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Alexander Aukner ... (+16)
  • Alexander Aukner
  • Antti Kansanen
  • Christer Magnergård
  • Håkon Astrup
  • Helge André Martinsen
  • Jon Masdal
  • Karl-Johan Bonnevier
  • Marius Knudssøn
  • Martin Arnell
  • Martin Huseby Karlsen
  • Mattias Holmberg
  • Mattias Montgomery
  • Ole-Andreas Krohn
  • Olof Larshammar
  • Patrik Ling
  • Rune Majlund Dahl
Olof Larshammar
  • Olof Larshammar

SKF (Buy, TP: SEK240.00) - Price/mix improved strongly

We reiterate our BUY recommendation and SEK240 target price. We believe that with 10–20% spare capacity, limited bottlenecks, and price increases, SKF is well-placed to benefit from the current cyclical upturn. We also expect earnings support from streamlining and production footprint investments; in our view, this should generate a 2018–2020e EBIT CAGR of 9%. Our 2018–2020e EBIT is c8–12% above consensus.

Christoffer Wang Bjørnsen ... (+12)
  • Christoffer Wang Bjørnsen
  • Frank Maaø
  • Jon Masdal
  • Karl-Johan Bonnevier
  • Marius Knudssøn
  • Martin Arnell
  • Martin Huseby Karlsen
  • Mattias Holmberg
  • Ole-Andreas Krohn
  • Olof Larshammar
  • Rune Majlund Dahl
  • Simen Mortensen
Olof Larshammar
  • Olof Larshammar

SKF (Buy, TP: SEK240.00) - Estimates continuing to move up

We reiterate our BUY recommendation and have raised our target price to SEK240 (230) on higher forecasts. We believe that with 10–20% spare capacity, limited bottlenecks and price increases, SKF is well placed to benefit from the current cyclical upturn. We also expect earnings support from streamlining and production footprint investments; in our view, this should generate a 2018–2020e EBIT CAGR of 10%. Our 2018–2020e EBIT is c7–13% above consensus. The Q1 results are due at 08:00 CET o...

Christer Magnergård ... (+14)
  • Christer Magnergård
  • Frank Maaø
  • Håkon Astrup
  • Helge André Martinsen
  • Jesper Ingildsen
  • Karl-Johan Bonnevier
  • Mattias Montgomery
  • Nicolay Dyvik
  • Ole Martin Westgaard
  • Ole-Andreas Krohn
  • Olof Larshammar
  • Paul Harper
  • Rune Majlund Dahl
  • Simen Mortensen
Olof Larshammar
  • Olof Larshammar

SKF (Buy, TP: SEK230.00) - Bearing forward

We reiterate our BUY recommendation and SEK230 target price following the Q4 results. We believe that with 10–20% spare capacity, limited bottlenecks and price increases, SKF is well placed to benefit from the current cyclical upturn. We also expect earnings support from streamlining and production footprint investments; in our view, this should generate a 2018–2019 EBIT CAGR of 7%. Our 2018–2019e EBIT is c3–5% above consensus.

Ole-Andreas Krohn
  • Ole-Andreas Krohn
Olof Larshammar
  • Olof Larshammar

Price bearing in the right direction

We have upgraded SKF to BUY (HOLD) and raised our target price to SEK200 (SEK190) following a change of analyst. In our view an improved pricing environment, still-good organic growth, and earnings support from investing in its production footprint and EPR system should generate a 2017–2019 adj EBIT CAGR of 10%. Our 2017–2019e EBIT are c3–6% above consensus.

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