MTG (Buy, TP: SEK120.00) - Profitable growth and buybacks
We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to SEK120, following a >10% earnings beat in Q1. MTG gave a cautious revenue growth outlook for 2024 (+1-5% YOY) but with positive adj. EBITDA margin guidance (26–29%). It announced SEK100m of buybacks, with more likely to come following the AGM on 16 May. We have raised our 2024–2025e EBITDA by c3% and continue to like the MTG story, with market growth, good cost control and the ~SEK3bn net cash position.Modern Times Group MTG AB is an entertainment group with operations that include free-television (TV), pay-TV, digital entertainment, radio and content production businesses. Co. has six business segments. Five of these segments, Free-TV Scandinavia, Pay-TV Nordic, Free-TV Emerging Markets, Pay-TV Emerging Markets and CTC Media, comprise Viasat Broadcasting. Co.'s Viasat Broadcasting is a free-TV and pay-TV operator, and also an operator and distributor of live and on-demand streamed free and paid video content over the internet, providing movies, live sports events, TV series, and catch-up services. The sixth business segment mainly comprises Co.'s MTG Studios, MTGx and Radio businesses.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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