Securitas (Buy, TP: SEK192.00) - More of the same in Q1e
We expect Q1 to show similar trends to the most recent quarters, but negative FX translation effects (strengthening SEK) still result in cuts to our 2025–2027e EPS of 4–5%. We continue to see a robust transformation case, as the journey towards the 8% profit margin target by end-2025 continues, with our H2 2025e EBITA margin now at 7.8–7.9%. We reiterate our BUY, but have lowered our target price to SEK192 (200).Securitas is engaged in integrated security solutions. Co.'s main service offering categories are specialized guarding, mobile security services, monitoring, technical solutions and consulting and investigation services. Co. operates in 52 countries throughout North America, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, Asia and Africa. Co. is organized into three business segments: Security Services North America, Security Services Europe and Security Services Ibero-America. In addition to the three business segments, Co. conducts guarding operations in the Middle East, Asia and Africa.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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