Metsa Board (Hold, TP: EUR7.70) - Worst should be over
With rising pulp prices alongside indications of more normal business conditions for the paper board business, we continue to see good support for gradually improved earnings throughout 2024e. Still, near-term, we believe management will guide for only slightly better market conditions in Q1. Although we have reduced our 2024e earnings, we have slightly increased our target price to EUR7.7 (7.5), as we believe higher pulp prices in H1 are likely to support sentiment on the stock. We reiterate our HOLD.Metsa Board is a European producer of folding boxboard and white fresh forest fibre linerboard and a market pulp supplier. Co. and its subsidiaries comprise a forest industry group, which operations are organized into two business segments: Cartonboard and Lineboard and Paper. The Cartonboard business area is a manufacturer of folding boxboards. The business area also provides packaging services in Asia. The Linerboard and Paper business area is a manufacturer of coated white fresh forest fibre linerboards and producer of uncoated fresh forest fibre linerboards. The Linerboard and Paper business area also manufactures uncoated fine papers mainly for office end-use as well as coated papers.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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