production, likely not sustainable in our view, which in turn should reopen the US-Asia LNG price arbitrage, boosting tonne-mile, rates, and utilisation. We favour FLEX LNG at a ~8% discount to newbuild parity NAV.
Golar LNG is a midstream liquefied natural gas (LNG) company based in Bermuda. Co. is engaged in the transportation, regasification, liquefaction and trading of LNG. Through its subsidiaries and affiliates, Co. is engaged in the acquisition, ownership, operation and chartering of LNG carriers and floating storage regasification units (FSRUs), and the development of liquefaction projects such as Floating Liquefaction Natural Gas Vessels. Co. owns and operates a fleet of 19 LNG carriers and seven FSRUs, and under management agreements operates Golar LNG Partner LP's fleet of six FSRUs and four LNG carriers.
Leif Hoegh & Co. is engaged as an international shipping company that offers transportation and logistics solutions for customers worldwide within selected industrial shipping segments. Co. is involved in the following segments: Ro/Ro, Liquified Natural Gas (LNG), Dry Bulk, Reefer Vessels, Open Hatch, and Hoegh Fleet Services (HFS). Co. operates a fleet of vessels within the deep sea and short sea segments, operating in the transportation of cars and high/heavy rolling stock. Co. operates LNG carriers employed on long-term contracts for the transportation of liquefied natural gas.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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