Volvo (Hold, TP: SEK285.00) - Still downside risk to consensus
Volvo’s Q3 had mixed takeaways, in our view. Sales fell 7% organically YOY, and the EBIT margin softened and is likely to persist around this level (Trucks in North America and VCE mix a drag), but 2025 market guidance was robust. Our 2025–2026e adj. EBIT is broadly unchanged (8–11% below consensus), but we do not expect the report to cause a long-term positive share price reaction. We reiterate our HOLD and target price of SEK285.Volvo is a manufacturer of trucks, buses, construction equipment and marine and industrial engines. Co.'s activities are organized into six areas: Group Trucks, which sells and markets trucks under Eicher, Mack, Renault Trucks, UD Trucks and Volvo brands; Construction Equipment, which includes equipment for construction and related industries; Buses, which includes buses and bus chassis for city, intercity and coach traffic; Volvo Penta, which manufactures engines and drive systems for boats and commercial craft; Governmental Sales, which manufactures special-purpose vehicles; and Volvo Financial Services, providing customer financing and leasing, dealer financing and fee based products.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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