Northern Lights

SKF (Buy, TP: SEK240.00) - Price/mix improved strongly

We reiterate our BUY recommendation and SEK240 target price. We believe that with 10–20% spare capacity, limited bottlenecks, and price increases, SKF is well-placed to benefit from the current cyclical upturn. We also expect earnings support from streamlining and production footprint investments; in our view, this should generate a 2018–2020e EBIT CAGR of 9%. Our 2018–2020e EBIT is c8–12% above consensus.

Northern Lights

Green Landscaping Group (Buy, TP: SEK93.00) - Tough Q1 with Swedish bright spot

Green Landscaping reported a light Q1, with mild weather adversely affecting demand for snow removal services. The top line was c7% shy of consensus, while EBITA was c22% below. The main bright spot was the Swedish margin, coming in above consensus, and showing positive momentum QOQ after several tough quarters in 2024. We reiterate our BUY but have lowered our target price to SEK93 (95).

The weekly navigator

From the past week, we highlight: 1) we lowered our target price in Investor to SEK320 following a 9% write-down of Patricia Industries in its Q1 report; 2) we reduced our target price in Kinnevik to SEK100 to reflect macroeconomic headwinds, but remain positive ahead of Cristina Stenbeck’s return as chair; 3) we cut our VEF target price to SEK2.5 on FX movements and see re-rating potential from e.g. ongoing buybacks; and 4) we lowered our target price in Flerie to SEK57 given worsening funding conditions for biotech assets.

Huhtamaki (Buy, TP: EUR42.00) - Q1 mixed elements

The Q1 results broadly met headline expectations. While underlying North American earnings declined sharply, solid cost actions helped offset the impact at the group level, a trend we expect to continue to support earnings resilience in 2025. We reiterate our BUY and EUR42 target price on minor 2025–2027 estimate changes, and continue to find the NTM EV/EBIT of c11.0x attractive (25% below its historical average).