Report
Sharoon Ahmad
EUR 4.31 For Business Accounts Only

Result Previews - APL & PSO

  • We expect APL to post earnings of PKR5.5bn (EPS: PKR66.65), up 4%YoY, along with a final DPS of PKR40 taking full year DPS to PKR55 (payout: 83%). On quarterly basis, we expect APL’s earnings to be 35%YoY higher at PKR1.3bn (EPS: PKR15.25) in 4QFY18 but 13% lower QoQ.
  • We project PSO’s earnings to stand at PKR16.8bn (EPS: PKR51.64), down 8%YoY in FY18. We expect its final cash payout to remain lower at PKR5/share (full year cash payout at PKR15). Besides, the company may also announce a bonus issuance like last year (20% issue). On quarterly basis, we expect PSO’s earnings to decline by 14%YoY/25%QoQ to PKR3.5bn (EPS: PKR15.25) in 4QFY18.
  • With revision in Risk Free Rate assumption to 10% (from 9%) our Jun-19 PT for APL has come down by 7% to PKR674/share, while that for PSO to PKR367/share (down 2% from previous estimates). We however slightly revise up earnings estimates as we project higher Other Income and better FO/Asphalt margins.
Underlyings
Attock Petroleum

Attock Petroleum Limited is engaged in the procurement, storage and marketing of petroleum and related products. The Company offers a range of lubricants blended with base oils and additives at its Automatic Batch Blending facility. Its products include diesel engine grades, such as GOLD TURBO PLUS, GOLD TURBO, GOLD XTRA and GOLD-50; gasoline engine grades, such as HIDRIVE SUPREME, HIDRIVE SUPER and ATTOCK T-2; industrial grades, such as ATTOCK Hydraulic Oil AW Series, ATTOCK Gear Oil EX Series and ATTOCK TURBINE Oil, and gear oils, which include various specifications, such as EP 140, EP 90, 85W/90 and 85W/140. It has a multi-fuel retail network of approximately 540 retail outlets. The Company's retail outlets also offer compressed natural gas, as well as non-fuel retailing options, such as tuck shops, car services and lubricants. It supplies various types of fuels to various businesses, including manufacturing industry, armed forces, agricultural customers and power producers.

Pakistan State Oil Co.

Pakistan State Oil is a petroleum group based in Pakistan. Co.'s principal activities are the procurement, storage and marketing of petroleum and related products. Co. also blends and markets various kinds of lubricating oils.

Provider
Elixir Securities
Elixir Securities

Elixir Securities Pakistan is a Corporate Member of the Pakistan Stock Exchange & Pakistan Mercantile Exchange and is one of the leading securities brokerage & investment banking firms in Pakistan, established since 1994. Our principal business activities include all aspects of Pakistan’s Capital Markets covering Securities Brokerage (Equities, Fixed Income and Commodities), Corporate Finance & Capital Markets Advisory (M&A, ECM, DCM) and Investment Research (Economics & Securities). We are one of the most active & aggressive Broker-Dealers in Pakistan executing trades for most of the Top 20 Global Brokers with unmatched corporate access credentials and have successfully advised and closed on some landmark ECM transactions in the history of Pakistan including the largest deal in frontier Asia (USD 1.02 billion). Our Clients include foreign and domestic financial institutions (Banks, Asset Managers, Insurance Companies, Pension Funds) corporates, HNWI’s and retail investors. This is supported by a very strong and independent research capability, which is quoted regularly in both local and international media.

Elixir Securities Pakistan is the proud recipient of many awards & recognitions including AsiaMoney’s Brokers Poll 2017, FinanceAsia’s Pakistan Best Investment Bank and Best Broker 2017, The Asset’s Best Brokerage House in Pakistan 2016, Asiamoney’s “Best Domestic Equity House 2015 in Pakistan”, The Asset Triple A Country Awards 2015 - Pakistan “Deal of the Year” and “Deal of the Year-Highly Commended”, CFA Society of Pakistan Awards for Year 2015 “Best Research Analyst (1st Rank), CFA Society of Pakistan Awards for Year 2014 “Best Research Analyst (1st Rank)”, “Best Trader” 2nd Runner-up (3rd Rank), The Asset Triple A Country Awards 2014’s “Best Deal in Pakistan” and Capital Finance International’s nomination for “Best Equity Research in Pakistan 2010”.

Analysts
Sharoon Ahmad

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