Grieg Seafood (Hold, TP: NOK84.00) - British Columbia regulation risk
Grieg Seafood’s Q1 operating EBIT was 6% above our estimate and 14% above consensus, but management cut its 2023 harvest guidance and raised its cost guidance in Finnmark and British Columbia (BC). A government decision on BC’s salmon farming transition plan is to be announced in June, which could have a negative impact on Grieg Seafood. We have cut our 2023–2025e EPS by 5.9–1.6%, lowered our target price to NOK84 (90) and downgraded to HOLD (BUY).Greig Seafood is a fish farming group, based in Norway, that specialized in salmon and trout. Co. is the parent company of the Greig Seafood Group. Co. is engaged in the production and sale of seafood, and naturally related activities to the sale of seafood. Co. is predominately engaged in the production of farmed salmon and trout, with a production capacity of around 95,00 tons gutted weight annually. Co. has 100 licences for salmon production and five licences for smolt production. Co. has operations in Finnmark and Rogaland in Norway, British Columbia in Canada, and Shetland (the U.K.).
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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